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00:00to win outright in AFC North team in the AFC North battle
00:04that will dictate the top spot in the division.
00:08Mine, also an AFC North team to win outright
00:11to keep their postseason hopes alive.
00:14That's the Bengals on Sunday night
00:16against the LA Chargers.
00:18Cincinnati is 5-0 against the spread this year on the road,
00:22twice as an underdog.
00:24They have covered every single point
00:27twice as an underdog.
00:29They have covered in both,
00:31but lost outright against the Ravens and the Chiefs
00:34by a single point.
00:36That does not happen this week.
00:38Joe Burrow is 17-3 ATS in his NFL career
00:42when he starts a football game as an underdog.
00:45This week it is outright
00:47because of all the good numbers about the Bengals as a dog
00:50and this is not a shot to the bullets.
00:52I do believe the Chargers are a playoff team in the AFC
00:56and Jim Harbaugh has come in
00:58and done exactly what you would expect
01:00for the program and organizational builder that he is.
01:04But the Bengals can ill afford any more losses,
01:08let alone this one.
01:10They win outright as the underdog on the road
01:14on Sunday night in SoFi.
01:17Yeah, I'm with you there, Ben.
01:19You're about to see here too in just a few minutes
01:24how much I agree with you on that play.
01:27But yes, Cincinnati, it's now or never.
01:30It is now or never.
01:32Frankly, it is a limited margin of error.
01:35They've got seven games remaining.
01:37Could they win five of seven
01:40and still be a playoff team
01:42with how weak the back half of the AFC is?
01:45Perhaps.
01:46But if you want to control your path and still have life,
01:49it's got to be six of seven, you would think.
01:52And that starts on Sunday,
01:55your favorite under of the weekend,
01:57which total catches your eye.
01:59Well, it's funny.
02:00Ironically, Ben, you talked about that Cincinnati Charger game.
02:03That was actually flexed into Sunday night
02:07to replace the Colts and the Jets,
02:11which is the game I'm using to go under 43 and a half in this one.
02:17And listen, I don't trust either of these quarterbacks right now.
02:22Certainly, we cannot trust the Jets offense to do anything
02:26and say what you want.
02:27The Colts have actually done defensively
02:30a pretty darn good job here over the last month,
02:33even though they didn't have a lot of success with Joe Flacco.
02:37I think that embarrassing performance against Arizona this week,
02:41Albrecht comes out and says they're turning back the clock.
02:44They're doing tackling drills.
02:46And you know what?
02:47They better because they were flat out embarrassed
02:50with the over 20 missed tackles against Arizona last week.
02:53I don't think they'll have that kind of game here.
02:56I think the Colts are going to have a hard time here.
02:58I do think the Colts probably outright win this game
03:02and put the Jets out of the misery.
03:04But I got this at like 23 to 16 kind of game here, Ben.
03:08I get that.
03:09Just give me one Anthony Richardson touchdown,
03:12and I do agree.
03:14The team's fighting, fighting because there's not a great chance
03:17for their playoff lives at this moment.
03:20All right.
03:21My favorite under of the weekend.
03:23Brown sinks under 44 and a half in New Orleans.
03:27Joe, I looked at this total, and I said to myself,
03:30huh, this is the highest total of the year for Cleveland,
03:35under in six of nine games.
03:38New Orleans, who, of course, lit the world on fire
03:41in their opening two weeks and then lost seven consecutive games,
03:44had their first win last week with Darren Rizzi.
03:48And what happened?
03:49The game stayed well under.
03:52I don't really know how we get 45 points.
03:55Both teams are a little bit helter skelter,
03:58and their seasons don't really have much.
04:00And you can see the title of the graphic tanker try,
04:03and it's a dead even pick them on the money line.
04:08I just was a little bit shocked by that number at 44 and a half.
04:12I'll stay under Cleveland and New Orleans on Sunday.
04:16Yeah, and I think, and we talked to Mike Blewett earlier there,
04:19and I think he nailed it.
04:21The difference in this game is going to be the pass rush of the Browns
04:25versus what we just saw from the Falcons, which have none.
04:29So Derek Carr, I think, is going to struggle in this game.
04:32I don't see them scoring a lot of points.
04:34I'm with you.
04:35I think the under is probably the best look.