• 2 hours ago
Are you betting the Super Bowl? #NFL Need prop answers?
Listen up! For the first time #Live , betting insider host of Y ou Better You Bet Nick Kostos joins!
Transcript
00:00And you can watch him for the first time ever on Twitch this morning.
00:03Tatted!
00:04Hello, Nick.
00:05What's going on?
00:06Was that, that impression was supposed to be of me, the last one there?
00:10You know, I've been, obviously, like, my voice is freaking out there.
00:13It's been imitated my whole life.
00:14I would give that one, like a six and a half on the one to ten scale.
00:18Could have been better.
00:19Could have been, not bad, could have been better.
00:21Courtney is blown away.
00:23By the tats.
00:24By the tats.
00:25Oh yeah.
00:26Full sleeve on the rim.
00:27Wow.
00:28You know, Shyam is looking to do that.
00:29Well, he's big into Japanese stuff like I am, so does he want to do Japanese stuff?
00:34I want that to be part of it, yes, very much so.
00:36Yeah, well, we got, I got you covered here.
00:37I'm going to get probably my left arm finished also after football season.
00:40Hell yeah.
00:41Sleeve up, brother.
00:42Yes.
00:43You guys should bet each other and then whoever loses, you get to pick a tat on the sleeve.
00:48No, that would, I'd rather like take the New York City subway than do that.
00:52Oh, okay.
00:53All right.
00:54Also, nice tramp stamp.
00:55No, no, no, no tramp stamp, only my arms.
01:00Also, I said this last time with you guys, I think, I love sourdough bread.
01:04I had sourdough bread as part of my breakfast this morning.
01:06I have no issue with that.
01:07Yeah.
01:08It's, we're working on the stuff.
01:09And no issue with a man that tears up also.
01:11No issue with that.
01:12Baby girl.
01:13That's a baby girl.
01:14Big baby girl.
01:15Are you a baby girl?
01:16So what does that mean?
01:17It's a new term.
01:19We discussed it a lot this week because there was a guy who listened to get dumped because
01:24the woman wanted a baby girl.
01:26Correct.
01:27So it's a Gen Z term that basically means that you're in touch with your emotions.
01:31You're not afraid to cry or be vulnerable.
01:33Yeah.
01:34I, I, when I give my daughter her bottle every morning, I put Christmas music on cause she
01:37likes it.
01:38And I like get them up.
01:39We listened to Nat King Cole, the Christmas song, and I get emotional every morning.
01:43That's nice.
01:44But what they're really, what Courtney's doing is she's not making it sound the right way.
01:47Do you cry?
01:48It's just like the end of movies, like dudes randomly crying.
01:51Not every movie.
01:52I will say that like, like I will watch like some episodes of the bear and I don't cry.
01:58Like I'm not like there's not, not bawling, but I get like emotional watching like TV
02:02shows and movies, but I don't cry, but I'll sit there like slack jawed and my wife thinks
02:06I'm a total a-hole.
02:07Yeah, that's a baby girl.
02:08Yeah.
02:09That's fine.
02:10I accept that.
02:11So you're soft.
02:12Well, I, I would say that yes, that yes, I can be, there's no question.
02:16A week away from Superbowl 59.
02:19I'm sure you stand where you did last week.
02:23I believe you're picking chiefs.
02:25I, I want to, I want to, I want to know though today, cause we'll talk to you next week and
02:29see if you change your mind on Friday before the game, but I won't.
02:33Any props that you might be recommending for it?
02:35Yeah.
02:36So there's generally the philosophy with prop bets in the Superbowl, cause you know, everyone
02:40bets the game more so than any other game and people want to bet overs, right?
02:44So when it comes to player prop yardage stuff, the thought is if you want to bet overs, bet
02:49them early.
02:50And if you want to bet unders, bet them late, right?
02:52So if you want to bet the over on a guy, I would suggest betting it now and I'll give
02:55it an example.
02:56It's not that this has to win, but yesterday on the show on you better, you bet.
03:00It was in the, the peacock hour, which people can watch on NBC sports now from six to seven.
03:05That's a shameless plug.
03:06I gave my favorite player prop for the Superbowl, which is AJ Brown, who's now at a very nice
03:1169 and a half receiving yards.
03:14Yesterday he was 68 and a half.
03:16There's no way I can be wrong about anything.
03:18My thought is this will close in the mid seventies at worst.
03:23And I like the bet anyway, but if I could give one prop that I really like now, and
03:26I think that the line will go up as we approach kickoff next week would be AJ Brown, 69 and
03:31a half receiving yards.
03:32And just as another example, like Travis Kelsey's at 64 and a half right now.
03:36Like do people really think like people aren't going to want to bet that and it's not going
03:39to go up from 64 and a half right now.
03:41So if you want to bet overs, I would look to bet them sooner rather than later.
03:44And then maybe bet some unders as we approach kickoff because everything's going to be bet
03:48into oblivion.
03:49Uh, Costos, I know on bet MGM, you guys have a, a page specifically for Saquon specials.
03:55Are there any Saquon specials in particular that catch your eye or that you're interested
03:59in?
04:00Even if you're just having a little bit of fun, maybe a little pizza money.
04:01What are you thinking?
04:02Uh, so I'm looking here.
04:03Where do we see this year?
04:04Can you give me one?
04:05I don't know if I see this on my screen.
04:06Yeah.
04:07So in the, uh, thanks for the, uh, thanks.
04:08Thanks.
04:09Thanks for the preparation there.
04:11It was just a, it was a plug for better.
04:13Let me ask you about this.
04:14Like esoteric thing on the bet MGM app, you click on the game and it says Saquon specials
04:19right there next to players and SGP.
04:21I don't know what you want me to tell you.
04:22But anyways.
04:23Uh, so like for instance, one of them is Saquon Barkley to score a rushing touchdown in the
04:27very first play.
04:28Uh, his first rush attempt is like 50 to one.
04:30Yeah.
04:31His first attempt.
04:32He did that last week, so it's probably won't happen again, but yeah.
04:33Yeah.
04:34But there's, so there's specials like that or a Saquon Barkley to return record 169 plus
04:39rushing yards to get the playoff rushing record is plus four 25.
04:43Um, yeah, I, I, I don't know yet.
04:46Um, I don't think he's going to have 170 rushing yards.
04:48I'll, so I'll say, how about this as a way to answer the question?
04:51Saquon's been amazing obviously, and he's a great player for much of the balance of
04:54the season.
04:55Uh, the Eagles are usually ahead in games and they can boa constrict your games and
04:59just squeeze the life out of the opposition.
05:01And as a result, Jalen hurts, hasn't had to throw for 300 yards in the game.
05:04He throws like 120 yards game, 150 yards, not every game, but in most games, um, I think
05:09the game state here will be different.
05:11I would be pretty surprised if this is like Superbowl 55 where Tom Brady and the bucks
05:15like leaned on the chiefs, the whole game in Kansas city was playing from behind.
05:18I don't think that's going to happen here.
05:20That would mean Saquon obviously gets the ball a million times in the game.
05:23Um, so I, I would probably shy away from the Saquon to do insane things coming up in the
05:28Superbowl.
05:29Do you ever bet the, the Gatorade color or the, you do length of national Anthem?
05:38Well that we get inside information on and then it gets blasted and it gets taken down
05:41within like an hour.
05:42It's like the tradition.
05:43Unlike any other.
05:44Yeah.
05:45Gotta be quick.
05:46Yeah.
05:47Gotta be quick.
05:48Chime.
05:49I got it for you last year, right?
05:50Yes, you did.
05:51Who's singing this year?
05:52Who cares?
05:53Oh, don't we know then we can maybe see if they're going to be a little bit longer.
05:54Oh, with the national Kendrick Lamar guys.
05:55No, no.
05:56That's the halftime.
05:57You should probably, you can wager on that as well.
05:58Songs that he'll say songs that he'll do.
05:59Well, how about, is he, is he going to do not like us?
06:00Hmm.
06:01Now see, that's the wagering song out there.
06:02He's got to do bad blood.
06:03I think John Baptiste is the, uh, musician doing the national Anthem.
06:04Correct.
06:05John.
06:06And you want to, you're asking Pat cause Taylor Swift's on that song, right?
06:07Correct.
06:08Yeah.
06:09But like, no, I'm like, no one cares about that.
06:10Everyone cares if he's going to do not like us.
06:11Yeah.
06:12I certainly care.
06:13So I don't think he does not like us.
06:14I don't think so.
06:15Yeah.
06:16It's so true.
06:17It's so true.
06:18It's so true.
06:19It's so true.
06:20It's so true.
06:21It's so true.
06:22It's so true.
06:23It's so true.
06:24It's so true.
06:25It's so true.
06:26I certainly care.
06:27I don't think he does not like us, you know, because it's pretty, pretty bad if he does
06:32that.
06:33Yeah.
06:34It'd be awesome.
06:35But yeah.
06:36Right.
06:37Something else.
06:38I don't think.
06:39What if he brings out Drake?
06:40I mean like the, like actually like the earth word would hurdle off its axis.
06:41Wow.
06:42I'm telling you.
06:43I think that's the play.
06:44Okay.
06:45Yeah.
06:46Costos.
06:47Can I ask a quick question?
06:48MVP prop for the game.
06:49We all know Mahomes has been MVP in all three of the chiefs wins.
06:52I presume if they win, he would obviously be the likely candidate, but Kelsey plus 1,500
06:58seems like decent value considering people may view this as his last game.
07:02Yeah.
07:03I, so I, is that, I don't think that's the number fit plus 1,500 for Kelsey.
07:06It is.
07:07I'm looking at it on bed.
07:08Oh yeah.
07:09Yeah.
07:10Yes.
07:11Fifteen to one is what he is.
07:12Yes.
07:13Fifteen to one.
07:14Yes.
07:15My apologies.
07:16Um, I would look away from Kelsey just because like, and look, I think he would have won
07:17if he had caught that touchdown at the end of regulation last year, I actually think
07:19he would have won.
07:20Um, I think like just Mahomes sucks so much of that equity away from the offensive players.
07:26If I were to bet a non chief, I'd go with Chris Jones, who anybody, Chris Jones, Mike
07:33Jones.
07:34Yes.
07:35Mike Jones.
07:36Thank you very much.
07:37Phone number two, eight, one three, three Oh eight zero zero five.
07:38Uh, yeah, I would take, I would take Chris Jones as, and maybe this is like the capstone
07:43on this chief's dynastic run, which, which would make them apologies to everyone in the
07:47new England area.
07:48This makes it the greatest run in the history of the NFL.
07:50If the chiefs, it just, there's no argument.
07:53What are you talking about?
07:54It's yeah.
07:55It's, it's over.
07:56If the chiefs win.
07:57It's done.
07:58Yeah.
07:59I don't see.
08:00I know.
08:01Sorry.
08:02Okay.
08:03The Patriots didn't three Pete in either of their runs in the 2000s.
08:04I refused to listen to a grown man with a teardrop tattoo on his face.
08:07Yeah.
08:08Well, I told you there are going to be a lot of people out there, Greg saying it, but like,
08:12it's not like I'm not a chief's fan.
08:14I don't care.
08:15I just like tell the truth.
08:16They are.
08:17They're the best team and it, and we can go down the list of the Patriots in the two thousands
08:21and the 2010s and all the playoff losses they had pre AFC championship game, not to mention
08:26the super bowl.
08:27And then you have the earliest that Kansas city has lost on this run with the homes is
08:31an overtime at home in the AFC championship game.
08:34And they would be the first team in history to three Pete.
08:36Like it's not even a question and I'm not trying to like get a rise out of people.
08:39I just think it's the truth.
08:40Yeah.
08:41Costos.
08:42We need to ask a very important question because Wiggy and I got into a bit of an argument
08:45with Shyme, uh, earlier this week.
08:48He tried to tell us that in the past year he put in $200 of his own money.
08:53That's all for the last year and ended up accurate, ended up, uh, betting 17,000 throughout
09:00the year.
09:01Yeah.
09:02So how's that possible?
09:03Yeah.
09:04So like, no, so it's not a, it made 17,000.
09:06I made 1,500.
09:07No, no, no.
09:08No, no, no.
09:0917,000 dollars.
09:1017 grand.
09:12I said he only put $200 of his own money and he made, he made enough to read, to repurpose
09:18it.
09:19Yeah.
09:20I just kept betting throughout the year.
09:21It's called a building a bankroll.
09:22So, but you're not that good.
09:23So how, so how much did you lose?
09:24According to you?
09:25I know I was up $1,500 on the year.
09:28Okay.
09:29So you bet, so you bet 17,000 like ultimate and you won 1,500.
09:32Correct.
09:33So good job.
09:34Yeah.
09:36You buy it possible.
09:37You buy it.
09:39Why not?
09:40I bet Nick bets way more than I do.
09:41He doesn't, he doesn't strike me as a liar.
09:42I'll say like he admitted to going like to drive eight hours to see the gin blossoms.
09:45Right.
09:46That's true.
09:47It happened.
09:48Yes.
09:49I don't, I don't think he's a liar.
09:50I don't think it's any reason to lie.
09:51I have none.
09:52But I even, I, I sent, I sent our Twitch guy my, uh, stat sheet thing and he put it right
09:56up.
09:57Yeah.
09:58But it didn't say how much you initially put in.
09:59But Nick, we have to give you a little bit of a, like some like backstory of Shyam's
10:04betting.
10:05Oh, here we go.
10:06He says that he only bets like $10 for a game.
10:10He's not a big bet.
10:11But also, but also even if that's true, I just want to say like, that's totally everyone
10:15like that responsibly.
10:16$10 a game.
10:17That's totally right.
10:18Right.
10:19He, he bets.
10:20He doesn't bet a lot of money.
10:21So based on those numbers that he gave us, that means he's has to be, he averages $1,400
10:27a month in bed.
10:29So how many games do you bet a night?
10:31Uh, probably four to five every night.
10:36I bet like, like I would say like five to eight games every night.
10:39Yeah.
10:40What was your number last year?
10:41Nick?
10:42Uh, well, Shyam, do you do futures or no?
10:43Uh, occasionally, but rarely because I don't think I'm good at them.
10:46No.
10:47Like I, like I, I do well with that stuff.
10:49So like my number is going to be an, I do not claim to be like the world's best.
10:52If I were the best world game by game better, I wouldn't be doing this interview right now.
10:56But like, but you do okay with the future stuff with awards, teams to win championships.
11:02That's how I started.
11:03So I don't know.
11:04I don't know.
11:05What's, what's your salary, Greg?
11:06Wow.
11:08I mean, I would assume that you're happy with your success.
11:11You would share that.
11:12I would say I'm not.
11:13Are you unhappy with yours?
11:14I'm, I'm contractually prohibited from sharing my salary with others because it would probably
11:20upset people.
11:21Yeah.
11:22We actually don't have time left in the show to get the zeros in.
11:24Greg deserves that, man.
11:26He kills it.
11:27I, that's how I started well last year as I hit on Yukon to win the national championship
11:31for the second year in a row.
11:32Yeah.
11:33So, so, okay.
11:34Okay.
11:35So here's, so here's what's happening.
11:37He's doing things to make it seem like he's a better, better than he is.
11:39He won a bunch of money on a future and that has enabled him to continue betting throughout
11:42the year.
11:43So Shyam, you're making it like you're Billy Walters.
11:44You hit Yukon to win the national, which is okay, by the way.
11:47So I just want to, I want to clear things up.
11:50Curtis had a lead like about, now, now you're backpedaling, like now I'm defending you and
11:54now I'm not going to defend you anymore.
11:55We were discussing how much the average American bets.
11:58So I offered up the fact, would you like to see how much I bet over the last calendar
12:01year?
12:02But Shyam, be honest.
12:03But Shyam, be honest.
12:04Oh, I have an opportunity to show people I've won money.
12:07No, I had no, you're lying.
12:09Costos, I won.
12:10You're lying.
12:11Costos.
12:12I won $1,500.
12:13Like, it's not like I won 25 grand, but I won was peanuts compared to an actual gamble.
12:18Am I, am I, am I right?
12:19Do you guys think yes or no?
12:21Yes.
12:22Yeah.
12:23Okay.
12:24And human nature dictates it.
12:25That's okay.
12:26All right.
12:27And you are more right than wrong when it comes to how we should wager.
12:28And that is why we love talking to you.
12:29We will get one more chance next week.
12:32Am I right about that?
12:33Uh, yeah.
12:35I'll be in New Orleans next week.
12:36I'll come on your show anytime you guys want.
12:38Okay.
12:39And Greg's salary, you can Google.
12:40It's way lower than it actually is.
12:42I'll just tell you that.
12:43Oh, thank you.
12:44I have, I have an idea.
12:45I have a, I have a ballpark idea of what, of what Greg's salary is.
12:50I will not say it under any circumstances, but I just, I think I have a pretty good idea.
12:54Well deserved.
12:55How do you know that that's not accurate?
12:56It's an assumption.
12:57Well, Courtney, what's the, what's the number that's on Google?
13:01I'll tell you if it's accurate or not.
13:02The actual number is somewhere between 200 and 500.
13:06That is way low.
13:07Well, I mean, the, the, the, the, the two numbers is not in the ballpark.
13:11I would agree with that.
13:12Wow.
13:13Way low.
13:14Also, also, but, but like, but like, but like Greg, like why would you be bad?
13:17Who cares?
13:18Like I do really well.
13:19It's awesome.
13:20You should love that.
13:21I'm whatever works for the team.
13:23Like shut up for me, for everybody that, as long as you're getting yours.
13:30But can I ask?
13:31That's how I feel.
13:32Can I ask Nick this question?
13:33Because he does gamble in his bed as a gambler and as a better, like shine was proud that
13:41he gambled for a year and made 1400 bucks.
13:45Yeah.
13:46It's awesome.
13:47Yeah.
13:48Most people lose that.
13:49That's really good.
13:50So that's a win.
13:51That's a win.
13:52I feel like there are so many more hustles that you can make well over 1400 bucks a month.
13:58But time's a huge sports fan.
14:00So this is like an extension of his, like his job.
14:02Yeah.
14:03But I don't think you should tell us that.
14:04It's like, all right.
14:05So you made 1400.

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