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00:00So it's time now to dive into the over-unders for this week, and Joe, this is going to be
00:07a really interesting conversation.
00:08Let's get right to it.
00:10Jordan Love has a game against Minnesota, I believe it is in Minnesota, 245 and a half
00:16passing yards.
00:17You would think the elements would dictate as such, over or under what says you?
00:22Well, look, I think everyone's going to overreact to what you saw in the opening of the season
00:28where you had 389 passing yards against the Vikings and just want to smash this number.
00:33But this is going to be unpopular, I'm going to go under here.
00:36If you go back and look at last year, two against Minnesota, this was much more in line
00:40with this number, 229 passing yards last year.
00:43Now, again, that was beginning of the year, beginning of his career.
00:46But then week 17 last year, when they were really humping, 256.
00:50So I'm going to go under here.
00:51This Vikings defense is very good.
00:53I think this game is going to be a little bit different than what people might think
00:57of expectations.
00:58I think it's going to play a little bit tighter.
01:01I do like Darnold and Jefferson this game.
01:03I think that they have something to prove here against the Green Bay Packers.
01:07And I think Minnesota is a tough building.
01:09So I'm going to go ahead here and take the under with Jordan Love.
01:12I think everybody's running to the over.
01:14And I think Vegas with the low number is trying to tell us something and nobody wants to hear
01:18it.
01:19They've just seen value, value, value, and like flashing lights going, oh, yeah, 389
01:24last time.
01:25There's no way he's not going to go for 300.
01:26And maybe, maybe I'm wrong.
01:28Maybe Vegas is wrong.
01:29But they make a lot of hotels and they have a lot of property.
01:31So Vegas isn't wrong that much.
01:33So the fact that this number isn't 275 and a half, it's 245 and a half.
01:39They see something too.
01:41And also, let's not forget too, Christian Watson out for this game.
01:43So there's another piece missing.
01:45They become a very run heavy team here towards the second half.
01:48They really found a lot with that.
01:50So I think this might be, like I said, a little disappointing.
01:53People are rushing to the value, but I don't know if it's the right call.
01:56I'm going under.
01:58Really astute bettor's eye right there from Joe Pizzapia.
02:01Okay, let's go to a running back here, James Cook.
02:04The number is 61 and a half rushing yards over or under for the Buffalo Bills backfield
02:10standout.
02:11Well, we were over last week with James Cook.
02:15We said ladder bedded up to 100.
02:17He got us 100.
02:18Way to go.
02:19Good job.
02:20The week before, 105.
02:21Now, the week before that against the Rams, again, that game script totally got away from
02:25them.
02:26They lost 30 points.
02:27It was crazy.
02:28So they abandoned the run.
02:29I don't want to take too much out of that.
02:30The week before against San Francisco, though, 107.
02:33So the secret sauce here for the Buffalo Bills three last four weeks, you know, when they
02:37have won all those three games, basically, is James Cook rushing for 100 yards, 107,
02:43105, 100.
02:44New York Jets, that's the team you can run the football against.
02:48And I'm going over again, 61 and a half.
02:49I think this is a small number.
02:51I think this is another ladder bet opportunity.
02:54And I think people are just flat out missing this.
02:56And I don't understand why this one is so low.
03:02I understand there's sometimes fear in the marketplace, too, where, you know, you might
03:05have Josh Allen running the football a lot.
03:07But I think the Bills have shown their hand here.
03:10And once again, the up and down nature of James Cook is true, except for the fact this
03:17trend in the last month is very much the opposite.
03:19The only time out of the buy that it hasn't been that was the one game where they fell
03:24behind by a lot early, where you just took James Cook out of the equation.
03:28So again, I think there's another opportunity this week.
03:31And I am also, once again, going to ladder bet, and I think all of you should, too.
03:35There you go.
03:36There's my James Cook spiel.
03:37I approve this message.