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00:00Let's take a look, Keith, at the top of that leaderboard.
00:02This starts with Scotty Scheffler,
00:03plus 320 price at the FanDuel Sportsbook,
00:05to win this event.
00:07Three events played, three cuts made, three top 25s,
00:11two top 10s, but astoundingly, Scotty Scheffler
00:14hasn't won a tournament yet, even though he's only
00:16had three starts so far.
00:17What are we looking at Scotty Scheffler this week at Bay Hill?
00:21Well, Donny, we were looking at a lot of things yesterday.
00:23The first thing is the odds board.
00:24He comes out in the 300s.
00:26The last time was pre-tournament odds in the 300s,
00:29was 2013, and that was Tiger Woods
00:31when he won here for the eighth record, eighth time.
00:34So Scotty, I mean, he's got a lot of weight of expectations
00:37on his back.
00:38I saw him testing drivers yesterday.
00:40Yes, that's right.
00:41He was testing the driver yesterday,
00:43and by the time he got it dialed in, boy, Scotty looked good.
00:45It was like a meme, guys.
00:47It was like Scotty by a million if you
00:48looked at his last five drives.
00:50In this place, you go back to Keith's keys.
00:53I mean, that's what Scotty's superpowers are.
00:55He absolutely is the favorite to win, but at three to one,
00:58he's only a live bet option for me.
01:00There's better guys further down the board.
01:02Now, also in single digits, you've got Rory McIlroy.
01:05Here's a guy I got.
01:07I mean, six top 10s in his last eight starts here with a win.
01:11It's absolutely one of those situations
01:13where because Rory can bomb it off the tee
01:16and hit the fairway, he's had such an advantage here
01:19over time.
01:20But when I was at TGL on Monday, I
01:21noticed Rory had a new driver and a new fairway
01:24wood in the bag.
01:24So the guys at the top, your favorites in single digits,
01:28they're doing a little equipment messing around,
01:30which might give us all, you know,
01:32so you're saying there's a chance.
01:35Scotty Scheffler has been great at the API
01:38through the last three years.
01:39He has won the Arnold Palmer Invitational,
01:41including being our reigning champ.
01:44But of course, Keith, the number's so short for both
01:46Scotty and Rory.
01:48And there are so many good golfers in the field this week.
01:51Let's get some early leans on the early line.
01:53Who do you expect to perform well at this year's Arnold
01:56Palmer Invitational?
01:58Well, I expect it to be a superstar.
02:00I will pick some guys further down the board.
02:02But if you look at the three signature events this year,
02:05you know, the PGA Tour created these signature events
02:07two years ago.
02:08In that time, we've had eight short winners
02:10in the 11 signature events we've had to date.
02:13You look at the regular season events.
02:14We've had 28 of those.
02:16And almost all of them have been further down the board.
02:18I mean, the last two weeks, Brian Campbell, Joe Highsmith,
02:21I mean, those were like the original anchors
02:23for the early line like 10 years ago.
02:24I mean, who are those guys?
02:25We don't know.
02:26But we know that Hideki, we know that Rory,
02:28and we know that Ludwig have won these signature events.
02:31My early leans, I'm going to go with the kid again.
02:34I love Ludwig Oberg at plus 1,600.
02:37Fifth of the century, he withdraws
02:39at AT&T because he was sick.
02:40And then he wins the Genesis.
02:42He was in the press room this morning.
02:44It's like he's holding back how good he knows he's hitting it,
02:46how confident he is.
02:47The kid is just total swag.
02:49He's just oozing confidence.
02:51And this place, you go back to the keys.
02:53You got to bomb it down the fairway.
02:55You got to be a great long iron player.
02:56That's all the things he did at Torrey Pines.
02:58And he saved pars when he needed to and made birdies
03:01on the back nine on Sunday.
03:03My second early lean, I'm going to go a little further
03:05down the board, Daniel Berger plus 7,000.
03:09Now, last week, everybody's like, Keith,
03:11you kind of didn't like Daniel Berger.
03:12And here's the reason why.
03:14The weight of expectations on the PGA Tour
03:16is a real thing when it comes to these events.
03:19Now, last week, Daniel Berger, he's in the press room.
03:21He's one of the favorites to win.
03:23Everyone forgets that in 2022,
03:26on the back nine of PGA National,
03:27that guy had a five shot lead
03:29and he lost the tournament, you know?
03:30He had a lot of expectations on him last week
03:32coming into Florida for his form
03:35that he had showed on the West Coast.
03:36But guess what?
03:37He's now in the middle of the pack.
03:39He can let his clubs do the talking
03:40instead of himself in the media center.
03:43I love Daniel Berger,
03:44an excellent driver of the golf ball here.
03:46He's a wonderful long iron player
03:47and he can scramble and score where needed.
03:49Bermuda grass putting, what we have down here at Bay Hill,
03:52he's exceptional at that too.