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00:00noon eastern time inside the big house a top 10 tilt the reigning national champs 10th ranked
00:06michigan hosting third ranked texas and this line has been all over the place it opened in the early
00:13summer months at just three and a half in favor of the longhorns that should cause some attention
00:18just to see a texas team go into the home of the reigning national champs as a road favorite but
00:24after a so-so week number one performance for the maize and blue against fresno state and texas
00:31thoroughly dominating and shutting out colorado state this line has ballooned north of a touchdown
00:36early this morning on game day saturday a seven and a half point spread has worked back slightly
00:42to the maize and blue now under a touchdown a six and a half point spread in favor of the longhorns
00:47yeah and it's a contrast in styles and we're seeing now more and more movement coming in on
00:51on the under right now it opened in the off season around 44 and a half we're seeing 41
00:56and a half respectively and to your point quin yours and texas want to push tempo in terms of
01:02this matchup they put up a 52 spot against colorado state quin yours was amazing 260 yards
01:08basically in the first half isaiah bond added kev 61 yards through the air also ran it the way we
01:15saw xavier worthy did uh last night for kansas city so this is a high-powered offense and when
01:21you look at michigan methodical they shut down mikey keen and forced that offense to methodically
01:27work down the field they got the critical turnovers but that rushing attack with donovan edwards and
01:32mullings needs to be better tonight to keep texas off the sidelines we'll see if they could do it
01:37speaking of just quick numbers there you mentioned the fact that we've gone from seven and a half to
01:42six and a half looking like that primary number some sevens are certainly still out there you
01:46could buy up that hook if you want i think that's going to be interesting to see where that number
01:50finishes up kelil mullings has a higher rushing yards prop donovan edwards heading into this
01:55football game mullings is talented donovan edwards was one of the primary stars in all of college
02:00football i know it might sound silly to some there's a reason he's on the cover of that video
02:04game with travis hunter and quinn ewers who's playing in this game for michigan the rush attack
02:10has to be better i think it will be better and we can get into who's going to win and lose this
02:16game look i really like michigan i've liked michigan heading into this season you guys know
02:19i played a national title ticket here some of that was you know you have to project schedules i think
02:24that i thought they could win this football game against texas but for michigan if they're going
02:29to run the ball a ton and i think they will run the ball a ton it's hard to create enough separation
02:36to cover this number now of a touchdown plus call it they're going to run the ball here time in and
02:44time out against texas let's just do the math from a numbers perspective 41 and a half is the total
02:50dropping from where it was when these numbers came out at 44 and a hook if texas is going to cover
02:56by a touchdown and now dropping under a td is very important as well they have to dominate
03:03michigan and the wolverines cannot do much offensively kev you love to do your spread math
03:08so i go back to you quickly just on the numbers themselves from a handicapping perspective
03:12around that touchdown important but even when the longhorns opened up as a three and a half
03:18point favorite to see this even flirt with a touchdown as the longhorns are the road favorite
03:23inside the big house where lisi is correct michigan has won 23 consecutive home games
03:28based on week one and a one game sample size is it an overreaction or does it feel fair i think
03:34it's a massive overreaction here look michigan plus seven and a half is probably my single best
03:39bet on this slate here today it's between that and some props from a side perspective it's my
03:43favorite i would be on michigan heading into today's show at four or better with not much
03:49hesitation so for anybody who say hey would you bet it under the seven and a half yes you won't
03:55always get the best number but let's do some some spread math let's just move some home fields
04:00around here you can always debate what home field advantage is worth i think michigan's home field
04:04advantage is one of the best in college football if you're willing to call that three and a half
04:08points that means if this game was being played in texas you'd be looking at a near two touchdown
04:13line it suggests not only that michigan is nowhere near contender level playoff level
04:20it says that texas is one of the two or three best teams in college football i don't agree with
04:25that i think they i still believe the players that they lost the specific type of players
04:31xavier worthy ad mitchell jonathan brooks and then on the defensive side in swift and and murphy i
04:39just do not think that texas year over year is as good so i love michigan in this spot here i cannot
04:46believe i still never believed we were going to get a type of number of seven seven and a half i
04:51liked it at three and a half but it is prevalent on donovan edwards and mullings having success on
04:56the ground last week they averaged 4.4 yards per carry from the quarterback perspective though
05:01there is concerns right quinn yours is single-handedly the best quarterback on the field
05:06alex orgy and warren struggled with consistency last week you saw them struggle in regards to
05:11big passes over the top couldn't maintain drives in regards to that they struggled in regards to
05:16third down situation so if texas does start fast and take donovan edwards and the rushing attack
05:22out of the equation that's why i think you're seeing seven seven and a half now it's all
05:28prevalent on them starting fast and getting michigan out of their game plan but that's
05:32easier said than done against wink martindale's defense