八点最热报 | 当下的美国经济就好像正走在钢丝上，而脚下的绳索正在快速磨损。刚刚美国政府公布的零售销售报告指出，美国2月份零售销售按月只增长了0.2%，低于预期的0.6%，又再一次激起了美国经济陷入衰退的担忧。在美国总统特朗普拒绝表态美国经济是否会衰退，华尔街股市暴跌后，现在美国媒体普遍的评论分析都是同一个角度，那就是债务，衰退 ，市场恐慌 ，导致华尔街危机四伏，在这三种参杂因发酵引发的骨牌效应后，美国经济正进入了死亡螺旋。
（主播：萧慧敏）
（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:00Before watching the video, let me remind you that there is more content on the Hotpoint website.
00:05The current US economy is like walking on a wire,
00:08and the rope under its feet is being quickly broken.
00:11The retail sales report released by the US government just now pointed out
00:14that in February, retail sales increased by 0.2%,
00:18which is 0.6% lower than expected,
00:20and again aroused concerns that the US economy is falling.
00:24In fact, when President Trump refused to state whether the US economy would fall,
00:28and the Wall Street stock market plummeted,
00:30Morgan Thomson, the chief economist of the world,
00:33predicted that the possibility of the US economy falling this year was 40%.
00:38Later, the former US Secretary of State, Samuel Samuels, warned
00:42that the possibility of the economy falling is already close to 50%,
00:46and the main cause of the rise in the risk of falling
00:49is Trump's completely counterproductive economic policy.
00:52His tariff policy and his uncertainty
00:55have had a double negative impact on the economy.
00:59Now, the general analysis of the US media is from the same angle,
01:02that is, debt decline and market panic
01:05have led to the crisis on Wall Street.
01:08After the stock market effect caused by these three complicated factors,
01:12the US economy is entering a spiral of death.
01:15It doesn't need to be a financial expert,
01:17as long as you care a little about the international financial trend.
01:20For a long time, no matter how the economy has risen,
01:22the US dollar has always been the pinnacle of global trade and the financial system.
01:27However, the current situation is not the same.
01:29In the United States, the United States continues to abuse the power of the United States to harvest the world.
01:32In addition, Trump's various policy actions and words
01:35are now the biggest risk to the US dollar in the world economy
01:39for half a century.
01:42The market's trust in the US dollar is also declining rapidly,
01:45causing the US dollar to face depreciation pressure.
01:48What companies are most worried about is uncertainty,
01:51and Trump's repetitive policy
01:53has led to unprecedented business risks for American companies.
01:57The market is gradually losing confidence.
01:59Once this emotion forms a stock effect,
02:02it will trigger capital outflows, investment shrinkage,
02:04and further aggravate the risk of decline.
02:07American media comments pointed out that
02:09the US economy has reached a crossroads.
02:11If the government continues to ignore the debt issue,
02:13continues to rely on the US dollar to dominate power,
02:15and is unwilling to face economic structural contradictions,
02:17then the future decline will not only be a short-term adjustment,
02:20but may be a deep economic decline.
02:25Today, new data from the federal government
02:27is providing some insight
02:29on the current state of the economy, retail sales.
02:32Now to a big week for the US economy,
02:34beginning this morning with an important read on retail sales.
02:38It showed an increase of 0.2%,
02:42so that is lower than expected.
02:44When US President Trump responded to the question
02:46of whether the US economy will decline,
02:48he was cold-blooded.
02:49In addition, his tariff policy has changed repeatedly,
02:51resulting in Wall Street's overstatement last week.
02:54And the latest retail sales data in February
02:56is also not as good as expected,
02:58further exacerbating concerns about
03:00consumer spending and economic prospects.
03:02Morgan Dutton, a leading economist, also warned
03:04that this year's US economy is likely to decline by 40%.
03:06If the outside world loses confidence in the US government,
03:09the US as a destination for international investment
03:11may be permanently damaged.
03:13And when former U.S. Secretary of State Larry
03:15was interviewed by Bloomberg TV,
03:17he said that the US economy is likely to decline this year
03:19by 50%.
03:21And the main cause of the rise in risk of decline
03:23is a completely opposite economic policy.
03:25Uncertainty in tariff policy
03:27has a double negative impact on the economy.
03:29I think we've got a real uncertainty problem.
03:33I think it's going to be hard to fix that.
03:37And we're looking at a slowdown
03:41relative to what was forecast almost for sure
03:44and a serious near 50% prospect of recession.
03:49A senior financial reporter for CNBC
03:51said on the show that even at the risk of losing money,
03:54he couldn't help but ask Trump to stop
03:56taking too crazy actions.
03:58He said that Trump's uncertainty about
04:00tariff policy is driving foreign investors away.
04:02He emphasized that crazy is not a strategy.
04:04I'm going to say this at risk of my job, Kelly,
04:06but what President Trump is doing is insane.
04:08It is absolutely insane.
04:10And it seems as if this administration
04:12is doing everything it can
04:14to chase foreign capital away.
04:16Well, and we could go into the strategy of
04:18insanity as a strategy in terms of our trading partners.
04:20Insanity is not a strategy.
04:22What?
04:24In the face of Trump's
04:26irreversible tariff policy
04:28causing global market turmoil,
04:30the CEO of Goldman Sachs, David Solomon,
04:32also made public statements
04:34saying that the U.S. business community
04:36hopes that Trump can provide more clear policy guidance.
04:38This Wall Street superstar
04:40also said during an interview
04:42that the uncertainty about tariff policy
04:44is driving some business activities away.
04:46He said that business leaders
04:48desperately hope to understand the direction of policy.