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00:00We'll be right back.
00:01We'll be right back.
00:06Enter by be on the bump today
00:07for Cleveland to even out this
00:09set.
00:10The Guardians have lost three in
00:11a row but they're booked as
00:12nearly a dollar and a half
00:13favorite at home.
00:15Yeah.
00:16And you might just want to take
00:17a look at again my premise
00:18yesterday was both of these
00:19teams are good.
00:19I think I have a slight
00:20pitching advantage on Seattle.
00:21Let me go that way.
00:21That came away with a victory.
00:23Now today you might be looking
00:24at more at the under numbers.
00:26You take a look at by the on the
00:27mound.
00:27Seventy six X fit minus dating
00:29look at Brian Wu who hasn't
00:30been bad a 91 X fit minus.
00:32But if you are taking a look at
00:33the ERAs it's like these guys
00:35are getting a little bit
00:36unlucky because a 430 ERA for
00:38by the since May 1st and you
00:39take a look at Wu he's actually
00:41up there even a little bit
00:41higher close to five.
00:43You might say to yourself hey
00:44these guys are struggling but
00:45some of those analytical
00:46numbers are telling you that's
00:47not necessarily the case.
00:49Eighty two degrees at first
00:50pitch in Cleveland late wind
00:51blowing out to left field so
00:52not much help there from a windy
00:54perspective.
00:55But if I'm looking at both of
00:55these pitchers by the if there
00:57was maybe a chance to get after
00:59him left handed batters on the
01:00season have given him an issue.
01:02And if you look at some of the
01:03lefties in that lineup that's
01:04JP Crawford that's Cal Raleigh
01:05that's Luke Raley that's can
01:07zone those guys do match up and
01:09also keep in mind it's not an
01:10overpowering lineup for Seattle.
01:12But if you are looking at
01:13tonight six of these batters
01:15ISIL power numbers are above
01:16average against right handed
01:18pitching over the past month.
01:19So that certainly factors in
01:21well but if you are looking at
01:23that Cleveland Guardians lineup
01:24Wu's got great numbers and what
01:26I mean by that is 84 bats it's
01:28an 0 6 the ice on a weighted on
01:29base percentage of 159 over the
01:31past 30 days which means maybe
01:34not striking out enough guys
01:35giving up too many fly balls and
01:36getting a little bit lucky.
01:37But those are some of the
01:38betting numbers I don't want to
01:40bet into even though the
01:41Cleveland Guardians have a very
01:42good history over the past month
01:44of hitting right handed pitching.
01:46But for me I'll just lean on
01:47taking the plus money once again
01:49on day number two because I
01:50think Wu should have a decent
01:51day even though those guardians
01:53numbers are very very good
01:55against right handed pitching.