What would it take for a change of government in Queensland? That depends on how many seats change hands.
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00:00Politics is a numbers game, and never more so than during an election, because whoever
00:08wins the most seats gets to govern the state and take up residence in the Tower of Power.
00:16So let's do the numbers.
00:17Queensland's parliament has 93 seats.
00:20Right now, Labor has 51, the LNP, 35.
00:25Canada's Australian party has four, the Greens two, and there's one Independent.
00:31But the most important number this election is 47.
00:35That's how many seats a party needs to win to govern in its own right, without having
00:40to negotiate with any minor parties or Independents.
00:44So if you do the maths, Labor has a bit of a buffer.
00:48It could lose four seats and still secure a fourth term in office, allowing Stephen
00:53Miles to continue on as Premier.
00:56On the other side, the LNP would need to pick up an extra 12 seats to win a majority, booting
01:02Labor off the government benches and making David Chrisofulli the first LNP Premier since
01:08Campbell Newman.
01:10That might sound like a big ask, but in a state like Queensland that's famous for
01:14its landslide victories and defeats, it has been done before.