College Football Week 4 Betting Picks and Predictions
Transcript
00:00 the season.
00:03 Kevin Walsh. The floor is now
00:09 yours. Your betting card for
00:10 week number four of this
00:11 college football season. Look,
00:12 we're ten deep but obviously,
00:14 we've got the marquee games
00:15 filling it up and also kind of
00:17 are allowed to, you know, we
00:18 leave and it adds and it adds
00:19 and it adds. It grows as the
00:20 day goes on. We start this off.
00:22 I cannot believe with Iowa plus
00:25 fourteen and a half. I need to
00:27 see Drew Rowler prove it
00:28 against what I think is going
00:29 to be a young career. The
00:30 whiteout, I'm not sure that
00:31 plays in his favor and I know
00:32 this Iowa defense does not
00:34 complete it less than 50% of his
00:35 passes. Tough to cover above
00:37 two touchdowns with such a low
00:38 total of 38 and a half plus
00:40 some bad weather here. The
00:41 Hawkeyes usually find a way and
00:43 if I need to get in the back
00:44 door, I know James Franklin
00:46 will try and front door this
00:47 number but due to those
00:49 offensive incentives, that's
00:50 not really helped Iowa as much
00:52 as they hoped it would. That'll
00:54 help me get a back door if need
00:55 be. Let's get plus fourteen and
00:57 a half on the board. Let's get
00:58 Audrey over seventy-three and a
01:00 half rushing yards. A tempting
01:01 number if you want to start to
01:02 add some all player props to
01:04 your card. Something last night,
01:05 Braylon Allen was certainly
01:07 effective in Audrey. Estimates
01:08 averaging over 130 yards per
01:10 game on the ground at fifteen
01:12 point eight carries per game.
01:14 If Audrey Estimate receives
01:15 fifteen carries tonight and
01:17 averages five yards per rush,
01:18 you'll catch this over. Also,
01:20 five yards per rush would be a
01:21 massive letdown for someone
01:23 who's averaging eight yards per
01:24 carry on the season and better
01:26 than six yards per carry for
01:27 his career. Estimate feast
01:29 tonight against Ohio State. DJ
01:32 you. We'll talk in a little
01:34 bit but get that two seventeen
01:35 and a half over passing prop
01:36 already on your card. KJ
01:38 Jefferson over the thirty-four
01:40 and a half rushing yards near
01:41 principal play here. This
01:43 season, only over it once.
01:45 That's okay. Last year, over it
01:47 in ten of eleven games,
01:49 averaged better than fifty
01:50 rushing yards per game in SEC
01:53 play and I think that KJ
01:55 Jefferson just has to try to
01:57 avoid the sack. Yes, easier
01:59 said than done but so far,
02:01 three weeks of football, a run
02:02 of seventeen yards or longer in
02:05 every single game for KJ
02:06 Jefferson. He just has to try
02:09 and keep Harold Perkins Jr. out
02:10 of his air if possible here and
02:13 find himself a big time rush.
02:15 Charlotte, Florida over forty
02:17 eight and a half. Absurdly,
02:18 maybe my favorite game on the
02:20 slate. I don't know what it is.
02:21 It's how the eyes work at times.
02:23 I love this game. Charlotte has
02:25 allowed both FPS teams over
02:27 their team total. Florida is
02:29 going to be able to do whatever
02:31 they want on the ground in this
02:32 game. I know it could be a
02:34 sleepy spot for the Gators off
02:35 of that volunteers result but if
02:38 it is, I think that means
02:39 Charlotte will be able to attack
02:41 with some explosive plays
02:42 against this Florida defense.
02:44 Another over that I like comes
02:45 from Florida State Clemson.
02:46 This number is fifty-five. For
02:48 me, I want to see the FSU
02:50 defense prove it against a
02:51 Clemson offense that is getting
02:52 better. That is finding a groove
02:54 in a new system with Garrett
02:56 Riley and I still think this
02:57 FSU offense is absolutely loaded
03:00 throughout the quarterback, the
03:01 running back room, the wide
03:03 receiver room, and the only test
03:05 offensively that Clemson has
03:06 seen. Well, that was Duke. That
03:08 was Duke going for twenty-eight
03:09 points, an easy team total over
03:11 and all of their running backs,
03:12 both of their running backs,
03:13 excuse me, better than five
03:15 yards for a rush. Dante Moore
03:17 over to twenty-two and a half
03:18 passing yards. I'm allowed to do
03:20 what I want. This is not my best
03:22 bet but I got a best bet unit
03:23 size because I got into a fight
03:24 with Joe Lisi during this show
03:25 about it. Not a fight, an
03:27 argument. I had to add the
03:28 Dante Moore number to twenty-two
03:30 and a half. So far, if you look
03:32 against FBS teams, Baylor and
03:35 excuse me, Baylor and Florida,
03:38 they're allowing over seven and
03:39 a half yards for attempt which
03:41 means Dante Moore would need to
03:42 throw the ball just about thirty
03:44 times to clear this number.
03:45 Well, Dante Moore is averaging
03:46 twelve yards for attempt
03:48 throughout his young career
03:49 which means he need to throw
03:50 the ball about twenty times to
03:52 clear this number plus they're
03:53 supposed to be trailing here
03:54 against the Utes, right?
03:56 Two twenty-two and a half is far
03:57 too light for a superstar here
03:59 in Dante Moore. Watch out Utes.
04:01 That happens when you play a
04:02 real football team. Jalen
04:04 Milrow, principal, principal,
04:05 my friend and yours, over
04:06 forty-eight and a half rushing
04:07 yards. Get his any time touchdown
04:09 score on the card as well.
04:11 Milrow was blowing through this
04:12 number last year. The Saks is
04:14 what held him under the number
04:15 against Texas. Five Saks for
04:17 negative thirty-one yards. Ole
04:19 Miss does not have that same
04:20 defense, does not have that same
04:22 pass rush and should be all set
04:24 up to move through this football
04:26 team. Dylan Edwards over the
04:28 thirty-five and a half, not
04:29 forty-five and a half rushing
04:30 yards against, against Oregon.
04:33 I know that they can't run the
04:34 ball but he can. Better than
04:36 5.4 yards per carry on the
04:38 season for Dylan Edwards here.
04:39 We need eight runs here. Don't
04:41 try and throw the football
04:42 every play with Shador against
04:43 Oregon. It's not a recipe for
04:45 success but a recipe for
04:47 success. It's betting USC's
04:48 team total over forty-eight and
04:50 a half is your number. They've
04:52 hit this in every single game
04:53 and they're coming off of a by a
04:54 major mismatch against Arizona
04:56 State.
04:59 (upbeat music)