The Big Story | Which Online Retailers Will Come Out On Top During The Festive Season | NDTV Profit

  • 2 days ago
As we head into the #Diwali and #DurgaPuja festivals, consumers will drive significant revenue towards retailers, with #ecommerce companies leading the charge.


Who will come out on top? Find out with Nupur Talwar Suri on 'The Big Story.' #NDTVProfitLive
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Transcript
00:00Well, festive cheer has arrived early with the big discount deals on Amazon and Flipkart.
00:09Consumers have begun to rush to snag deals on everything from electronics to fashion.
00:15Hello and welcome.
00:16You are watching The Big Story on NDTV Profit and I'm Nupur Talwar Suri.
00:20In the spotlight today is the great Indian battle of e-commerce sales.
00:24The upcoming October to December period is critical for retailers as festivals from Diwali
00:29to Durga Puja drive up sales, contributing a significant portion of the annual revenue.
00:35Consumers are embracing the festive spirit with their proactive shopping behavior, signaling
00:40an even stronger performance ahead.
00:42Now, leading smartphone brands like Xiaomi and Samsung are capitalizing on the moment,
00:49slashing prices and pushing hard to clear stocks while encouraging retailers to meet
00:54bold targets.
00:56E-commerce heavyweights, Amazon Flipkart as well as Myntra along with the rapid delivery
01:00services like Blinket and Zepto are leading the charge, rolling out discounts as high
01:06as 80% with ultra-fast delivery options.
01:10On The Big Story, we look at who's dominating the e-commerce shopping space.
01:25And to discuss this further, we are now joined by Mr. Anil Bharadwaj.
01:31He's the Secretary General of the Federation of SMEs.
01:34Mr. Bharadwaj, good evening.
01:35Thank you very much for speaking to us on NDTV Profit.
01:38Now, Mr. Bharadwaj, of course, this is a time, you know, when big e-commerce wars actually
01:44play out in the country.
01:45Everywhere you look, e-tailers have been aggressively advertising.
01:50They're trying to woo Indian shoppers with discounts.
01:53That almost would seem unbelievable, up to 80% off, up to 85% off.
01:58Now, we are also looking at revenues worth about one lakh crore this year.
02:04How do you see this big battle to capture this space?
02:10See, this is a fact of Indian retail industry that almost 40 to 50% of sales happen during
02:18the festive period.
02:20And almost everybody is predisposed to buy, to decorate houses for gifting.
02:25So gifting, as a matter of fact, majority of the gifting takes place during this period.
02:30And sellers have their tasks cut out.
02:32They also want to leverage this predisposition of the clients and the consumers.
02:39And they stock goods, they plan, they do their inventory planning, capital management, etc.,
02:44exactly for this one month and a half or two.
02:48So our members also stock stuff and they plan and they try to club many products together
02:55and try to push as many as possible.
02:58So it's like selling more and based on the quantity, they want to reduce the prices and
03:05deals come.
03:07So some, of course, may go up to 20%, 30%, 40%.
03:13So I mean, this is interesting as well as good for consumers.
03:18Right now, Mr. Bhajwaj, there are a lot of consumers who actually wonder whether these
03:24big giants actually first bump up the prices and then appear to give discounts.
03:32And that's the question on a lot of people's minds as to how much discount are you actually
03:37getting?
03:38Are these discounts for real?
03:40Well, to be honest, India is such a large market and there are so many sellers, hundreds
03:46and thousands of sellers, both online and offline.
03:49It is impossible to manage the prices, to be honest.
03:52So there is no possibility of bumping up the prices and then giving the discounts.
03:59The discounts are genuine.
04:01The difference is that people try to push the inventory because they have stocked it
04:07and they have, I mean, if you sell more, then there is a possibility that you can reduce
04:13the prices.
04:14So it's based on that bulk sale that ultimately they have been able to reduce prices.
04:20And they also know that if they miss out on this window of opportunity of one month and
04:25a half or two, then they will have to wait for next one year.
04:29So I think at the end of it, maybe the discounts will be pretty steep.
04:35In the beginning, maybe less, but I guess most of the discounts are real.
04:41What you are essentially saying is that it's actually volumes that are driving up these
04:46sales and the, you know, manufacturers are looking at perhaps doing enough volume to
04:53be able to gather profits.
04:55But you made this point about, you know, the first people who hit the sale.
04:59Now, there is some research that seems to suggest that the first one week of these sales
05:04is actually where you get the best deals and also where, you know, retailers actually
05:11get the maximum profits.
05:13Well, that depends actually from product to product.
05:17So I mean, it may be different in mobiles, it may be different in perfumery products
05:21or maybe different in maybe foodstuff.
05:25So it depends.
05:26So I think because of the competition, there are different people and they check out their
05:30own strategies to market that what suits them most.
05:34But there is no method to it, actually.
05:37So it is basically their own individual market genius that they want to try out.
05:43Right.
05:44Now, what we see in reports that are coming out, it seems to suggest that mobiles and
05:50fashion is something that has the biggest piece in the pie.
05:55Mobiles, yes, smartphones, top of everybody's list.
05:59But fashion, do you see this as a growing and a changing trend?
06:03Absolutely, for sure.
06:05I mean, fashion has entered into gifting, which was not earlier the case.
06:09Earlier, people used to gift only dry fruits and maybe biscuits and chocolates.
06:15Now, fashion has entered into it, perfumery in a big way.
06:19So I think it is maybe because that you have more choice.
06:23The brands are also there, which are more dependable.
06:25And the prices are also more stabilized.
06:27So people are aware that if you buy not in this season, you might end up paying more.
06:33So I think it works out because of the volumes and because of the ease of choice between
06:39many brands.
06:41Right.
06:42Also, the battle also seems to be shifting now to tier two and tier three cities.
06:48You know, earlier it was just the metros, which essentially contributed to much of the
06:53growth that we see in, say, the big guys, that's Flipkart and Amazon.
06:58But now we are seeing an interesting trend that it's also picking up in tier two and
07:01tier three cities.
07:02Is that something you have noticed as well?
07:05Yes, yes, you're right.
07:07And there are two major drivers for that.
07:09One is the connectivity, road connectivity, and the other is the connectivity of the mobile.
07:14So now, I mean, the villages in the remotest part of India, you would have two MP, the
07:21speed of two MBPS per second, which makes the smartphone works even in the villages.
07:29And people can use the apps of major platforms and order them online.
07:35And the good thing is that the goods can be delivered at their doorstep because of the
07:38better road connectivity.
07:40So I think a lot of good things have converged to create new markets in tier two and tier
07:46two, three cities.
07:48Now, in the beginning of this game, there were just two major players.
07:52One, of course, was Flipkart and then there was Amazon.
07:55Now we hear almost of new names coming up.
07:58Misho is one which seems to be picking up at least in tier two and tier three cities.
08:03And there are several others.
08:05How do you see this playing out in the longer run?
08:09Well, I think at the top, there may be two or three broad based platforms.
08:16And then, of course, there would be niche players, maybe regional players, maybe specializing
08:20in certain commodities, maybe specializing delivery on the speed of delivery.
08:26So India, I think, is a very hot market and it is providing opportunities for a lot of
08:30innovations to take place.
08:32So I think it's good.
08:34And looking forward, I think there are more opportunities for newer players who can serve
08:40those customers who have remained unserved until now.
08:44All right.
08:46Thank you very much for joining us on this discussion, Mr. Bhardwaj, good to have you
08:51on the show.
08:53Pleasure is mine.
08:55All right.
08:56Now, the big question that everybody is going to be asking today is that where is it that
09:00you can find the best discounts and how do you make the best use, essentially, of this
09:06season of discounts?
09:07And NDTV Profits' Mallika Mishra brings you the hacks.
09:13The Great Indian Sale on Amazon and the Big Billion Days on Flipkart are on.
09:18The sales went live today on 27th September.
09:21And for those of you who have Amazon Prime and Flipkart's VIP membership, you would have
09:26gotten access to the sale discounts from the 26th of September itself.
09:30Predictably, the Internet is flooded with videos and articles providing hacks on how
09:34to get the best discounts.
09:36We compiled seven best hacks for you.
09:39Hack number one, you must have a subscription or membership of these platforms.
09:44In case of Flipkart, you can also buy the early bird pass in just 99 rupees.
09:49Hack number two, you must have the right bank card, for instance, to make the best use of
09:55the Flipkart sale, an HDFC credit card or debit card could turn out to be of great advantage.
10:00And in case of Amazon, an SPI card could be the most beneficial one.
10:05If you don't have either, you could go for Flipkart access bank card and Amazon ICICI
10:10bank card.
10:11Even gift cards help with great discounts and cashback.
10:14Now, hack number three, most importantly, have clarity on what you want to buy before
10:19the sale starts itself, like which phone, which laptop, you should be clear about what
10:24color, how much storage, which version, etc.
10:28Have accurate clarity on the product of your interest.
10:32Hack number four, add the card and the shipping address to your account way before to avoid
10:37items going out of stock while you fill out these details.
10:40The catch is to make your purchase quick because the best deals are available in the first
10:4615 minutes of the sale.
10:48Hack number five, pre-install and keep a price history tracker on your phone or laptop that
10:53will help give you a better idea of the discount because people often get distracted with seemingly
11:00large discounts.
11:01This in turn will keep you focused on what you want to buy.
11:05Hack number six, before purchasing any product, compare its price on both Amazon and Flipkart
11:11as Amazon tends to give you better deals for small appliances and Flipkart gives you better
11:16deals for large appliances.
11:18And hack number seven, finally, don't forget to save your items in your wish list.
11:24Well, for those of you who are watching, that's going to be something to look at as to where
11:31you get the best deals on at least these two big majors.
11:36And to discuss this further, we are now joined by Mr. Harish Bijur, he's a business brand
11:41strategy expert.
11:42Mr. Bijur, good evening.
11:43Thank you very much for speaking to us.
11:45First up, what are your thoughts on these huge sales that we see?
11:50We see these two big majors, at least that dominate the Indian market space, that's Flipkart
11:57and Amazon, come out with these fantastic offers, you know.
12:01In fact, Myntra and Nykaa for that matter as well, 80% off, 85% off.
12:06So a lot of people are left wondering, do you first bump up the prices and then do you
12:10go out and say that you're going to give these products so cheaply?
12:15So that's a question that a lot of people are asking.
12:18Well, that's the way of the great e-commerce, the way you have dubbed it, the great e-commerce
12:25way.
12:26But, you know, this year is going to be even more interesting, fundamentally because e-commerce
12:30is under deep, deep stress.
12:32Now, e-commerce portals are possibly losing customers.
12:37And that is a real number which comes out from recent understanding of what's happening
12:41in this space.
12:42And now, if you're losing numbers, you want to get numbers back.
12:45And what better time to get numbers back than the festive times?
12:49And therefore, bumped up prices, which you will never, ever realize are bumped up prices
12:56and exciting discounts are the way to go.
12:59And e-commerce buying session today is quite like a game.
13:03You know, you and I are playing the game.
13:04Let's see who gets it.
13:06It's like getting on to a website to buy Coldplay tickets and winning Coldplay tickets.
13:12In the sense, you pay a lot of money for it, but then it's as if you won.
13:16So buying on e-commerce now is a win-loss kind of a thing.
13:20And I think you guys have done the hack of it.
13:23And I think eventually there needs to be an app which does this kind of a hack.
13:27You go to the app and say, I want to buy this, where should I go best?
13:31And I think that'll happen.
13:32Bingo.
13:33Oh, absolutely.
13:34That's a great idea.
13:35You know, of course, Coldplay tickets are maybe touching a raw spot for a lot of people here,
13:40even in NDTV.
13:42But going on to the battle that we are seeing now, there was a report that Alliance Bernstein
13:47had come out within, I think, January of this year.
13:51Now, according to that, Flipkart is actually leading the segment with about 48 percent
13:56market share.
13:57Now, this is especially in the smartphone and the online fashion segments.
14:01Now, what, according to you, is the strategy that's really working for Flipkart?
14:06Because in a lot of ways, Amazon was the big guy that came in, had a lot of things
14:12in place.
14:14Flipkart started very well, went down, and then after, you know, Walmart actually invested
14:19in it, came back up.
14:21So how do you see this battle, A, playing out between the two majors?
14:25And who do you see as the big third player coming in?
14:30You know, both the players have evolved over the years.
14:32You know, what began with books once upon a time is no longer about books anymore.
14:37And both the players are really talking about offering just about anything under the sun
14:42that you want to buy.
14:43And when this kind of a game comes by, it simply means to say that, you know, they're
14:48fighting for a piece of the pie.
14:51And therefore, when two big players are playing the game, products are going to be pari passu,
14:57brands are going to be pari passu.
14:59There's not going to be no differentiation between which channel is getting what brand.
15:03And you know, at the end of the day, confusion is going to result.
15:07And out of the confusion will come great success for both the big brands out there.
15:12Flipkart will gain, as will Amazon.
15:13Who's the third player, fourth player?
15:15I'm really waiting for that great big super app out of India.
15:19Unfortunately, not a single super app has made a success of it as yet.
15:24Tata New does exist, but I don't think it's a success.
15:28Reliance, the super app, is it coming?
15:31Well, let's look around.
15:33The Adani super app, is it going to come around?
15:36But to say that a true blue global super app emerging from India as the winner, it would
15:41be a great dream.
15:43But I suspect it's going to remain a great dream, because we are not too good at last
15:48mile issues.
15:50And most of the time, consumers in e-commerce want the last mile issue sorted completely.
15:56As of today, I think these two guys are trying hard to sort out that last mile issue.
16:02Right now, the big game also probably is going to be played in tier two and tier three cities.
16:09And both these companies, as well as MeeShow, which has come out into the space, specifically
16:17in the tier two and tier three cities, are emphasizing a lot on that growth there.
16:23So how do you see that in terms of the larger marketplace?
16:27Well, you know, you've asked Cassandra of e-commerce this question.
16:33I am a Cassandra on this business.
16:35I'm really saying that e-commerce is in trouble, guys.
16:39And if you really read the pulse of the great Indian market, I put the great Indian market
16:44into four buckets.
16:45Bucket one is urban, bucket two is rural, bucket three is rural, and bucket four is
16:51a space which I call deep rural.
16:54Now these are places which you and I have never, ever been to, possibly.
16:58Now in these four spaces, what's really going to gain traction is not going to be e-commerce.
17:05E-commerce has got n numbers of issues.
17:08E-commerce is dominating the urban market.
17:10Today's e-commerce penetration in the country is about 17%, which means to say 83% of the
17:16market out there is the big blue sky, which brands can penetrate into.
17:22The kind of turnovers we're talking is about 59 billion US dollars, which is nothing.
17:26Where will the money really come from?
17:29The money will really come from D2C to an extent.
17:33D2C is doing exceedingly well in this country.
17:36And it's one of those babies which is not crying out loudly.
17:40It will cry out loudly when it reaches a particular state.
17:43But the biggest, biggest game breaker, the challenger to e-commerce, the great e-commerce
17:49war as you dubbed it, is really not the great e-commerce war.
17:53It's going to be the great Q-commerce war of the future.
17:57Q-commerce has the ability to be in deep rural, be in rural, and be in urban.
18:04And Q-commerce, if you really look at the kind of growth Q-commerce has achieved in
18:07the country, I think e-commerce portals and e-commerce in general should be shivering
18:15and shaking, wondering what's going to happen, including this festive time.
18:21Right.
18:22So you seem to suggest that it's Q-commerce where this battle is really going to be fought.
18:26Now, we've had reports, I think it was just last week or so, where Flipkart actually managed
18:33to deliver a laptop in just about 13 minutes.
18:37That was a record by any standards.
18:39This was a gaming laptop.
18:41They were able to deliver it and, you know, they actually gave an update after 12 minutes.
18:47Now, whether the person actually wanted it in 13 minutes, a product that's about one
18:51and a half or two lakh rupees, is another question.
18:54But that's a battlefield that, you know, even Amazon and Flipkart are trying to get into.
19:00So far, not very successful, apart from few and far between sort of a situation.
19:05Who are the big players there?
19:07Well, I would put it this way.
19:10Anecdotally, n numbers, things can happen.
19:12Anecdotally, I can even say that this 12 minute delivery couldn't happen in Bengaluru with
19:16Bengaluru traffic.
19:17OK.
19:18But the point is, what's going to happen is Q-commerce is winning fundamentally because
19:24it's able to understand the local pulse of the local market much, much better.
19:29E-commerce has grown up to be a huge animal out there, OK?
19:33And this animal is talking about supplying products and services to all of India, whereas
19:39Q-commerce is really getting that much more local, localized.
19:43And the kind of, you know, stocking centers that Q-commerce talks about is really my local
19:47Kirana outlet totally at the end of the day, because we must appreciate that, you know,
19:53the war that is continuing today is between Q-com versus E-com, D2C versus E-com.
20:01It's, you know, Kirana shop versus E-com.
20:04It's ONDC versus E-com.
20:08Multiple sets of players and multiple sets of black fights.
20:11And Q-com succeeds.
20:12You know, in Bengaluru, you can actually order lingerie or undergarments on a Monday morning
20:19on Q-com site.
20:21It will reach you within 17 to 18 minutes.
20:24Why Monday morning?
20:25Because the Bengaluru techie works very hard five days of the week, Monday to Friday, Saturday
20:31and Sunday, they party hard, so hard that they don't even remember how hard.
20:37And on Monday morning, when they wake up, they suddenly realize, oh, my God, no undergarment.
20:42Immediately, Q-com comes to the rescue and out there comes fresh undergarments at your
20:47doorstep.
20:48Shoes are sold on Q-com.
20:50So the entire plethora of brands are going to grow on Q-com.
20:54And I think this is going to be an exciting space for all of us to watch as E-commerce
20:59makes all efforts to reach out.
21:02Everyone else is going to try and peck at the remaining 83 percent potential of user
21:09penetration that exists in the country.
21:12Absolutely.
21:13And that's going to be the big battlefield, according to you.
21:16But what do you see as the major segment in Q-commerce?
21:20As of now, at least in the metros, we see a lot of grocery deliveries on Q-commerce.
21:26So that's changed the face of how we shop for our groceries.
21:29Apart from that, one interesting trend that we are seeing is that Indians never focused
21:34on fashion as much as they've focused in the past five years or so.
21:39And of course, the likes of Myntra and Nykaa have come about.
21:43They've changed the way Indians want to look and feel.
21:46So what's your sense on that segment?
21:50Well, you know, the key growth area for Q-com at this point of time is grocery.
21:57So 47.3 percent of all grocery that is ordered in a big city like Bengaluru, Pune and Hyderabad
22:04come from Q-commerce from there.
22:07But then grocery is giving way to the rag trade.
22:09It's giving way to fashion.
22:11It's giving way to footwear.
22:12So it's giving way to suitcases.
22:14You know, sudden urge to buy a suitcase and there are 23 brands which are vying for you
22:19to buy one.
22:20So all this is going to happen.
22:21But let me come to the rag trade, you know, fashion.
22:24I think fashion is the big, big item out there which needs to be tapped into.
22:29In fact, 64 percent of all e-commerce is really in the space of fashion, a bulk of it.
22:37So this is going to help you expand into that balance, 83 percent of the blue sky market.
22:44But it's not going to be the only thing, you know.
22:46If you continue focusing on fashion, it's not going to be the only thing because fashion
22:50is that much more local.
22:53Fashion is that much more customized.
22:54Fashion is very, very price sensitive.
22:57And fashion is also eco-sensitive.
22:59In fact, in the deep rural markets, people don't like to own too many clothes.
23:04And I think that's the future.
23:06The deep rural markets are driving the urban markets.
23:09The urban attitude is to have 70 shirts in your wardrobe.
23:13The rural attitude is to have two and a half shirts in your wardrobe.
23:17What's two and a half?
23:18You know, it goes in for a wash and on average, you know, you end up with about two shirts
23:22or three shirts in your wardrobe.
23:24So limited consumption will come and will also lead and that will fight against fashion.
23:30So fashion portals need to be careful.
23:32They need to not only be fashionable, they need to be responsible as well.
23:37Let's look around and see how it pans out.
23:39Absolutely.
23:40So a voice of caution coming in there.
23:42Thank you very much for joining us this evening on The Big Story.
23:47My pleasure.
23:48Bye.
23:49So before we end the show, our reporter Rishabh Bhatnagar actually joins in to provide a detailed
23:56overview of how the Amazon Bengaluru Fulfillment Center actually functions.
24:04I'm joined by Abhinav Singh, Vice President of Operations at Amazon India.
24:12Thanks so much, Abhinav, for taking the time out.
24:15Firstly, for our viewers, just lay the context of it.
24:18Explain to us where an FC or a Fulfillment Center stands in the entire processing of
24:25orders.
24:26So we are at the inbound dock.
24:29This is where we bring in the inventory.
24:32So these are sellers from across the country who are sending the inventory to our Fulfillment
24:37Centers so that it can be stored in our Fulfillment Center ready for customers to order.
24:42Yeah, so you saw us inbound where we got the inventory from our sellers.
24:48This is where we keep it ready to ship for our customers when they order.
24:53If you see the what we call bins, but basically these are independent locations, all are marked
24:59with a barcode.
25:02So when a customer presses buy on the website, like when you press buy, there's a real-time
25:07computation that happens to determine which is the closest Fulfillment Center from where
25:14we can send the item to the customer.
25:17The associate comes to the right location, scans the location, takes the product, checks
25:22all six sides to make sure that everything is proper, it's not damaged, it's in good
25:29condition, and then takes it and sends it to where it is packed, where we'll go next.
25:39Akshata's handheld device has just gotten the orders which are being dropped by customers
25:44placing them from across the country.
25:46She's got the location on her handheld scanner as to where to go and find the product.
25:51She looks at the product, she scans it, she looks at all six sides of it to make sure
25:56that it is in the right condition, and then she puts it in her tote to be able to transfer
26:01it to the pack station.
26:06So you saw those picking, you know, Akshata over there, she put the package in the yellow
26:12tote.
26:13Those yellow totes are carried by the conveyance system, which you see in the background, and
26:18brought to the pack station.
26:20At the pack station, when they scan the item, the computer screen in front of them tells
26:26them the right box to select.
26:28This is based on a machine learning algorithm.
26:30Once the order is packed, we decide to label the package.
26:34At the time of labeling, there's a real-time decision which is made that we give a promise
26:40to the customer in order to keep that promise, what is the best mode of transportation.
26:46And based on that, the label is generated and put on the package.
26:50From there, it comes over here and gets packaged in these tertiary containers that you see
26:55over here.
26:56Based on the customer, where they are with respect to the product, what is the fastest
27:02mode of transportation to get it there, that's how the decision happens, and that's how the
27:07journey goes from here on.
27:11Well, that's all we have time for on The Big Story this evening.
27:14Thank you very much for joining us, and stay with us here on NDTV Profit for more.

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