• 3 weeks ago
Pats/Titans who wins? Jacoby or Drake? Audacy betting insider, Nick Kostos Joins! What's his thoughts on the game?
Transcript
00:00What do you have for the parlay princess this week?
00:03She's on the losing side of things lately.
00:05Oh, wiggy, what happened?
00:07No, no, that's the parlay playboy.
00:09Oh, so who's the parlay princess?
00:11Shy.
00:12The girl on the show?
00:12Courtney is addicted, absolutely addicted.
00:14Well, Courtney, what's your parlay this weekend?
00:17Okay, so I've got a five-leg parlay,
00:19Bill's falcons.
00:20Why the five legs, Nick?
00:22Like, I mean, I have to ask Courtney that question.
00:24Well, I just did it because-
00:25I told her a million times.
00:27Well, because I just, I go with my gut, with my heart.
00:31So I have the Bill's falcons,
00:32commanders, bangles, and eagles.
00:34These are all money lines.
00:35Yeah.
00:36Okay, say it again.
00:37That was really fast.
00:38Faster than I talk, okay.
00:39Bill's.
00:40Okay.
00:41Falcons.
00:42All right, like it.
00:43Commanders.
00:44Yeah, lock.
00:45Bangles.
00:47Yeah, that one's a little iffy, but-
00:49I know.
00:50Okay, what's the last one?
00:51Eagles.
00:51Yeah, like that, that should probably win, honestly.
00:54I don't think I need to talk you out of it.
00:55I mean, I can give you another one if you'd like,
00:58but I think that that should win
00:58as a money line parlay this week.
00:59I still have one more freebie, if you will.
01:03So yeah, I'll take any parlay you have.
01:05How much is that paying though?
01:06Not great.
01:07Yeah, exactly.
01:08Because they're all favorites.
01:08I know, I'm just trying to get in the positives.
01:10No, no, see, Nick, I try to have her-
01:12That's a losing mentality, by the way.
01:13Yeah, I tried, exactly.
01:15I tried to get her to subscribe to the Parlay Playboy.
01:18Yeah.
01:19Playbook is go big or go home.
01:22They'll be cute.
01:23The Parlay Playboy's playbook is pretty good.
01:25I've seen a guy on social media,
01:27he put down a $65 bet and he won like 60 grand.
01:32Yeah, Eric Shudden.
01:33That's what I'm trying to get.
01:35No, it did happen, for real.
01:36Well, listen, scared money doesn't make money.
01:39Bingo.
01:40I think what you need to do, Courtney,
01:42you have at least one plus money underdog.
01:45Okay, just give me yours, just give me yours.
01:48How about, well, we could play it,
01:49I'll give you two options.
01:50We could play it safe and then we could get a little crazy.
01:52The safe option would be, and it's not,
01:54I mean, they're underdogs,
01:55would be Green Bay at home against Detroit
01:57with Jordan Love, probably gonna start.
01:59Now, Courtney, I know that you have notifications
02:02turned on your phone to NFL Insiders and these accounts,
02:05so you get this information immediately when it breaks.
02:07I know you have that.
02:08So you will see this afternoon,
02:10the Jordan Love practice update.
02:11If Jordan Love practices today and he's gonna play,
02:14I like Green Bay against Detroit.
02:15And if you wanna get nuts, to quote George Costanza,
02:18you know, let's get nuts.
02:20I think the, and I gave you guys the Browns last week
02:22to beat the Ravens, so it happens.
02:25I think Denver's live to beat Baltimore this weekend.
02:27And they are a huge underdog in that game.
02:29There you go.
02:30All right, I like that.
02:31That'll get you some bread.
02:33Hey, Nick, I've got a,
02:34my College Football Bets have been doing well.
02:37This week-
02:38You told me last week you've only done one this whole year.
02:40You lying to me now?
02:41No, I've done Notre Dame over Louisville.
02:43I did Ohio State, the over, I'm sorry, Oregon.
02:48Oregon and the over.
02:49Yeah, I know your bets better than you, okay.
02:51And then this week, Thursday, NFL.
02:53Yesterday, I gave you the Jets,
02:54locked straight up with the three points, done.
02:57And this weekend-
02:58It wasn't three, but okay, that's all right.
02:59Whatever the hell it was, I said, pick the Jets.
03:01And then tomorrow noon, Ohio State minus three
03:05over Penn State all day.
03:07Is that the, is it three now?
03:09Yep.
03:10Or are you making stuff up?
03:11I mean, I could be, but I saw it this morning at three.
03:13Yeah, that could be.
03:14I'm looking at, well, yeah, I'm a Bet MGM guy.
03:16Bet MGM, number's three and a half.
03:18I like Bet MGM even more.
03:20The sports book, Born in Vegas.
03:22Yeah, so I think if you want to play the,
03:25I like Penn State, but I need plus three and a half.
03:27Curtis, I think you're making a decent bet at three.
03:30My advice to people would be this.
03:31And we don't know if Drew Aller's playing.
03:33He's Penn State's quarterback.
03:33He's awesome.
03:34He's really good.
03:35He might be good enough to make up
03:36for how bad James Franklin is as a big game coach.
03:39If Aller's going to play, I think he's going to.
03:42I like Penn State, but I have to bet three and a half.
03:44So if you out there listening, you like Penn State,
03:47bet Penn State plus three and a half.
03:48Not Penn State plus three.
03:50And if you like Ohio State, lay either Ohio State minus three
03:54or if it goes under three, not three and a half
03:56to give yourself the best chance of winning.
03:57And I would just add this.
03:59Penn State has lost six straight games as a home underdog.
04:04Yeah, Franklin's terrible,
04:07but I think the quarterback might be good enough
04:09to make up for how bad he is.
04:11But yeah, he has earned that reputation
04:13as like a big game loser.
04:14So Kostos, we talked already about Anthony Richardson
04:17and him tapping out.
04:18Is there any chance that the Colts are live dogs
04:20here on Sunday Night Football with Flacco at the helm?
04:23I think the Vikings are going to score a million points
04:25in this game on the Colts defense.
04:26The Colts defense is terrible.
04:28And look, we saw last night like how broken
04:29the Texans offense is right now,
04:31like in the offensive lines, brutal.
04:32So Indy's defense played well last week against Houston.
04:35I don't see that happening this week.
04:37I like the Justin Jefferson receiving yards over.
04:39I think the Vikings are going to score now.
04:40The Brian Flores defense feels like it's gotten figured out
04:43a little bit where they've gotten shredded
04:45the last couple of weeks.
04:46Joe Flacco's seen everything in his NFL career, obviously.
04:48He's not going to be like flummoxed by whatever
04:50Flores throws at him.
04:51So I think the Colts can score also.
04:53So I don't have a strong lean on the side of the game.
04:55But Shime, I'll play over 46 and a half on Sunday night.
04:59I think we have points with the Vikings and the Colts.
05:02And assuming Pukenuku is healthy heading into the season?
05:04I don't know if that's a safe assumption at this point,
05:06unfortunately.
05:06You think so?
05:07You think that there's a chance he doesn't play?
05:09Well, I mean, he left the Thursday practice
05:10with a knee injury.
05:11Feels bad.
05:12Yeah, didn't Rapsheet, though, say
05:13it wasn't anything serious?
05:14Well, he said it's nothing serious.
05:18But his status is still in doubt coming up
05:21for this game on Sunday.
05:22I don't think he's going to play.
05:24I'm guessing, though.
05:25I have no information.
05:25OK, so this is then probably a bet
05:28you wait to make until right before kickoff,
05:30or an hour and a half before kickoff
05:31when you get the injury report.
05:32But good job.
05:33That's true.
05:3390 minutes before kickoff.
05:36That's what I get for hosting the NFL Sunday here on WEI.
05:39But so with the Rams game, I like the Rams if Nakua plays.
05:44But if he doesn't play, of course,
05:45it's a bet I'm not making.
05:46How do you feel about the Rams?
05:47Because with this offense, with Nakua and Kup on the field,
05:50they are, by like, EPR per play, one of the best offenses
05:54ever, when all three of Stafford, Cooper, Kup,
05:56How do you want me to answer?
05:57You're answering the question for me, buddy.
05:59How am I supposed to answer this now?
06:00You gave me all the stuff just now.
06:02I know, but do you believe it?
06:04Are you going to believe it?
06:05Do I believe numbers?
06:06Yes, I believe it.
06:07Yes, I believe what the stats say.
06:08Their offense is great when everybody plays.
06:10Honestly, you're way right on this.
06:12If Nakua plays, and Kup plays, and Kyron Williams plays,
06:15and Stafford plays, I love the Rams in the game.
06:18I actually think the Rams should be, like, three in the game
06:20if they all play.
06:22But if Nakua doesn't play, he's like the piece of the Jenga
06:24tower that you take out, and the whole tower falls down.
06:26So we have to wait to see if Puka Nakua is going to play.
06:29I will say, if Nakua plays, I think the Rams win.
06:32I think the Rams are way alive to win the NFC West.
06:35Oh, that was going to be my next question.
06:37It ran in my mind.
06:37And they're a big price there, like, plus $450.
06:39Nick, are you staying away from Pat's Titans
06:42because you don't know who the starter
06:43will be for the Patriots?
06:44Or does it not matter?
06:44Well, Greg, I'll take it a step further.
06:46We don't know who the starter is for Tennessee,
06:47either, at this point right now, if it's
06:49going to be Mason Rudolph or Will Levis.
06:50I think it's going to be Drake May, as NSYNC would say.
06:53It's going to be May.
06:55He was in stage four.
06:56I do that.
06:57I do that.
06:57Everyone loves it.
06:58I get messages that people love that bit, the NSYNC bit,
07:01with Drake May.
07:02Well, we have a promo saying it's
07:03going to be May the second he was started.
07:05You are, as Aaron Rodgers described himself last night,
07:08you are at perfection.
07:10Yeah.
07:11And then I have a glass of cayenne water next to me here.
07:13May was in stage four yesterday, so I think he's going to clear.
07:17And I think he's going to play.
07:19If Will Levis plays for the Titans,
07:20you can never bet Tennessee in the game,
07:22because he gives the ball to the other team.
07:24So I guess if it's May and Levis,
07:26I would just bet the Patriots to win the game.
07:28All right.
07:29That's who I bet, Nick.
07:30I'm riding with you, big dog.
07:32What do you like this week, Nick?
07:33I got $50,000 to make $12,000.
07:36So I'm riding with you, Nick.
07:37What's the bet?
07:38All right.
07:39All money line bets.
07:41I got Falcons.
07:42I got Bengals.
07:43I got Browns.
07:44I got Pats.
07:45I got Commanders.
07:45I got Saints.
07:48I got Ravens.
07:49I got Bills.
07:50I got Eagles.
07:50I got Lions.
07:51I got Seahawks, Vikings, and Chiefs.
07:54So he just told you not to bet the Lions.
07:56He also told you not to bet the Ravens.
07:58He said the Lions was one that if you,
08:01that's a conservative one.
08:03He said it was a lock.
08:04Do you want to add something like NHL?
08:06Just like a 19-leg bar light.
08:09I'm good with that.
08:10Wait, so that'll pay you $50,000?
08:12That'll pay me $12,000 for $50.
08:15So you don't like, so you think the Lions are going to lose?
08:19Look, I mean, Detroit's better than,
08:21like Detroit should be favored in the game.
08:23It's my opinion that I think Jordan Love is like,
08:26it's like next level good.
08:27And I think that has yet to kind of like,
08:29yet to kind of show itself.
08:31I think he's going to outplay Goff,
08:32and I think the Packers will win.
08:34But Wiggy, like in truth, here's some important context.
08:37A lot of the really smart people that I deal with,
08:39the sharp people I deal with,
08:40they like Detroit in the game.
08:42So I'm kind of like against the grain here.
08:44Also of note too,
08:45this is Jared Goff's first game outdoors of the year.
08:48And this will also be for Goff,
08:49and this is why everyone loved Detroit before the season.
08:52Detroit after this only has one more outdoor game
08:55this whole season.
08:56It's 15 of 17 games indoor.
08:58That's why I like the Lions to make the Super Bowl,
09:00like Lions to be the one seed in the NFC before.
09:02And what's the weather looking like at Lambeau?
09:04So I actually have it right now.
09:06The weather is going to be 13 mile per hour winds at Lambeau
09:09and it's going to rain on Sunday also.
09:11Now, here's the thing with that.
09:13So Jared Goff has small hands.
09:16Okay, Greg knows that.
09:18Can't hate on him for that.
09:19Listen, yeah, Jared Goff,
09:22like if people want to see how Jared Goff's
09:23winning off the field,
09:24like go to his Instagram account.
09:26He's doing great for himself,
09:27but he's got small hands.
09:29And we have seen Jared Goff in the rain
09:31and in inclement conditions,
09:33like puts the ball on the ground
09:34because his hands are small.
09:35He's not even making a joke, like that happens.
09:37So if this is a driving rainstorm on Sunday,
09:39it is advantage Green Bay.
09:41All right.
09:42You just talked me off the ledge.
09:43I just switched my bet.
09:44I'm going.
09:44Well, I mean, it's also Friday.
09:46Like when you get to Sunday and like,
09:47then the weather's going to be clear, you know.
09:48And it works out better because now I'm even making
09:50more money with Green Bay.
09:51I'm making 16,000 off my $30,000 bet.
09:54There you have it.
09:54Appreciate it, big dog.
09:55That is the Parlay Playboys 74 leg lock of the week.
09:59The Parlay, the Parlay Playboys.
10:0113 legs, Greg.
10:02It's not that bad.
10:02Alrighty.
10:04All right, Nick.
10:06You're the best.
10:07Great.
10:08Wishing everyone minimal sweats, winning bets.
10:09The absolute very best of luck.

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