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00:00Live right here on this football Friday on the early line and as always a football Friday means
00:07more than just the National Football League in a Sunday slate it is a jam-packed and loaded
00:12week five slate around college football with four ranked versus ranked matchups the most in a single
00:19Saturday tomorrow in week number five and Joe the game of the year in college football at least up
00:27until this point comes our way on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa it is number four Alabama and number
00:35two Georgia the line is moving as of Thursday afternoon and now this Friday morning Georgia
00:44still remains a road favorite inside Brian Denny and again it does bear repeating it would be the
00:50first time that Alabama would be a home underdog even if it's just catching a point and a half
00:56and pretty close on the money line since November of 2007 total on the rise as well upper 40s earlier
01:03in the week now north of 50 at 50 and a hook we've talked about this game earlier on Tuesday
01:11has your thought changed at all the day prior to we get underway in Tuscaloosa yeah actually my
01:18thought has changed uh because now that the line has dropped from two and a half to three Ben
01:23I've actually bet more on Georgia uh so my that's exactly how uh this is gonna work I mean listen
01:30Georgia struggled against Kentucky on the road yeah and of course then they had the bye week right
01:37so we have seen we've watched what they dominated Clemson and Clemson all of a sudden doesn't look
01:41all that bad does it yeah they looked really bad against that defense of Georgia here now give
01:48credit to Alabama I mean Alabama's defense has been pretty decent in fact a couple of three
01:55pretty decent passing teams that they pretty much shut down the problem is they can't defend the run
02:02as well as Georgia can and if they can't run on Georgia then it's going to be a very long day I
02:08think for Milrow I think Georgia clearly is the better defense I think offensively they're going
02:14to impose their will here too many ways to beat you for Georgia at this number Georgia on the
02:20money line all day long to get it done completely agree Joe I still remain pretty steadfast in the
02:26idea that Georgia is a better football team I think Alabama will be in the college football
02:31playoff one of the great things about this game of the year some might argue well the result
02:36doesn't matter then if both teams can get into the CFP malarkey we enjoy the atmosphere the
02:42excitement and the significance of this game and still might get to see two of the best teams
02:48naturally in the country play for a national championship when all is said and done which
02:54was not the case last year for Georgia because Joe since the end of 2020 the Bulldogs ended that
03:00season on a four-game win streak they have played 51 games including those last four to end out 2020
03:07they have won 49 of 51 49 of 51 with their only two losses coming to this Crimson Tide team
03:15in the SEC championship in fact Alabama and Georgia have met more in postseason play since
03:22the 2021 season two SEC titles and of course a national championship game as well than they have
03:29in regular season affairs this just the third regular season meeting since 2015 and oh by the
03:36way in that 2015 regular season matchup UGA was also the favorite Alabama has only been an
03:42underdog in total five times since 2015 four of the five against the Bulldogs they're three and
03:50two straight up and against the spread in those games as an underdog and Joe you are correct that
03:56we have two really good defenses two of the 10 teams around the country allowing less than 10
04:01points per game and you can look at Georgia in their last game on the road in Lexington and talk
04:07about their struggles offensively they were out gained by the worst SEC offense that is Kentucky
04:15I still favor Georgia in this football game all right let's keep it rolling throughout the rest
04:21of the Saturday slate a top 20 tilt in South Bend between Notre Dame and Louisville Joe as we look
04:28at this spread it is near a touchdown in favor of the fighting Irish it was also near a touchdown
04:35six and a half in favor of Notre Dame last year on the road against a top 25 ranked Louisville
04:42team and if you remember the Irish kept it close against Ohio State the next week they won in
04:47dramatic comeback fashion on the road in Durham had to go to Louisville and play this game as
04:53well we thought Notre Dame got their season back on track with the win over Riley Leonard and the
04:59Blue Devils they got beat outright by the Cardinals the only game Louisville has been an underdog
05:04under second year head coach Jeff Braum and they won outright what are we going to see between these
05:10two top 20 teams on Saturday under the watchful eye of touchdown Jesus ah well listen Ben I love
05:17this another one of these uh revenge games here as we all know Notre Dame got burned uh by Jeff
05:24Braum and the Cardinals last year why because Sam Hartman forgot what team he was playing on and
05:29threw four interceptions but Louisville had dominated Hartman when he was at Wake Forest so
05:36there was some history there where maybe Hartman maybe Louisville was in Hartman's head the problem
05:42is Louisville did the same thing to Duke and Riley Leonard a year ago won 23 to nothing there
05:49went 9 of 23 and it was embarrassing does that correlate into another bad showing I think it does
05:58Ben and I and here's the reason why Louisville cannot rush the ball they can't rush you are not
06:04going to beat Notre Dame by trying to air it out against that defense and putting him in harm's way
06:10here if they can't run uh I think Rourke is uh is in big trouble I think the defense of Notre Dame
06:17is going to show up big here I think they get the revenge if you like Notre Dame don't be weary of
06:23the six and a half and they're going to win and win rather easily that's how I feel as well Joe
06:29the reason that Louisville has been great this year three and oh straight up and against the
06:33spread is because of Tyler Schuck which is a really good thing however the big difference
06:37last year was the two-headed monster in the backfield of Jowar Jordan and Isaac Correndo for
06:42the cards this year they're going with Donald Chaney the Miami transfer who has not emerged as
06:47the lead back and a couple of young freshmen they barely ran it last week against Georgia Tech
06:53Notre Dame has to play from in front if you trust the right arm of Riley Leonard it is going to lead
07:00you being screwed time and again but if they can run the football against a good defensive front
07:06for the cards they are going to have success I think they make good on winning a home game
07:11and covering for the first time this year the two times they haven't against MAAC opponents
07:17at least Louisville is an ACC team more from Saturday next top 25 team in action on this
07:23Friday and it's not even the best game in college football on this Friday night all eyes will
07:29circulate on Piscataway New Jersey let's go to another big 10 bash though one of those four
07:35ranked versus ranked games we have tomorrow it's a large spread number nine Penn State 17
07:41and a half point home favorite under the lights and what should be a raucous white out type
07:46atmosphere in State College against number 19 Illinois 47 and a half is that total Joe you see
07:54the total you see the spread three scores less than seven touchdowns can Penn State cover the
08:00number tomorrow night they are certainly capable of covering that number then but my fear is this
08:10Penn State defense isn't as good as people are giving them credit for and I worry about that
08:16because is it me or is Illinois Luke Altmeier basically decided he is going to give everyone
08:24the middle finger every week and say oh you don't believe I can do this huh well he has been pretty
08:30damn good he was great in an impossible start in uh what Friday in Nebraska right Friday night
08:36lights in Nebraska we go ends up getting it done when it mattered the most I think Illinois's
08:42defense is certainly on par with Penn State uh it would not shock me if we get way more points
08:48in this game than we think we are sure Penn State can cover this number can am I running to the
08:55window to back them to do it not from what I've seen from Penn State so far and they are a great
09:01favorite when expected to win a football game under James Franklin they often do and cover
09:06since the start of 2022 19 5 and 1 against the spread but how about those Burt Bielema boys
09:14for Illinois I know it's Brett I like to call him Burt Bargeball there is a reason they have been
09:19prolific as an underdog 14 and 8 against the spread 9 outright victories under Burt
09:25since the start of 2021 I would never recommend laying 17 and a half against this Illini team
09:32who put together a masterful defensive performance only allowing Nebraska 48 rushing yards a week
09:39ago but there are advantages here for Penn State I think Nicholas Singleton has a big day over 86
09:46and a half rushing yards Luke Altmeier has played efficient football Connor Bazelak a guy with a
09:52little bit of Big Ten experience from his days at Indiana now the Bowling Green quarterback
09:57went in the State College threw for more than 252 touchdowns and two interceptions
10:02and most importantly Joe was not sapped by Penn State if they can keep Luke Altmeier out
10:08upright he has been very efficient this year the only quarterback in college football
10:12with double digit touchdown tosses and zero interceptions I think it's closer I do think
10:18Penn State wins this game outright probably even by double digits but just wouldn't lay 17
10:25and a half our fourth and final ranked versus ranked game Joe loses a little bit of the appeal
10:31that we thought it might have entering this week as both teams got beat and pretty bad
10:38last week Oklahoma State close game but they were a home pick them against a cam rising
10:44less Utah team and got ran all over by Makai Bernard Kansas State suffered what many people
10:50have figured out late night in Provo is never easy they got blown out 38 to 9 against BYU
10:57four and a half though is the number this week in favor of the Wildcats Joe for two teams still
11:03looking to be in contention for the Big 12 and this is an important game what gives tomorrow
11:08in the Little Apple that's a huge game and I would have loved one of these two teams to
11:13actually have won last week because it would have made picking this game a lot easier but
11:19the fact that both of them didn't show up and both of them looked pretty terrible while losing
11:27Oklahoma State at home Kansas State on the road it makes this game a little bit more
11:31tricky here the reality is this line opened up at six we're seeing four and a half now
11:37Oklahoma State's money has been coming in Kleinman has been fantastic when it comes to
11:44all day loss in this spot here they've handled Oklahoma State in the past but it doesn't take
11:51away from the fact that I don't think we've seen Oklahoma State's best yet namely Ali Gordon who
11:58is running behind the most experienced offensive line in the country Ben and he's only averaging
12:032.7 yards of carry I do think that changes in this game I also think Kansas State's inability
12:10to stop the big play is what's going to cost them this game and get Oklahoma State to win
12:16outright on the road in Manhattan K-State has not been nearly as good defensively as Chris
12:22Kleinman teams of the past Oklahoma State as a dog since 2021 11 and 6 against the number
12:29nine outright victories in that span though K-State has been good covering numbers
12:34in big close play more college football when our three starts next welcome to our number three live
12:40right here on this football Friday on the early line on sports grid our third and final hour and
12:46although a football Friday so much to get into here we will set the stage for the college football
12:52weekend the game of the year so far as we enter the week five Saturday slate tomorrow night in
12:58Tuscaloosa a top five tilt between second ranked Georgia and fourth ranked Alabama we'll look at
13:04the Friday night games that we have some other marquee matchups for this college football weekend
13:09as well and then of course our final half hour is all about the best bets and the pick six for the
13:16entirety of your weekend slate around the national football league and oh albeit a football Friday
13:24also the final weekend of this MLB regular season everything at stake over these final
13:29series this weekend and of course maybe a doubleheader on Monday in Atlanta between
13:34the Braves and the Mets sign me up for it here uh Ben I love this I love the conference games
13:41I love the put up or shut up in the uh in the NFL now as we get ready to say goodbye to September
13:47and who doesn't love post-season major league baseball Ben come on come on we love October
13:54you have to love October before we get to October it's the final Saturday of September
14:00it's week number five of this college football season and Joe we've had some great games we've
14:05had some marquee matchups we've had a ton of ranked versus ranked games none have been better than what
14:11we are going to see on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa Alabama the fourth ranked Crimson Tide
14:17a home underdog against number two Georgia what a game it is going to be and we want to get not
14:26just Joe's thought or my thought on it we've already told you we think Georgia is the better
14:31side what about you out there among all of the people what's the best bet for the marquee matchup
14:37and the game of the year so far in CFP it was the question for all of you and Fade the Public
14:50and dare I say Geronari I think we're starting to see a little bit of why the line is now
14:55only a point and a half in favor of UGA the fact the dogs are even a favorite is worth noting but
15:02it was two and a half earlier in the week what is the best bet for Saturday's game between Alabama
15:08and Georgia it was the question to all of you at Sports Grid on Twitter still most of the public
15:14nearly 36 percent selecting Georgia laying a point and a half but the second most votes nearly 28
15:21percent on Alabama the under 50 and a hook is the total is on the rise ever so slightly
15:27has the third most at 25 and a half we got to get a Geronari Fade the Public stinger as well
15:34the guys here twice a week right we can't see Donny's face or Fade the Public we'll get to that
15:39in just a little bit but Joe the public still backing Georgia what do you make of it so I've
15:46been here uh 20 years man I can't even get on the app so I'm not holding my breath for the stinger
15:52uh let's uh I agree with the public I think the public is uh spot on I also think uh the public
15:59might be realizing that Nick Saban ain't walking through that door anytime soon and whatever record
16:06of success Bama has had in the past against Kirby Smart and company that goes out the window the
16:12minute that Saban left the building here so I think the public very smart and astute in looking
16:19at Georgia in this one listen 52 percent of the money on the spread so far has been Georgia right
16:28so it's pretty close between the public the sharp side whatever it might be ultimately as I have said
16:34before I think the better football team is Georgia does not mean I think Alabama is a fraud a joke
16:40or they're not nearly as good as the record indicates three and oh after they're opening
16:44three weeks and nearly covering in all three games thanks to the huge fourth quarter against
16:49South Florida a couple of weekends ago these are two of the top 10 defenses in the country
16:56Alabama Joe one of 14 teams averaging 45 points per game or more this year they are one of two
17:03teams alongside Navy that does not put up more than 450 yards of total offense why they have
17:11been so explosive and haven't needed a ton we will need everything if you are an Alabama backer
17:18for this matchup against UGA I understand the Bulldogs were out gained by Kentucky I know it
17:24was a bad game both in terms of covering a number to start SEC play and in terms of what our eyeballs
17:32saw two Saturdays ago in Lexington Georgia has lost two football games in their last 51
17:39since the middle part of the 2020 college football season both have come to Alabama
17:44both in the SEC championship and I understand that Alabama has gotten the better of Georgia
17:50two of the three times they have met since 2021 but those were postseason games Georgia's won 42
17:58consecutive regular season games I think Georgia comes out with a victory and now it's a near pick
18:03a money line play for the Bulldogs in Tuscaloosa tomorrow night keep an eye on the Alabama rushing
18:11defense because they haven't had any they've given up an average of 194 rushing yards almost five
18:18yards per play against South Florida and Wisconsin their last two games if that doesn't if they can't
18:24if they give those numbers up to Georgia it's going to be a very long day for Alabama they need
18:31to stop the run which brings up the issue of can they actually run on this Georgia defense
18:37as well I doubt that very much it was Georgia's weakness if you want to call it that last year
18:44they were a top 25 rushing defense but allowed nearly 118 yards per game the previous two years
18:51they won a national championship they were top five in the country allowing less than 85 yards
18:56per game in each again both of these teams I think will have a seat at the table come college
19:03football playoff time I bet Alabama with a profit boost at minus 115 to make the CFP before the year
19:09got started plus 109 feel pretty good about it and it's one of my favorite things about this
19:13new 12 team expanded CFP era if Alabama loses this game and it's close we'll say to ourselves
19:20that was a true matchup between two of the 510 best teams in the country I hope they both get a
19:26chance to play in the CFP at the end of the season Joe let's get to some of the other games that we
19:33haven't hit on just yet in college football that includes tonight seventh ranked Miami at home on
19:39a Friday night against Virginia Tech a game that when the line opened up in the summer it was a
19:46team or it was a matchup between two teams we expected to both contend for the ACC Virginia
19:51Tech maybe that sleeper up and coming 21 starters back the most we had seen for a power conference
19:57program this year and there was optimism for the Hurricanes but for Miami it was proved that
20:04optimism in year three under Mario Cristobal through four games Miami has answered the bell
20:10Virginia Tech has not looked great two and two and just one and three against the spread now a 17
20:16and a half point number what are your thoughts on this Friday night in South Florida well big
20:23big uh disappointment Virginia Tech for a lot of people so far here but the good news for them is
20:30that they haven't played anybody in the ACC yet uh that loss to Rutgers last week was very
20:37disappointing their defense was on the field for most of that game as Rutgers dominated a time of
20:43possession there now you're asking a Virginia Tech team and its defense to go on the road and take on
20:49the single most dominant football team on both sides of the ball thus far through the season
20:55we're talking about a Miami team here Ben that has overwhelmed its opponents we're talking over
21:01600 yards per game of offense nine yards per play only giving up around four yards per play
21:09they are scorching the earth this year Mario Cristobal the Hurricanes listen it's a big number
21:16they're at home and they have absolutely no intention of taking their foot off the gas
21:21against anybody I would only lay it if I'm playing it here tonight with Miami
21:27second best total offense in the country 605 yards per game it's Miami it's Ole Miss
21:33the two teams averaging more than 200 yards on the ground and more than 400 through the air
21:39Cam Ward the Heisman Trophy favorite is thrown for at least three bills in every game and do not
21:44forget maybe the best game of this Friday Rutgers a one and a half point favorite only now against
21:50Washington some live movement against the Scarlet Knights not great