• 7 hours ago
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Transcript
00:00Good morning. We are still in CogNight. In this stormy and rainy season, we are live with Ana Clorin-Horda, weather specialist from Pagasa. Good morning, Ms. Ana.
00:11Good morning also, sir Arjo.
00:14Is the chance of a stormy storm that will hit the PAR again high?
00:20Yes, sir. According to our forecast, if it comes out of our area of responsibility this afternoon or later tonight,
00:27it is possible that it will be a looping scenario here in Baguio-Cristin.
00:31So, we expect that by next week, it will be possible for it to come back to our area of responsibility.
00:38So, this movement is possible because of the possibility of another storm coming in,
00:45it is possible for it to be a storm by next week.
00:48Ms. Ana, can you please explain to us if this looping is called a Fujiwara Effect?
00:54And why is there a Fujiwara Effect?
00:57Yes, sir. The Fujiwara Effect, we have a condition to call it a Fujiwara Effect.
01:04So, first, their distance. Their distance should be around 1,400 kilometers from each other.
01:10So, for now, there is still a distance between Baguio-Cristin and another tropical depression that we are monitoring.
01:19So, for now, we have not seen a Fujiwara Effect.
01:22But in the coming days or by next week, we will see that they will get closer.
01:28So, though now, the chance is low, but in the coming days,
01:32we will not rule out the possibility that there will be an interaction between the two that we are monitoring at the same time.
01:39And one more thing, the Fujiwara Effect is at least in the tropical storm category that we are monitoring at the same time.
01:46So, for now, only in the tropical depression is there a storm that is outside our area of responsibility.
01:52Ms. Ana, where is the other storm that is being monitored outside the PIR?
01:56And this is Leon. When is it expected to come in?
02:00Yes, sir. The other storm that we are monitoring as of 3 a.m. today
02:05is at a distance of 2,440 kilometers from Cabizayaan.
02:10And if possible, by Sunday or Monday, we will see that it will enter our area of responsibility.
02:18Ms. Ana, is there a chance for Leon to landfall here in our country?
02:23For now, we have two scenarios regarding the tropical depression that we are monitoring that may be Leon.
02:31First, it is possible for Leon to landfall again in another part of the Northern Luzon area.
02:37And the second scenario is that it is possible for Leon to recurve again in another part of our area of responsibility.
02:44But if it does recur, what we can see is that this Tropical Depression,
02:48it is possible for it to cause rain again especially in areas of the Northern Luzon area or Ilocos region area.
02:57Ms. Ana, we have seen another low-pressure area that is also close to the Tropical Depression that we are monitoring.
03:04Is it high enough for this low-pressure area to cause a storm?
03:08Yes. The LPA that we are monitoring that is close to the Tropical Depression,
03:14it is also possible for it to dissipate within 24 hours or for its circulation to increase in the Tropical Depression that we are monitoring.
03:22Good morning and thank you very much Ms. Ana Clorin Horda, weather specialist from Pagasa.
03:28Thank you. Good morning.

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