• 3 months ago
Nick and Femi give their intial thoughts on the Week 3 Monday Night Football double header: Bills vs Jaguars and Bengals vs Commanders!
Transcript
00:00first game Buffalo five and a half at home against the Jaguars 45 and a half
00:05the total remember these two teams played in London last year the Jaguars
00:08won the game outright any bets for you Femi bills and the Jags next Monday
00:12night Buffalo 2-0 Jags 0-2 and feels like kind of feels like season
00:18on the line and I heard you say this at the end of the Femi and friends hour and
00:21I agree it feels like like Doug Peterson's coaching tenure in
00:25Jacksonville hanging on by a thread yeah and like it can always go one of two
00:29ways when that's the situation there when the coach is like hey like in two
00:32weeks might not have a job but at these current numbers it's nothing for me I
00:37would lean towards Jacksonville just because I think it's gonna be a
00:39kitchen-sink game from the Jacksonville Jaguars despite Buffalo coming off the
00:43big win having the extra rest the extra time to prepare I do still think there's
00:46an upside to this Jacksonville defense that we didn't quite see in the full
00:51form of the first couple of weeks that maybe we'll see in this game just
00:54because like they can't fall to Owen three they know that their seasons over
00:58if they do so so I would back Jacksonville I could I guess like well
01:02like maybe a half unit play I hate when people talk like half unit unit here but
01:05like it'll probably be a smaller bet at five and a half definitely a bet at six
01:08if that were to ever come back I would recommend betting that that's something
01:11that I've done but we're having the conversation here at five and a half I
01:14would say maybe a lukewarm kind of smaller bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars
01:17just because they are the desperate team in this game I know that gets priced in
01:20the market but I don't know if it gets priced in enough given the fact that Doug
01:24Peterson and even Trent Baalke probably jobs on the line in Duval County I'm
01:28gonna give you like an on fee like a weird on field handicap here where I
01:33don't want to bet the game just yet and I'm not suggesting that Evan Ingram's
01:37availability will dictate the way I bet this game but Buffalo dealing with
01:41multiple injuries at the linebacker position Matt Milano's out until
01:44December Terrell Bernard's gonna miss some time like the the middle of the
01:47field is gonna be open for opposing offenses to attack the Buffalo Bills can
01:52the Jaguars do it with the way this offense is constructed Christian Kirk
01:56can't catch the ball Brian Thomas is a downfield threat Evan Ingram has a
01:59hamstring injury Brenton Strange played tight actually played decently against
02:02the Browns on Sunday I uh if we think and like I agree with you at six it's a
02:08bet for me on the Jaguars at six the vibes are real bad right now for the
02:14Jacksonville Jaguars the vibes are really good for the Buffalo Bills so five
02:19and a half I'm not rushing to make this bet on Jacksonville six I'm in on the
02:24Jaguars and kind of like I think if you think the Jaguars can keep this game
02:29really close do you have to bet the money line like you get that Trevor
02:32Lawrence game where like where he just where he just shows up and he wins the
02:36game because he's awesome like can he do that stand toe-to-toe with Josh Allen I
02:41think it's I think it's pretty fascinating and let's close quick picks
02:44for week three with the Bengals and the commies Cincinnati is seven and a half
02:48point favorite this touched eight and points last night total forty eight and
02:52a half Washington one and one Cincy at oh and two like has to win the game
02:56yeah when I thought about this game I had seven and a half and we sit here at
03:00seven and a half so not a whole lot for me betting the side or the total but I
03:04do find it a little bit interesting that this almost feels like sort of the
03:07assumption that the Bengals get back on the right track and I do think the
03:10Bengals will get back on the right track in terms of winning outright like they
03:13should win this game if they don't win this game something severely went wrong
03:17based on what we've seen from the commanders the first couple weeks but in
03:20terms of covering the spread that's when it gets a little bit dangerous for me
03:23because this was like a six and a half or so about a week ago now that the
03:27Bengals are owing to they had a good showing in Kansas City probably should
03:30have won that game if not for the boneheaded pass interference like we're
03:34all the way out to eight and a half at one point now there's been some
03:36commanders buyback to seven and a half but I always get a little bit concerned
03:40when it's oh this team is just gonna bounce back they have to it almost feels
03:43a little bit like that Raiders Ravens game last week when the Ravens lost at
03:47the last second to Kansas City oh they have to bounce back they'll beat the
03:50Raiders they can't fall to 0-2 well they fell to 0-2 and they didn't
03:53cover like I don't think that's gonna happen in this particular game but maybe
03:56it'll be a little bit more competitive than what people think so I think
03:58Cincinnati wins the game so maybe it's a teaser leg with the total that's a
04:02rather high but I don't know if I would be rushing to lay the points with the
04:05Bengals. Yes I've been a little like lukewarm on some of these games just just at this
04:10point in the week kind of wanted to get more information see how the market
04:13develops in some of these games I have a stronger thought here anything above
04:17seven I think I'm gonna I'm gonna take the points with the commanders and it's
04:21not that I think Washington will win the game but I do think Cincinnati's defense
04:25is not impressive and Jaden Daniels is electric and I think that the commanders
04:30can score enough in this game to get inside the number I also think
04:35Washington never ever keeps the game close in a game that goes under the
04:40total I get it it means that Washington doesn't score like Cincinnati is going
04:45to score in this game on Washington's defense especially if T Higgins is back
04:48like the Washington defense made Joe Burrow look good so another way to play
04:53this game and I'll probably have a bet on both on on each on the side and the
04:57total I think since he's gonna score I think the commanders in catch-up mode
05:01with Jaden Daniels can score I like the over in this game I got over 48 and a
05:06half and I would take the points with the Washington commanders as well

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