• 2 years ago
Transcript
00:00 was a two and a half point favorite, Joe, earlier in the week. As we get ready for our CFT game of
00:04 the week on this Saturday, it's a one and a half point line in favor of the Beeves. Joe, do you
00:10 agree with where the market is moving, placing Oregon State as the favored side in this match?
00:15 I actually don't. I like Washington in terms of this matchup, but I understand the market
00:20 fluctuation because of how dominant Oregon State has been over the past three seasons at home. We
00:25 mentioned over the past two seasons, 10 and 1 straight up, guys. They're 4 and 0 against FBS
00:30 opponents. This season have won those games by an average margin of victory of 22 points per game.
00:36 Dominated San Diego State earlier in the year, dominated teams like UCLA and got covers. So that
00:42 is why you're seeing the market movement. It is a contrast in styles, though. We have Damian
00:47 Martinez and a ground-to-pound rushing attack that's averaging right around 200 yards on the
00:52 ground. And then a team in terms of Washington, Kev, that wants to push tempo with Michael Pinnock's
00:57 398 yards through the air. That is the matchup which should play out. I mentioned Washington
01:03 has won nine of the last 10. They won last year, very low scoring game, 24 to 21. I feel Washington
01:10 has the better quarterback. They have the better offense. And that's why I think they strike the
01:14 mild upset tonight. Which again is why betting is so important to the conversation, that you just
01:21 accurately said Washington, the fifth team in the country who was unbeaten, would be pulling off a
01:26 mild upset here. This is a probably unnecessary point to make, but I truly cannot stand that
01:32 later on if Oregon State wins this game, people will say, "Beeves, stun Huskies, for the love of
01:38 God, download a sports book and pay attention to what's going on." But you're all tuned in,
01:42 so that means you understand what's going on. And the thing is, now I know this doesn't ever
01:48 bother you, but you don't have to be doing this for any type of length of time to see a line like
01:52 that and be like, "Oh, okay, Oregon State wins." That's just usually how these games go, especially
01:58 with it being in Corvallis. Oregon State has been untouchable in this arena for a very long time,
02:03 specifically against the number. So now to be booked as a favorite is a phenomenal sign
02:08 for Oregon State here. I'm going to play a team total on Washington at 30 and a half. It's a
02:13 number they've hit in nine out of 10 games, all of their road matchups as well. Oregon State,
02:19 with their rush attack, could get into the 40s. If this game goes wild, maybe 50s. We've seen
02:24 Bonkers' performances last week, a 62-piece on Stanford. Washington's defense is not that great.

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