• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00We have heard that Justin Herbert from at Ian Rappaport, who's dealing with a high ankle
00:08sprain, is going to be active.
00:10His warm-up went well.
00:13Expect three quarterbacks active.
00:15He then had a quote tweet that in reply, to be clear, Justin Herbert is expected to start.
00:21This is a mess.
00:23This is an absolute mess here.
00:24I don't expect a lot from the props market.
00:27I was rooting on, not because I'm rooting for an injury, but from what I wanted to wager,
00:33Herbert out, Chargers at plus three and a half or better.
00:37I would imagine he would be worth that to a point spread, right?
00:40I would think so.
00:41And then I would be betting the Chargers to hang within a field goal of the Steelers offense
00:45that has not been explosive whatsoever.
00:48What do you make of this, Donny?
00:50It's not good news for the Chargers here.
00:51And you're right.
00:52There's activated three quarterbacks because we're not sure if he's going to make it through.
00:56And this is not like you're saying, you know what, guys?
00:58It's Carolina.
00:59You're going to play Carolina back-to-back weeks here.
01:01All we need you to do, kid, hand the football off and protect yourself in the pocket.
01:05You are going against a bunch of just wild beasts up there in that front seven today
01:10for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
01:11They are going to be breathing down your neck.
01:13And if you can't get out of the way, you will be injured once again.
01:16I'm surprised that he's eligible to play because we were dealing with early in the week, too,
01:21not knowing what type of...
01:22Oh, ankle sprain?
01:23Tape it up will be fine.
01:24The minute high ankle sprain gets out there and you say, one week later he's going to
01:27play, I don't buy it here.
01:29If he plays, it's limited today.
01:31Advantage Pittsburgh Steelers.
01:32I still like the Steelers whether he plays or whether he doesn't.
01:35His number today is posted at 181 and a half.
01:39They're going to have to throw it somewhat, right?
01:40You can't just line it up.
01:42And that Steelers secondary is why I like them in regards to this matchup.
01:46They've forced four interceptions over the past couple of games, held Kirk Cousins in
01:50Atlanta to a buck 55 and two interceptions.
01:53Last week, Bo Nicks, 246 and two INTs, but he did pick up a lot in garbage time after
01:58they fell behind 13 to three in terms of that matchup.
02:01They're playing at home.
02:03Justin Fields, say what you will, he's winning games, playing within the scheme and they're
02:07forcing turnovers.
02:08That's a recipe to win.
02:10And laying less than a field goal now at two and a half, I like the Steelers, but I'm going
02:14to throw the curve ball.
02:15I might as well.
02:16It's early, right?
02:17I think we get points in terms of this matchup.
02:19I do.
02:21I have a question about the Herbert passing total.
02:25181 and a half.
02:27Week number one, 144 yards.
02:30Week number two, 130 yards.
02:33Why?
02:34Rip it and rip it.
02:35No, but that's not going to, that's not.
02:37That can't happen.
02:38It can't happen.
02:39It's not.
02:40It's the algorithm.
02:41It's the algo.
02:42The hue.
02:43Alt, alt, alt.
02:44It's got to happen.
02:46Do you think that Justin Herbert today is going to throw for 225 plus?
02:49And here's the worst part about it, like Justin Herbert coming into this game fully healthy
02:53and they post like a 180, like he didn't play too well when he was healthy in the first
02:57two games.
02:58Now he comes in and saying like, I don't know if I can drop back and pass today because
03:01my ankle hurts, but I'm going to throw it for more yards than I did against a much better
03:05defense than I faced the first couple of weeks.
03:07Maybe it's the rope-a-dope.
03:08That may be.
03:09Could be the rope-a-dope.
03:10It's all Ben Roethlisberger, remember?
03:11Could be the rope-a-dope.
03:12Ben Roethlisberger did that.
03:13Couldn't throw all week.
03:14Uncorked 65 yard against Denver.
03:15Play number one.
03:16He said, I'm not believing anything anymore.
03:17Last week his number was 203 and a half.
03:20Now they rolled Carolina.
03:22He didn't need to throw the football all that much.
03:23He didn't throw it in the second half, yeah.
03:24No, but he's also averaging six yards per pass attempt.
03:28Their whole thing is running the football.
03:32I know I'm like going crazy over a 181 and a half.
03:35That just feels far too...
03:37I don't know why you post it.
03:39Well maybe...
03:40Again, I think they post it one...
03:42Number one, they must be certain that he's playing, right?
03:45So playing at least 80 percent, all right?
03:48Maybe he's not 100 percent.
03:50He says he can play and they have three quarterbacks, but they post...
03:53I always say that.
03:54Look, I need to fix the underhand.
03:56The books know what we don't, right?
03:58And whatever we think we know, they know more.
04:01They're posting a 181.
04:03They're pretty confident that he's going to play in this matchup.
04:06And again, I like the total.
04:08I think potentially he can get there because he's trailing in this ballgame.
04:13But I'm not going to play it.
04:14But if I had to, I would play...
04:16Here's the odds for me in this game.
04:18Knowing what a high ankle sprain is and to a quarterback against a devastating pass rush,
04:22I think it's more likely he doesn't finish the game than throw for 180 yards.

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