NEW POLL: Trump Leads Biden By 4 Points Since Presidential Debate

2 months ago

On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX CEO Dritan Nesho discussed a new HarrisX/Forbes poll showing former President Trump still leading President Biden since the debate.

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Transcript

00:00A lot to discuss. Last week, we saw a historic, consequential presidential debate between current

00:06President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. And you have a poll, Harris x Forbes poll,

00:12that shows what voters thought after the debate. So let's talk about first, how was it impacting

00:17the horse race? Well, our poll went into the field right after the debate and essentially ran

00:23throughout the weekend. 1,500 registered voters took the survey. It hasn't changed the horse race.

00:31Now, that doesn't mean it's not consequential. But the horse race today is Trump up by four,

00:39the same that it was a few weeks ago when we last connected together. And that's because

00:46partisans have by and large dug their heels. They've made up their minds, Republicans

00:52and Democrats. And independents are already breaking by 10 points plus for President Trump.

01:00So Trump sustains his advantage. But where there's a lot of negative news, especially for President

01:09Biden and the Biden camp, is in the perceptions that voters had around Biden's performance in

01:16the debate, the perceptions that they have on whether or not he's too old to be in the office

01:22that he holds. And usually it's these softer variables that precede a much larger shift

01:30in the horse race. So I think that we'll really see the impact of the debate over the course of

01:36next week or two as public opinion settles. But right now, the horse race is exactly the same

01:42as it was before. We're about four months out from the election. And the last time you and

01:46I talked was right after Trump's verdict dropped. And you said it didn't really change anything

01:51because this is baked in. A, people will have months to digest this. Trump is a convicted

01:57felon. People have known these legal challenges. Is that similar to Joe Biden in the sense that

02:02people have a few months to digest? Hey, his cognitive abilities seem to be on the decline.

02:08Well, I think that to an extent, it's baked in. But to another extent, it was quite shocking,

02:18the debate performance. And in the sister survey that I also conducted around the weekend with

02:24Harvard University, the Harvard-Capps-Harris poll, we have trended for over two years now,

02:29maybe even longer, whether or not voters think that Biden is too old for the office of the

02:35presidency or whether they think that he's fine. The number jumped by over 10 points. So now,

02:43three-fourths of all voters think that Biden is too old for the office that he's holding.

02:50And in a similar fashion, over two-thirds believe that he doesn't have the faculties

02:59to be president. So those are concerning numbers. And the fact that we still saw a double-digit jump

03:06in those metrics, it shows you that it crystallized opinion around the fact that the

03:14president is too old. And this is why you see the panic that you see amongst democratic elites

03:19right after the debate. Despite all of the management that they've done on the performance,

03:24there's a lot of concern, widespread concern, about whether or not Biden can see through.

NEW POLL: Trump Leads Biden By 4 Points Since Presidential Debate

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