Trump Conviction Caused No Fundamental Change To 2024 Contest With Biden: HarrisX/Forbes Poll

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On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX Founder and CEO Dritan Nesho spoke about a new HarrisX/Forbes Poll following former President Trump being found guilty in his NYC hush money trial, stating that the conviction has not changed the 2024 contest.

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Transcript

00:00 You came on yesterday right after the news broke that Donald Trump is a convicted felon.

00:05 But now you're coming back with some numbers for us on what voters actually think of the verdict.

00:10 What are they? So the news team at Forbes and Paris X got together to do a flash poll

00:17 overnight, over a thousand voters across the country reacting to yesterday's story. And I

00:25 would say that the big takeaway, there are several big takeaways, but the biggest one

00:31 is that it hasn't changed the nature of the race or the horse race at all. When we look at

00:37 our question, who would you vote for Biden or Trump, or are you unsure? Trump is at 43%,

00:44 Biden is at 42%, and about 14% say that they're unsure or don't know. So the race is still a

00:52 toss-up, right? And we've seen for several months now the numbers moving up a few points in one

00:59 direction, down a few points in another direction, and so forth. So really no fundamental change

01:06 to the race, and frankly, no fundamental change on the question of which way do the unsure,

01:16 the undecided lean, right? Right now, when we force the undecided to pick whether they lean

01:24 towards Biden or towards Trump, it's a 50/50 split. Half are going one way, half are going

01:30 the other way. So even when you factor in the undecided, the horse race, it's two points off

01:37 with Trump at 51%, Biden at 49%. So it doesn't seem to have changed the dynamic of the race

01:46 yet. And, you know, so far, things seem to be holding fairly steady for both of the candidates.

01:55 Driton, I need to know why here, because if you're in politics and your contender

02:03 is a convicted felon, I mean, that is a political gift from God. You would think you would win,

02:10 it would be an easy race. You're saying voters are unmoved. Is there any indication why?

02:15 Well, a lot of voters paid attention to the trial, right? And, you know, the numbers suggest that

02:25 close to two thirds of the country was paying close attention to this trial. And I think that

02:34 a lot of the information that came out or even the expectation that Trump was guilty of the

02:41 aggregate, right, was already baked in, was already baked in the public opinion, was already

02:47 baked in into the decision model or the decision framework that voters are using. So while the news

02:57 is in and of itself historical and shocking, it doesn't necessarily seem to have moved voters,

03:07 in part because voters were closely tuned to it and maybe they just expected this outcome.

Trump Conviction Caused No Fundamental Change To 2024 Contest With Biden: HarrisX/Forbes Poll

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