Where will Philippe and Rina head? Are more threats on the horizon? Here's everything you need to know.
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00:00 Alright, we have twin storms in the central Atlantic, both tropical storms, Philippe and
00:05 Rena right now, and they're within 400-500 miles of each other right now.
00:10 There they are.
00:11 Now, they're both very poorly organized right now.
00:13 The reason for that is there's wind shear.
00:15 I have the water vapor map on here because you can see the wind shear that's affecting
00:20 it.
00:21 It's right in here.
00:22 You see that on the northern side of the storms.
00:24 Also, there's some drier air trying to filter into these storms.
00:27 And both of these storms, the center of circulation is actually on the western side of where you
00:33 see all the moisture here on the water vapor loop denoted by the white and the green.
00:36 Now nonetheless, we're going to continue to track these as they remain in the close proximity
00:41 of each other as we go through the week.
00:43 And again, center of circulation is down in here, again, where most of the clouds are
00:49 where along the eastern side because of that westerly wind shear.
00:52 So this is tropical storm Philippe.
00:54 Now, I do think Philippe, as it's going to meander around, will start to turn to the
00:58 north.
00:59 As we get into early next week, conditions actually get less hostile here for development.
01:05 What do I mean by that?
01:06 There's less wind shear.
01:08 There's lighter winds aloft.
01:10 So I think Philippe can get a little better organized.
01:13 But here's the key.
01:14 It's going to continue to move north.
01:15 And a big dip in the jet stream off the east coast of the United States eventually will
01:19 steer this out to sea.
01:20 So we'll continue to watch that.
01:22 All right, then we go to Rina right now, which is located to the south and west.
01:28 This is even south and east, I should say.
01:31 This is even less organized right now as a tropical storm.
01:34 Again, this is going to be pulling northward, but we do think that this will likely weaken
01:39 as it pulls northward next week.
01:40 But here's the thing.
01:42 These will have no impact on the United States.
01:44 What we do have to keep an eye on, keep an eye on it, is off the southeast coast of the
01:49 United States.
01:51 Remember the setup that we had with Ophelia, where we had a dip in the jet stream and an
01:56 upper level low cut off in this area, and eventually it became tropical?
02:00 Well, that's kind of what we're seeing mid to late next week.
02:04 Now, the setup is not as conducive as Ophelia.
02:09 And even if we do get something to form here, I think it would likely be pushed away from
02:13 the United States.
02:15 But that's going to be an area to watch as we head toward the middle and latter half
02:19 of next week.
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