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00:00We have a game tonight to finish off week number 11.
00:07It is the Battle of Texas, Houston Texans, Dallas Cowboys, unfortunately, Cam, the Cowboys
00:15stink now, which is very, F. Cooper runs playing quarterback.
00:20And that's another team.
00:21There's so many teams around the league where it kind of just feels like the walls are closing
00:26in on them.
00:28And the Cowboys are absolutely one of those teams.
00:30Now the Texans, Cam, kind of to go to their side of things, they haven't exactly been
00:35playing great football either.
00:38You know, they blew that big lead to the Lions last week.
00:41They lost at home.
00:42They lost to the Jets the week before that.
00:45They haven't scored a second half touchdown in four games.
00:49So as easy as this looks on paper, and whenever you see a team being a touchdown favorite,
00:57you like to think they're going to win the game comfortably.
01:00I don't know about, I don't know, Cam, you think that the, and I get, they get Nico Collins
01:04back tonight, who's been out for a long time and he's their biggest play wide receiver
01:08threat.
01:09I think it's that easy for Houston and I, Cam, just no problem whatsoever.
01:13They're going to just stroll into, and everybody has strolled into Dallas lately and beat up
01:18on the Cowboys.
01:19Everybody's done it, but maybe on a Monday night, do the Cowboys have any kind of juice?
01:24Any?
01:26You know me, Carver.
01:27I'm going to get my knife cut so many times tonight.
01:31The show with Gabe, it will be four hours of frustration because he'll be on Houston
01:35and I'm going to be on Dallas.
01:37And I will take the damn points with these guys.
01:38If I do anything, it will be Houston money line, like with a total to knock it down to
01:43plus money.
01:44I don't trust them covering seven points.
01:46I don't care who the Cowboys quarterback is.
01:48You know what I mean?
01:49Like if it was Trey Lance, maybe I would bet, bet Houston, but Cooper Rush.
01:54I think this game is going to be actually closer.
01:55I think Houston's going to win this game by like three to four points, not seven.
01:59I think it's going to be actually a tough game for them, but Carver, you know me.
02:03I have too many dogs in my house and I like too many, and that's just the way it's going
02:07to be.
02:08Nothing's that easy.
02:09When I see a number at six and a half, seven, know what I think?
02:11Teasers getting blown up.
02:13There's going to be weird stuff happening, but I don't think it's that easy for Houston.
02:17Third team that could be beaten.
02:18And I know Dallas sucks, but you'll probably like Houston tonight, but I don't, I don't
02:23really have any empirical data to back up Dallas, just a vibe.
02:28As of us speaking right now, Cam, it is seven and a half, by the way, which kind of leans
02:34me even more, I'm not going to lie to you, to maybe taking a shot with the Cowboys tonight.
02:40And the total is 41 and a half.
02:42And I will tell you here, I think we have a couple of pass to the over 41 and a half,
02:47believe it or not.
02:48And I know, I know Cooper Rush didn't leave you much, you know, didn't get you too excited
02:54last week when he was out there.
02:57I think they're going to be a little bit better this week in terms of moving the ball offensively.
03:03Maybe this game is they're both in the low twenties and Houston has to get out or Cam
03:09Houston absolutely smashes them.
03:11And I think it goes over 41 and a half because they might score 35 or 38 by themselves.
03:16So I think I have a couple of paths to the over.
03:19So I'm going to go there, Cam, instead of maybe that seven and a half, I'm gonna take
03:23the over 41 and a half.
03:25I like that.
03:26I'm going to do a teaser, probably both sides to the over, which is basically Houston winning
03:31the game.
03:32Give me Dallas 14 and a half.
03:33I know people say do six point teasers, but that's an incredibly important hook at 14
03:37and a half.
03:38So that's the way I'm going to roll.
03:40I'm going to do it's teaser night.
03:41I don't love the game, but I'll take the points with the Dallas Cowboys and all I need on
03:44those teasers.
03:45Carver is 34.
03:46I think we can get there.
03:49And I like to do this with Pharrell all the time.
03:51So I will do it with you as well.
03:53I always give him some kind of stat to make him think about it before the game.
03:57CJ Stroud, three and eight against the spread as a favorite of three or more points.
04:05Three and eight.
04:06Hasn't been great covering when, when, when the Texans have been now.
04:10And I also, so I believe this is the most he's ever been favored in a game, ever more
04:13than seven in a game.
04:16So if that goes off at seven and a half, it will be the most he's ever been favored.
04:19He's three and eight in spots like this.
04:21So that was just something to keep in mind, Cam, for tonight.
04:24As far as the props for you, the most bet props over at BetMGM, Cooper Rush under 178
04:31and a half passing guards, Joe Mixon over 86 and a half rush yards.
04:36Nico Collins over 72 and a half receiving yards.
04:39Cooper Rush under 33 and a half pass attempts, CeeDee Lamb over 59 and a half receiving yards.
04:48You will get some lamb props on the cheap tonight, Cam, if you are a believer in Cooper Rush.
04:54You will be able to get some nice alts with CeeDee Lamb, 70, 80, 90, if you think that
04:59he can get it done.
05:01I'll give you another perspective.
05:03Cooper Rush is a backup quarterback who play with backup players.
05:06His guy is Tolbert.
05:08Tolbert is the answer to the thing.
05:10You know, everyone can go with Lamb.
05:12I like Tolbert first touchdown at 22 to one tonight.
05:15Also anytime touchdown.
05:17And I think he'll go over his yards and receive.
05:19I'm all in on Tolbert tonight.
05:20Wow.
05:21All right, Cam.
05:22I'll add Tolbert in too.
05:24Now I don't have him on my board here for tonight with the Tutties, but I will throw
05:28Tolbert in the mix.
05:29I've played him in the past.
05:31That's usually a pretty good number on him.
05:32In fact, what numbers you get for Tolbert, Cam?
05:35Let me tell you what I have.
05:36I got 22 to one for first touchdown.
05:39That's too big.
05:40For first.
05:41And anytime is huge.
05:42I always play first and then I'm going to go.
05:43I got six to one for anytime.
05:45I have six to one for anytime.
05:47I have 25 to one for first.
05:50I got 25 to one for first touchdown where I'm looking right now.
05:55Who am I already in on?
05:57I'm already in on Nico Collins.
05:59And I usually hate going chalk for first touchdown, but I feel like his first game back, he's
06:05a full go.
06:07Stroud loves him.
06:08I feel like there's going to be, he's going to be looking his way early and often.
06:12So six to one for Nico Collins.
06:14Play him anytime as well at plus a buck 20.
06:16Rico Dattle is allegedly now, I guess, the lead back.
06:21So he's plus a buck 35.
06:23And this Mechie, I know that Collins is back.
06:25He doesn't get as much burnt.
06:27But this Mechie, Cam, he's been getting some looks from Stroud the past few weeks.
06:32Of course, had a touchdown against the Lions last week.
06:35550 is a little too much for me for a guy who's basically like their third guy.
06:39Now I'm in for Mechie tonight at plus 550.
06:42So that's where I'm at.
06:43I'll add Tolbert in too, Cam.
06:45Six to one for Tolbert.
06:46I'll get involved there.
06:48I'm going to tell you, I think the two biggest like value plays are Tolbert and Mechie.
06:53Everything that you talked about.
06:56And this is one thing you got to think about.
06:59You have Joe Mixon for first touchdown running back three to one.
07:02He's a favorite for a reason.
07:03But you got Dattle at like nine to one.
07:05That is a great number for a running back if they get close and they want to feed him.
07:09Like that is fantastic, Carver.
07:11And I like Dattle anytime touchdown as well.
07:13We're reading each other's mail.
07:15I usually like, you know, silly bets like this too in games that I think could be blowouts.
07:21Cooper Rush, two passing touchdowns.
07:24Now again, could be in the game and he gets two.
07:27Could be down 30 and he gets some garbage time.
07:31Four to one, plus 400 for him to throw two tutties tonight.
07:35So I kind of like that too, Cam.
07:37As a nice, yeah, it's a good price.
07:39These crap games have great props.
07:41Like that's the whole thing.
07:42But I hit those yesterday.
07:44You know, I played a, I've kind of been after that recently, Cam, because yesterday I did
07:47Drake Bay for two passing touchdowns at a good price and hit.
07:50I did Gardner Minshew for two passing touchdowns.
07:53I like taking the dog quarterback to have two touchdowns if it's a plus money number
07:59because they're going to be down in the game, you know, and there's a chance they may even
08:04get blown out in the game.
08:05And what are they doing if they're getting blown out, Cam?
08:08They're throwing the football.
08:09Could they get pulled?
08:10Sure.
08:11They could get pulled.
08:12You lose.
08:13But I'll take my chances.
08:14And that happened yesterday.
08:15Minshew and May both threw two touchdowns.
08:17We'll try it again.
08:18And look at that, Cam.
08:19It went to 390 as I was sitting here saying it.
08:20So somebody ran out.
08:21Good for you.
08:23Ran out by 390, right?
08:24Yeah, right.
08:25Yeah.
08:26A moving number.