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00:00Let's get to the Washington commanders Atlanta Falcons matchup where there is a ton on the line
00:07Actually within this game because for Atlanta
00:10Thanks to their victory against the Giants
00:14Formality and thanks to Dallas upsetting Tampa Bay a little more surprising Dallas was actually a home dog in that game
00:21And it was actually a home victory
00:24The Falcons control their destiny
00:26However due to the fact that the Falcons are underdogs in this game
00:29Bucks fans and backers still believe they are in a very good position to win this division
00:36But if Atlanta pulls off this upset the Falcons will go into week 17
00:41Controlling their destiny Donnie. What do you think about this game on Sunday night football between?
00:48Washington and Atlanta, you know coming into this week
00:51I said to myself, you know, Washington is a home playing good football like the ride that momentum massive win over the Philadelphia Eagles
00:56Not all adds up, but then the more I look at it and you say, you know
00:59What's the weather conditions gonna be straight rain the entire football game who has the better offensive line?
01:03It's the Atlanta Falcons who has the better running game. It's the Atlanta Falcons now
01:07Yes
01:07You do have a rookie quarterback on one side and a rookie on the other but one
01:10Pretty much in his sophomore season with the amount that he's played so far in Jaden Daniels
01:14Michael panics getting his first shot on the road in a massive environment
01:17We'll see how he steps up, but you also look at that opening line four and a half points
01:21You know, it's it's today three and a half points ticket count 75% on Washington
01:25So if you're just looking at reading lines, it screams Atlanta and later in the week
01:29I've actually come to an agreement here on Atlanta. I think there's a legitimate chance. They win outright if it is going to be close
01:34I'll take the extra hook and I think Bijan and Algier are gonna control this game Joe on the ground and slow it down
01:39It's possible Donnie. I can't see it that way. I still lean to Washington with a wet track
01:45What I can tell you is I think it's a dead-under
01:48Forty-six and a half and the reason why I say that both of these teams again fighting for their playoff lives Raheem Morris
01:54I still consider a conservative type of approach. I again with the slop and the wet track
01:59I don't think they allow Michael Pinnock's to throw it 30 40 times
02:02It is a run heavy attack with Bijan and Tyler Algiers. That means clock runs time of possession
02:09Forty-six and a half is a huge total especially with the elements and again, I still think Washington they overexceeded expectations
02:17They get the victory. They expend a lot of energy now. You're at home. You're playing more of a methodical type of offense
02:23I think they could go toe-to-toe with Atlanta again. The three and a half doesn't scare me. I would lay it
02:28I think they win by a touchdown or more
02:30But my best bet in terms of this matchup Kev is the under 46 and a half
02:34So I am
02:36Waiting a little bit because the weather is a question heading into this game
02:40And I think that's what's keeping some of the props low
02:43Where I wouldn't be as interested in playing say Michael panics over 205 and a half. Yeah, I
02:48listed out a number of specials or kind of different ways you can play it a
02:53Simple one that we talked about Daniels and panics to combine for 500 plus was around plus
02:57260 the one-in-one one Russian touchdown one passing touchdown for each team plus 210
03:03How about B John Robinson and Brian Robinson jr. Each for five rush yards in each quarter plus 360
03:09I was sometimes on this desk
03:10We talked about 200 passing yards and one passing touchdown each quarterback
03:13But 250 plus passing yards and two passing touchdowns for each quarterback. That's nearly 10 to 1 Donnie for me
03:20If I come if I'm gonna get involved in Sunday night football, I'm actually gonna look to chase the ceiling
03:25Lisi, maybe it's an under but I don't think this game lands 47
03:29I think this thing could explode if these offenses are clicking and able to battle through the weather a little bit
03:34Well, if that's the case then yet both of these quarterbacks can light it up if it's a dry track then it's possible, right?
03:40And I would need to see that out of Atlanta's approach again a lot of the throws last week underneath coverage
03:46They did have the wide receiver
03:49Advantage in terms of Drake London and Kyle Pitts Kyle Pitts would a costly
03:53Drop in terms of that matchup in the end zone allowed, New York
03:56To pick it off in terms of right before the half can't have that on the road against, Washington
04:01Give the edge though to Dan Quinn going up against a rookie quarterback going up against Raheem Morris
04:06I do feel they find a way to make
04:09adjustments and just force the turnover about it the biggest thing for Atlanta if they're gonna win this game and want to run it Donnie
04:14You have to win the turnover battle. We're pinnics in that offense. I just don't think they can do it
04:19Yeah, and also last week you saw Washington win a football game where they turned the football over five times
04:23You figured they just don't turn the football over at all
04:25You're gonna keep them in the game throughout all the way regardless of what Atlanta does, but I'm just looking at Bijan Robinson
04:31I'm looking at Algier
04:31they have to control this ground game to slow it down because the better offense in
04:35Totality is with Washington and you can make up for a lot of those mistakes a rookie quarterback might make on the road in this
04:40first start if you just control that ground game four and a half five yards per carry to keep the sticks moving and again Kevin
04:46Is right the glory the great thing about legalized sports gambling is as we can get in game time here and see if that rain is
04:52Being really effective or not and make those decisions