IHSG -0,91% ke 6.538,18 pada akhir sesi I Selasa (11/3). Hanya sektor teknologi +3,79%, DCII -9,44% Kembali ARA. Sektor barang baku -3,24%, MBMA -6,08%, INCO -6,07% ke level terendah 3,5 tahun terakhir di level Rp2.580 per saham. Pelemahan lanjutan saham sektor barang baku terjadi di tengah rencana pemerintah sesuaikan tarif royalty minerba. Sektor barang konsumen non primer -2,84%, ACES -2,22%. Sektor energi -2,03%, AADI -3,75%.
Dari Global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street anjlok, Senin, karena pertikaian tarif dan kekhawatiran bahwa ekonomi Amerika Serikat dapat terjerumus menuju resesi.
Dari Global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street anjlok, Senin, karena pertikaian tarif dan kekhawatiran bahwa ekonomi Amerika Serikat dapat terjerumus menuju resesi.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment we will review the trading path throughout the day where the price of Gassan Gabungan continues to correction above 1% intraday to 6,400 even though a few minutes after the closing of the second session today, the weakness is more limited and we remind you again that you can still participate in our interactive WhatsApp as shown on your television screen and later on, we will continue to update you on the latest news and the latest news of Gassan Gabungan, thank you very much.
00:30And right now, we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Hari Suwanda, CEO of Akela Trading System, we will go straight to him. Mr. Hari, good afternoon, how are you Mr. Hari?
00:42Good afternoon, Mr. Ade.
00:45Thank you, Mr. Hari, for your time on IDA channel. But it looks like the news is not good, again from the family of Gassan Gabungan. Mr. Hari, the continuation of the internal correction continues until today's trading, intraday was able to return to the level of 6,400 even though the weakness is more limited, back to 6,500 again.
01:07Is there any technical analysis of the continuation of the weakness throughout today's trading?
01:12Well, if the data experiences such a decline, it can actually be from two sides. So, in terms of valuation, IHSG is now more attractive.
01:31Why? Because there are many stocks whose growth is very good but are now traded at a very cheap valuation.
01:39There are some that I will also give to the investors. But if we look at it technically, this is indeed a downtrend and we are still not out of this bear market.
01:56So, if we pay attention here, IHSG continues to lower low, lower low, lower low again, lower low again, and lower low again.
02:12So, it always manages to make the lowest point lower than before, while the peak is also like that. So, the highest peak failed to pass the previous highest peak.
02:26So, lower high, lower high, lower high again, lower high again, and this is also clearly lower high again.
02:33Thus, it means that we are still in the bear market or bearish trend that has been going on since October 2024.
02:53So, if I describe the trend line, it is like that.
02:58And like that.
03:01Mr. Hari, where is the next direction for IHSG, sir?
03:08I think there are still no signs of a bullish reversal, sir. So, at the very least, we can only hope for consolidation first.
03:18And the trading range has support at 6246 and resistance at 6908.
03:35So, the range is wide.
03:37Yes, the position today, the share price, the weakness is more towards the limit, sir. At 6540, it has weakened at 0.87%.
03:45Intraday today had a weakness of more than 1%. What can we talk about the limited weakness of this closing path?
03:52Is there a chance of strengthening in the short term for tomorrow, sir?
03:57Well, hopefully, if Wall Street rebounds tonight, because the weakness in Wall Street is quite deep.
04:08And usually after that, there is an oversold rally.
04:13If that happens, there is a chance for IHSG to be like that.
04:20And if it rebounds and manages to take over or manages to break out at the highest point,
04:29then this is technically a kind of small reversal.
04:35So, this is a minor reversal until then the challenge is whether it will be able to break through this 6908 level again.
04:46So, the crucial point is at 6908.
04:50Analysis from Indekargasamkabungan, which has been under a lot of pressure in recent times,
04:57and has undergone quite a deep correction and is still in the bearish trend.
05:02Sir, in the middle of the Indekargasamkabungan rally, today, the steel goods sector is still the biggest burden for Indekargasamkabungan.
05:10And this condition has been directed at least in the last two days.
05:13Where the steel goods sector is under pressure by the steel, metal and raw minerals.
05:20The policy of mineral royalty, the sentiment, seems to be quite heavy,
05:26even though there are some emittances that are benefited, or there are some emittances that are not benefited.
05:31Let's try to review, sir, from the emittances that are not benefited.
05:35I want to go to INKO first, sir.
05:38Where INKO today continues a fairly deep correction.
05:40Even the deepest in some other stocks in the same sector, as well as the previous trading days.
05:49Decreased by 7.14%, 2,600, in the middle of a growing sentiment.
05:54Where is the direction of the INKO movement from a technical point of view?
05:57Yes, if we talk about INKO, Vale.
06:01Vale Indonesia is now clearly, starting from last October, along with IHSG,
06:08Vale is experiencing a downtrend.
06:11And this downtrend is quite strong.
06:16And this happens again like that.
06:19So if we look, it always manages to lower high.
06:24Lower high, lower high, and lower high, and this is also lower high again.
06:31Meanwhile, it always manages to form the previous lowest point, lower low.
06:35And this means that since there is a support break,
06:40this is a confirmation that it is still in a downtrend.
06:46So in the future, technically, INKO is still tending to weaken.
06:56What is the recommendation, sir?
06:59With NC.
07:02So there is no recommendation like this.
07:05Because the balance is still very clear.
07:09So the balance is still very strong.
07:13It will wait until it touches new support, then we can analyze again.
07:25But if it's like this, this is a bearish breakout, sir.
07:30Okay, the closing today at 2,600 is quite deep, at 7.14%.
07:35Intraday, Mr. Hari seems to have reached the lowest level in the last three and a half years.
07:42Is there no explanation, sir? Or maybe a projection of the next support for INKO?
07:49My data cannot show that.
07:56Why? Because for three years, as Mr. Ade said, it has been a new low.
08:04If it's a new low, then I have to look for the previous data again.
08:09So right now, I haven't seen the next support.
08:14If you look at the long data, the strongest support for INKO is at 1,350.
08:26And that's still a long way off.
08:29I hope it won't get there.
08:32It has rebounded.
08:34Okay, Mr. Hari, from INKO, we move on to the next stock, still from Baku, MDKA.
08:38Today, it continues to be deep at 6.43%, at 13.10%, sir.
08:44Intraday today reached 12.85%. Analysis and recommendations for MDKA.
08:50Yes, this is also similar, although not as bad as INKO earlier.
08:56However, this also managed to break the support at 1,400.
09:01The support should be at 1,400, but it turned out to be below 1,300.
09:07It means that it has been able to break out again.
09:10Thus, it is confirmed to continue the downtrend.
09:13And if we look at MDKA.
09:20Yes, at 13.10%, sir.
09:22This is also at 13.10%.
09:26Then the next lowest point is at 9.20%, more or less.
09:319.20% or 9.00%.
09:33More precisely at 9.00%.
09:36The recommendations are also the same, sir. Just quit NCO first.
09:40Yes, quit NCO.
09:42This must finish the downtrend first.
09:46Then the reversal must be formed, consolidated first.
09:49Then it's interesting to observe.
09:52If it's like this, then skip.
09:54Yes.
09:56The steel goods sector today is back to be a burden for the family.
09:59In connection, some of its shares are in the middle of royalty sentiment.
10:04Minerba, Pemirsa, MDKA, then there was also INKO.
10:07Even INKO has reached its lowest level, at least in the last few years.
10:11And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of Pemirsa IDX Channel.
10:15Okay, sir. Today we will break for now.
10:17Later we will try to see what Samsung plans that you recommend
10:20in the middle of the continuous pressure on the family's investment.
10:23Pemirsa, we will be back in a moment.