The peak of hurricane season is less than two weeks away, and there are multiple storms and tropical waves that are tracking across the Atlantic basin.
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00:00 Well, plenty of storms and systems that
00:02 we're tracking in the Atlantic Basin.
00:04 Boy, we've had a flurry of activity
00:06 over the last couple of weeks.
00:08 We're still tracking tropical rainstorm.
00:10 Edalia we have Franklin.
00:11 We have Jose.
00:12 We have Gert and look at their
00:15 all in the Central Atlantic.
00:18 All moving to the north and northeast
00:20 away from the United States,
00:21 although we'll have to keep an eye on it.
00:23 Dahlia were also tracking tropical waves.
00:25 This could be a storm as well.
00:27 This is about 2530 degrees.
00:29 West this will be heading north
00:30 and West as well.
00:32 This could be our next storm.
00:34 Weak tropical waves in the Caribbean.
00:36 Not really going to develop much again.
00:38 We're going to keep an eye on Edalia.
00:40 It's a tropical rainstorm right now.
00:42 It may strengthen a little bit as
00:44 we head toward the weekend as we
00:47 talked about this yesterday.
00:48 We were worried that is something
00:50 whether it's a tropical rainstorm
00:51 or a storm would try to come back
00:54 toward the United States maybe late
00:55 next week will keep an eye on it.
00:58 I do believe there will be a turn toward
01:00 the Northeast United States late next week.
01:02 At some point I think it either
01:04 weekends that there's nothing left
01:06 or it will start to get steered to
01:08 the Northeast over the weekend,
01:09 so we'll certainly keep an eye on it.
01:12 I'm keeping an eye on this.
01:13 This is what's going on in the Atlantic
01:16 right now while we are looking at storms,
01:18 I think we're going through a period
01:20 of active rest in the Atlantic from
01:22 now through September 10th.
01:23 What do I mean by that?
01:25 Well,
01:25 there's a lot of dry air in
01:27 the Atlantic right now,
01:28 so this is going to shut down production.
01:30 I think at least for the next couple of days,
01:33 at least near the United States.
01:35 So with all this dry air and wind share,
01:37 I'm not expecting any impacts
01:39 into the United States.
01:40 Landfalling storms at least
01:41 through September 10th.
01:42 That's a big statement to make in
01:44 the middle of the hurricane season.
01:46 We're in the heart of the hurricane season now.
01:48 I don't think there's any US
01:50 impacts until the 10th,
01:51 but it's active because I think
01:53 there's going to be storms developing,
01:55 certainly in the eastern and central Atlantic,
01:57 but nothing that will head toward the
01:59 United States at least through the 10th.
02:01 This is the system to watch.
02:03 It is coming off Africa later today.
02:06 This I believe will strengthen
02:07 into a hurricane next week as it
02:10 continues to move to the West,
02:12 probably mid the late week.
02:13 It should strengthen into a hurricane.
02:15 I will say this development in the
02:17 eastern Atlantic is a crapshoot sometimes,
02:20 but I don't what I see in the eastern
02:22 and central Atlantic next week is all
02:25 that dry air that we've seen building
02:27 that this week will start to erode away.
02:29 You're going to get lessening
02:31 wind shear, so low wind shear.
02:33 So that's why I feel pretty confident
02:35 this will be a hurricane and it will
02:37 approach the lesser until each Friday
02:39 and the Saturday now US impacts
02:41 cannot be ruled out with this system.
02:43 This is the one to watch,
02:45 but we're not talking until like
02:46 the 14th or 15th of September,
02:48 so we're talking about two weeks.
02:50 We're giving you an update.
02:51 We're giving you kind of an alert
02:54 that we're not looking at.
02:55 Let me show you where I think this
02:57 system is going to go and this is
03:00 typical tracks here.
03:01 I believe we're going to have that
03:03 storm developing mid to late next week.
03:05 And then where does it go?
03:07 A track north of 2060.
03:09 That's this point I've highlighted
03:10 here and into the Atlantic tells
03:12 me that odds favor this system
03:14 staying east of the United States.
03:16 Now,
03:16 how can I make that bold and sassy
03:18 statement this early 'cause I do
03:20 think by the 14th or 15th we're
03:22 going to have a trough coming
03:23 down and I don't know if it gets
03:26 this far north it should be steered
03:28 away from the US of course will
03:29 keep an eye on it but a more
03:31 southern track then would put this
03:33 in the Caribbean so then you miss
03:35 this trough and then there's room
03:37 for this system to head toward
03:38 the United States.
03:39 Now many things could happen here,
03:41 but I do feel as if a more southern
03:43 track into the Caribbean would
03:45 actually increase at least the
03:47 possibility of US impacts.
03:48 Now we're way ahead of the game on this,
03:50 so we have time to track it here,
03:52 but I want to let you know as I go back.
03:55 In the tropics,
03:56 this is the system to watch for.
04:00 For US impacts,
04:00 this is the one as we get
04:02 in the mid September.