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00:00 The odds makers released the over under rushing total for Denver Broncos running back Melvin
00:06 Gordon. They set the number at 775 yards. Let's find out if gamblers should take the
00:12 over or under by bringing on sports illustrated gambling analyst, Frank today. Oh, Frank,
00:18 when I first saw this number, I thought it was going to be an easy over for me. 775 Gordon
00:23 has hit that Mark in three of his five seasons in the NFL, but what it's a sharp action telling
00:28 you. Yeah, right now, Bill, they're actually the shops are actually looking to back this
00:33 number and then looking to back it for one reason and one reason only. And that's because
00:37 if we look at it, even over a 16 game season, if he's able to actually play 16 games, which
00:42 he's only been able to do once in his entire career due to injuries, he would only need
00:47 to average 48 and a half yards per game. So there's clear opportunity for him. I know
00:52 that most betters and most fantasy players are going to know that Philip Lindsay is there
00:56 and look at a look to split time, but Bill, I'm inclined to believe in. So are the shops
01:00 that he's going to emerge as the back to own in this backfield. And with that ability right
01:05 now, and he has such elusiveness, he's going to have tremendous value, especially in a
01:10 PPR leagues where he's has the opportunity in 2020 to finish among the team leaders in
01:15 receptions, especially in his offense.
01:17 If they're going to look to maybe even spread them out wide, but he's going to be the back
01:20 to own and he's easily going to get to this number. And I am in total agreement, Bill,
01:25 right now that this number is too low. And I think it's only going to continue to rise.
01:29 I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't go above 800 and maybe even into the eight 20 range
01:34 by the time that the season gets underway, because I, they're only going to see continuous
01:38 action on the over here, because like we said, if he's able to play a full season and he's
01:43 been able to do, go over this number three times already in his career.
01:47 I actually see that this is a number with tremendous, tremendous value, Melvin Gordon
01:52 over 775 and a half yards in 2020.
01:58 Great insight as always, Frank, plenty more player prop coverage from Sports Illustrated.
02:03 You can find more of our analysis by going to si.com/gambling.
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