Yankees vs. White Sox: Betting Analysis with Gil on the Mound
Transcript
00:00and early week start for our guy Luis. Don't call him. You
00:07know what he'll on the bump today for the Yanks and DRS
00:11from where we showed this line and ask Tom Vecchio for his
00:14handicap. It is worked in favor of New York on the road today
00:18against the White Sox now minus 330 to lay the run and a half
00:22with the pinstripes on the road in the south side is minus 210.
00:28So Donnie asked Tom, how do you approach a game with a greater
00:31than $3 line in that money line number? I ask you the same
00:35question. What's the approach? Here's the crazy thing. Let's
00:38just say if it was Chris Sale in the mound for the New York
00:41Yankees as the best pitcher technically on the card today,
00:43X fit minus wise over the past 60 days, you go. Yeah, that
00:46makes some sense here because we don't know we're going to get
00:47out of Kai Bush had struggled a little bit in AAA second start.
00:50I believe in Major League Baseball this year on a bad
00:52baseball team. They shouldn't win, but when you take a look
00:55at Louie's heel, he's got a 114 X fit minus, which is above
00:58average over the past 60 days in the array of close to five
01:01and exit number that's high and a Sierra number at about 4.41.
01:04It's not as if you're getting like a super dominant pitcher.
01:07Is he the better pitcher in this game? Yes, or the better team
01:09the New York Yankees, but goodness gracious minus 330
01:12price on the road against a pitcher that technically has
01:15been average at best over the past 60 days shows you how bad
01:18the White Sox are for me. Probably just looking at soda
01:21with a hot bat yesterday now facing another left-handed
01:24pitcher, which he's done extremely well over the past 30
01:26days. Maybe an RBI prop home run proper some total basis
01:29problem. Soto makes more sense to me because you figure if
01:31they win and win going away. So it is probably going to be a
01:33big deal and you don't have to lay minus 330 in order to get
01:36that victory.