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00:00Game number three in the you know Queens it's chilly temperatures you don't get
00:08that nice sunny 70 degrees out there on the west coast things change Buellers on
00:12the mound maybe he can bounce back to his form we saw from a couple years ago
00:15he was one of the better young pitchers Luis Severino no stranger to pitching in
00:19the city of New York a favorite here at the fan blue sportsbook to who it's a
00:24Los Angeles Dodgers minus 116 price there's a total of seven and a half
00:29dubsy tonight a pivotal game number three Citi Field in Queens how we feeling
00:35about it nine runs in the first game it was ten in the second it's a low total
00:40projected to be there right there abouts a pick him I think the Mets have got a
00:46really good chance and you know a couple of different storylines for you to
00:49starting pitchers you highlighted there Donnie Walker Bueller getting the start
00:53for the Dodgers and Bueller had a really good chance of going for game two Dave
00:57Roberts decided to keep the star arm back for game three just having that
01:01postseason experience the playoff experience if you will and going into
01:05Citi Field this is not gonna be a yeah an easy afternoon an easy evening if you
01:11will and take a look at the way the series projects it's gonna be a tough
01:14next three games so this would be imperative for the Dodgers to get the
01:19score here for the Mets Luis Severino I feel like Mr. consistency from what we
01:24have seen going through the regular season and again this is a big spot but
01:28no no I guess no cause for concern that Luis Severino wouldn't show up with
01:34these best stuff out there this evening so I think the Mets have got a really
01:37good chance I highlighted they're gonna be my
01:39price play I think the Dodgers a little vulnerable in this spot I love what I've
01:44seen from Yamamoto but outside of that ace I think guys like Walker Bueller
01:49just shown us time and time again it's really tough to trust them in a big spot
01:53like this one the Mets are playing with momentum they're playing with confidence
01:57and they've got that New York grid and that's what you want to see in October
02:01yeah you see that graphic up there which again is crazy to look at a couple years
02:05ago never would have thought this Walker Bueller coming back from injury this
02:09season one and six overall with a 5.38 ERA hasn't been great down the stretch
02:13Luis Severino under a 4 ERA much more starts 11 and 7 on the season now
02:18granted Dovesy right there's pressure on both teams you don't get to the league
02:21championship series in the city of New York or Los Angeles and not have
02:24pressure but to me I do think the Dodgers tonight under or more under more
02:28pressure than the New York Mets and yes the winner of this game is gonna have a
02:32decided advantage and the losers certainly is not going to be out of this
02:35series but you no longer have that 2-2-1-1-1 world series where you say okay
02:40home team gets to row team gets to best of three with the home team advantage
02:44because you might not get a return trip to Los Angeles if you don't win at least
02:48one game here in New York so if the Dodgers can secure that victory you're
02:53starting to play from that advantage and you know worst-case scenario we still
02:56get to go home but now why not let's take advantage you win two of three
02:59games here in New York before we get home we only have to win one of those
03:02final games and you're seeing that close spread number here the close money line
03:07I should say at the fan blue sportsbook at a minus one team minus 116 minus 102
03:11split but if we are looking at both of these pictures as I was you know going
03:14over in that last hour who has the decided advantage each one of these
03:18pictures wants to pitch to their strength Luis Severino filthy on the
03:22season here up against right-handed batters so with that Dodgers lineup
03:25even though I love Mookie Betts he's a right-handed batter I love to ask her
03:28Hernandez he's a right-handed batter I'm not going that direction but if you are
03:32looking at just pure lefties in that lineup it's Shohei Otani and it's
03:35probably Max Muncy as the best of it both of those hitters over the past 30
03:39days have excelled against right-handed pitching if we go over to the opposite
03:43side and say well what's Walker Bueller been doing he's actually been very good
03:46over the past 30 days against lefties and has been bad against righties so
03:50even though I like Brandon Nimmo as a hitter who was destroyed right-handed
03:53pitching over the past month of Z I'm more looking towards who are those
03:56right-handed batters going to be from things like you know what let's go with
03:59Lindor well he's a switch hitter going up against a righty he's gonna back from
04:02the left-hand side I don't want that I'm focused on Pete Alonso in that lineup I
04:06think can do damage as well as Mark Vientos so there are some sides here if
04:11you don't want to take a look at the overall game like the Mets and the
04:14Dodgers or the total I think you get some ins here with some of these batters
04:17Dubsy