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00:00Lacey Guy, we start with Oregon and Oregon State. North of a three-score spread. Oregon
00:09has not covered a number so far this year. In fact, they have the second-worst cover
00:13percentage in the country, 27 points per game, missing out on the expectation. Only a fraudulent
00:20program in Lubbock, Texas, has a worst cover margin in the negatives. Yup, I said it. I
00:30said it. But Lacey, again, our focus is not on slandering each other. It's breaking down
00:34college football games on this Rivalry Saturday. 17.5 points spread in favor of the Ducks is
00:40a lofty expectation. And although Oregon State was gutted as the Pac-12 dissolved last year,
00:47they have been really good in Corvallis. This is the 128th all-time meeting between
00:53these two schools. It's the fifth-longest rivalry at the FBS level. What gives today
00:59in Corvallis? Well, something has to give because I expect Oregon to bounce back and
01:03at least get back to where we thought they would be at the start of the year. Shocked
01:07that they've been walking through the motions between Idaho and Boise State. We know the
01:12offense is still prolific with Dylan Gabriel completing 83 percent of his passes on the
01:17flip side for Oregon State. They want to run it. They're averaging well over 200 yards
01:22per game, ground-and-pound type of attack. I do feel their passing attack is a little
01:26bit limited with their quarterback, Javani McCoy. They need to stay in manageable third-down
01:31situations. I'm not betting this game, but if I had to, Oregon won this battle last year
01:36in the trenches, 31-7. They beat them up. I think they'd do it again. Might be a slow
01:42start, but in the second half, they'd pull away. And I'll just say this, Taj Brooks back
01:46for Texas Tech today with the arm injury. All right. Well, the Texas Tech love sneaks
01:51in. I got to say, I look at the Oregon State two games. Did the Big Ten take the wrong
01:56Oregon? I mean, they're running the football on 73 percent of their plays. They have the
02:00fourth-most rushing yards, fourth-most rushing attempts. I mean, it's also service academy-esque.
02:08And when you go up against the armies and the navies of the world, you don't want to
02:12lay this type of number. I can only look towards Oregon State as far as this spread goes here,
02:18checking in at over 17 and a half on the road as well. And that is, again, not even necessarily
02:24tied to the Oregon struggles that have been jumping off the page. It is more tied to what
02:30Oregon State looks like they want to be. It's hard to extend on a team that runs the
02:35football play after play after play, just completely burning the clock. I do want to
02:41ask a quick question to the both of you, though, as I mentioned, that my issue with Oregon
02:45initially, more than anything, was the price. They were booked as if they were up close
02:50to a Georgia and Ohio State level, completely shifted. For two games that they've won, that
02:57number is down to 11-1. Do you feel, I'll go to you, Joe, that that's an overreaction?
03:02Or that now Oregon, as I feel, is more appropriately tiered away from Georgia and Ohio State?
03:08I would say appropriately tiered until they face off against Ohio State in early October.
03:14I think right now the perception was, from a physicality standpoint, and Ben can bring
03:18this up as well, they had the most physical offense and defense aligned potentially heading
03:23into the Big Ten this year with the likes of Ohio State, maybe Michigan, right? They
03:27averaged a buck 84 last year, held opposing offenses to 102 rushing yards per game. All
03:32right, week one they struggle with an FCS opponent, Idaho, no big problem, all right?
03:37But then last week, when Austin Gentry tortures your defense again for over 100 yards and
03:43you go toe to toe, they needed an unbelievable drive at the end to just win that game. And
03:48Eugene was an amazing, you know, I think, perception gauge. So now, yeah, I think they
03:54are priced accordingly. And until they step up from the defensive side of the ball, guys,
03:59that's not going to change.