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00:00We have the juvenile fillies turf to discuss and Will is back along with us and uh, Will,
00:09I gotta say, I was so excited to see Lake Victoria show up in this race because I think
00:14with the younger horses, I feel like we usually don't see horses this good show up here.
00:20Usually we will see horses maybe that are really prestigious, that are older, that have
00:24already had some nice accolades that come here, or maybe like some of the B string for
00:28the juvenile races.
00:30This is probably one of the more highly regarded horses I can remember coming out here in a
00:33while.
00:34Exactly.
00:35And we've been talking so far about how open and competitive the races are and maybe here
00:39we've got a race and we may well be very wrong, but it just maybe looks like she's a bit ahead
00:43of the show.
00:44I feel the same way too.
00:45Above this field and I'd be delighted to be proved wrong, but one of the things I look
00:49at is just how comfortably she's won her first two races.
00:53Very tellingly, one of our statistics is how sort of vehemently she hit the line to
00:59run out speed.
01:00I think you guys use it in Breeze Up Land, so what's the speed two seconds after the
01:05finish line?
01:06So are you really powering through your race?
01:09She would rank top on that measure over six furlongs on her first race and then again
01:12over seven furlongs on her second race and now she's going over eight furlongs a mile.
01:16In other words, she's faster than the rest of the field as she goes through that line.
01:20She's crying out for another furlong.
01:22So on top of the fact that she's won comfortably those first two races means that that bodes
01:28well.
01:29And let's face it, Aiden O'Brien, Coolmore, winning a race that's not… we're all thinking
01:34about City of Troy.
01:35This is a story we've heard before, kind of like dominating another race and perhaps the
01:39big guy, he's got a big battle to fight, but he's not brought 25 horses over here not to
01:44have one win a race quite impressively.
01:46Yeah, and this is the one that will probably be the shortest price favorite on Friday and
01:51maybe one of the shorter of the two weekends and I really wouldn't be shocked to see like
01:55a powerful performance from Lake Victoria.
01:58Couple horses to mention outside of Lake Victoria, Nitrogen who flashed some speed in the Natoma
02:03last time out has shown the ability to sit off the pace a little bit.
02:06Coretto was third in the grade too, Miss Grillo.
02:09I think if you're looking for a price play in here, maybe the Forsythian for Bill Mott
02:13whose two grass races are very good and has the type of running style that's really kind
02:19and friendly.
02:20She's very apt to different racing styles and she can always put herself in the race
02:23just sitting a couple lengths out of it.
02:25So maybe a horse here with some value that you can you can use along with Lake Victoria
02:28and a couple others in the exotics, Alexa.
02:32Let's get to all mentioned Totally Justified also who is the runner up in the Jessamine
02:37behind Mayday Ready.
02:38That was a three horse photo, a wicked tight photo right on the wire.
02:42Mayday Ready got the better of Totally Justified there.
02:45That would have been two in a row for Totally Justified.
02:48Now you can take the baton, Alexa.
02:51All right.
02:52Number six is Virgin Colada.
02:53It's interesting.
02:54Chad Brown has won this race six times and no other trainer has won it more than once.
02:57So this really is his wheelhouse.
02:59However, this is his only entrant in it this year.
03:02And you know, I'm not super impressed.
03:05I don't think Virgin Colada is going to have much to say here.
03:09Big closer, but there's just stronger here.
03:11The number seven thought process from Phil D'Amato's barn is the five to two morning
03:15line favorite and currently running races fast enough to win this one undefeated since
03:21switching to the turf has been favored in every turf start and will again likely take
03:26a lot of money this Friday.
03:29And in the grade three surfer girl that she won at Santa Anita, her comment is drew off
03:33and coasted late.
03:34So, you know, I don't think we have seen her ceiling yet and kind of coming on, coming
03:39on thought process.
03:40The data talks quite, quite favorably about thought process in terms of ranking, you know,
03:46second or third across most metrics.
03:48So that's a that's a versatile horse that kind of has pretty long stride, pretty high
03:52stride frequency.
03:53So she's got, you know, capability to to to be in the mix here, definitely at a decent
03:57price.
03:58Absolutely.
03:59Number eight is Heaven's Gate from Aiden O'Brien's barn, a 12 to one morning line.
04:04So a bit longer odds has never gone more than seven furlongs.
04:08Time form figures have improved with the added distance every time one, a group three
04:12last out.
04:14And again, Aiden O'Brien's contenders need to be looked at because he does really well
04:18when he brings them over to the U.S. for the first time.