• last year
Transcript
00:008-1 for Detroit of course right now they have won seven consecutive games. The Eagles on a six-game
00:09win streak in Detroit nearly a two touchdown home favorite against Mack Jones and the Jags on Sunday
00:16so more than likely going to improve that record to nine and one. The Falcons in pole position of
00:22the NFC South only team above 500 in that division they might walk to the divisional
00:28championship just because of how weak the competition is around Atlanta. The Cardinals
00:34who have won four straight games and are at six and four still the top team in the NFC West. Now
00:40let's get to those wild card positions a lot of NFC North in the mix the Vikings at seven and two
00:47the Packers at six and three emerging out of the bye in a divisional duel this week on a Sunday
00:53at Soldier Field in Chicago in the Commander's Joe based on the loss last night now seven and
00:59four of course they've already played 11 games that's two more at this current moment than both
01:05Minnesota and Green Bay they would be the seventh and final team in the NFC playoff picture that
01:11third and final wild card team and I do want to start with Washington because although we have
01:18Philadelphia favored last night taking care of business winning by eight really in command late
01:24in the fourth quarter where it mattered most and covered as a four and a half point home favorite
01:29the feeling around the Commander's Joe that even if they don't win the NFC East because of how well
01:35the Eagles are playing there's still a playoff team minus 800 entering Thursday night and week
01:4211 now minus 550 yes the number has taken a big hit but still a minus 550 price for Jaden Daniels
01:50Dan Quinn and the rest of Washington to see the postseason yeah I mean they do have a tough
01:57closing schedule I think two games against obviously while one more game against Washington
02:02now plus one against the Ravens and the Steelers over the final weeks here so but I think they are
02:10very live here at this price and if I was going to look anywhere else down this board
02:16and the Lions are the obvious choice but no value in them right tell me why we're not betting the
02:2249ers at five and four right now at this point given their history they're healthiest as they've
02:28been and they have always been a much better second half team uh over the years with Shanahan
02:35and it feels like if we're looking anywhere shouldn't the 49ers be on a ticket somewhere
02:40in our pocket I would think so Joe plus 550 the price on San Francisco right now who like Detroit
02:48at this moment entering week 11 two dollars shy of everybody else in the conference that used to
02:54be San Francisco in fact it was the 49ers for all of the offseason into the early part of this
03:01regular season and yeah it it has not been a great start for the Niners where offensive injuries
03:07have been a huge narrative for this team this season they are now getting healthier of course
03:13they won't have Brennan Ayuk for the remainder of this season but Ricky Pearsall is back and looking
03:18darn good with his young quarterback Brock Purdy Debo Samuel is healthy George Kittle is healthy
03:24and obviously most importantly Christian McCaffrey is back you know what's really fascinating Joe
03:30about the 49ers they've been booked as a favorite in every single game since the start of last year
03:36and to start last year they began a perfect undefeated five and oh we almost kind of forget
03:43because the Niners ended up reaching the mountaintop and playing in a Super Bowl that they
03:48dropped three consecutive games where we all started to question oh is Brock Purdy really that
03:53guy that Kyle Shanahan needs to elevate this offense they dropped three consecutive games
03:57entering their bye conveniently also in week number nine which is the same bye week this year
04:03for San Francisco and then in week number 10 they started against a team from Florida
04:09they blew out the Jaguars of course it was not easy for the 49ers in Tampa on Sunday but they
04:15beat Jacksonville last year that began a six-game win streak and everybody was like okay yeah this
04:20is the best team in the NFL if not just the best team in the NFC the Niners could be on a similar
04:26track they're a six and a half point home favorite on Sunday in Santa Clara by the way against the
04:31Seahawks and I would just say this if you're looking for that value outside of the plus 550
04:36number on San Francisco now I have already bet this it is one of the two division tickets that
04:42I hold Philadelphia in the NFC East in San Francisco in the NFC West they are still the favorites at
04:50plus 105 35 cents in front of Arizona despite the fact the Cardinals have the head-to-head
04:57tiebreaker advantage at this moment and of course that half game lead for the top spot
05:02and keep in mind those two teams meet again Ben you ready for this in week 18 which could be
05:09determining whether you cash that ticket ironically enough but I do think between
05:14now and week 18 I do think the Cardinals will probably give away a couple of games
05:20and I think the 49ers will have a cushion heading into week 18.

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