Analisis Saham Pilihan: ASII, BMRI, BSDE, ELSA
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Jumat (09/08/2024) dengan Tema Analisis Saham Pilihan: ASII, BMRI, BSDE, ELSA".
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00We will go to the stocks that you have recommended this morning, Mr. Aziz.
00:10Among them, there is Astra International with a very speculative recommendation.
00:18The buying level is between 4690 or 4740.
00:23Stop-loss if it has entered level 4590, with target price 1 at 4830, target price 2 at 4970.
00:31Bang Mandiri is recommended to hold with the last price at level 6800, target price 1 at 6925,
00:38and target price 2 at 7125 with stop-loss if it has entered level 6575.
00:45Then there is also BSDE Speculative Buy with a buying range of 1065-1085.
00:53The last price at level 1085, target price 1 at 1105, target price 2 at 1135,
01:00and stop-loss if it has entered level 1050.
01:03Actually, you also recommended Telkom, but we have discussed about Telkom.
01:08We will put it on your list this morning, Elsa.
01:13With the same recommendation, Speculative Buy too.
01:16Buying range from 482 to 488.
01:20The last level is at 488 with target price 1 at 496,
01:25and target price 2 at 510 with stop-loss if it has entered level 472.
01:29Let's go to Astra International first, Mr. Aziz. What is the analysis like?
01:33Well, if we look at Astra International, it is very good.
01:37Related to the indication, the rupee is getting stronger.
01:40If we look at Astra International, there is a significant jump in the closing of trade after previously experiencing a correction.
01:47This share is one of the top gainers with the largest transaction value in the previous session 1.
01:52For the investor's request for this Astra share to increase,
01:55this can be seen from the value of the purchase transaction that continues to increase,
01:58showing a very strong interest in this Astra International share.
02:02Technically, this share also shows important signs
02:05that come out of the short-term sideways phase
02:08that is potential to test the moving average level at MA50 and MA200.
02:13This can be a starting signal for a further uptrend
02:16if the level is successfully passed by Astra International.
02:20Okay, in one week, it has increased by 1.07% and in one month it has increased by 4.41%.
02:28The last level is 4.740.
02:30You can see the target price is 4.830 and 4.970.
02:34Is the term of investment too long or what is it like for Astra International?
02:39For Astra International, it is more of a swing trading for a medium term.
02:43Because we also see whether the growth opportunities will continue or lose to its competitors.
02:49Fundamentally, is it less interesting or what?
02:52So you recommend swing trading?
02:56For Astra, the growth is very limited.
02:59So it's less interesting for the long term.
03:02Okay, from Astra International, let's move on to your next choice.
03:06We will present the analysis of Bang Mandiri with a hold recommendation.
03:11What do you think, Aziz?
03:13For Bang Mandiri, if we look at the last month,
03:17the active swing has entered Bang Mandiri's share.
03:21So this will increase the activity of Bang Mandiri.
03:24This is very positive for Bang Mandiri's activity.
03:29Of course, we hold Bang Mandiri because there is still a potential to continue its growth.
03:34Among other banks.
03:37Okay, with the target price at 6.925 to 7.125.
03:43The last level is at 6.800.
03:46The disparity or maybe the difference is not bad.
03:50Especially for those who have quite a lot of BMRI.
03:54Okay, medium to long term for Bang Mandiri?
03:58For Bang Mandiri, medium to long term.
04:00Medium to long term, okay.
04:01Okay, in terms of price strength, this is also stagnant for a week.
04:07But then if we look at the cumulative data,
04:09in one month, it has strengthened 5.84%.
04:13From Bang Mandiri, we go to BSDE.
04:15What is BSDE like, Mr. Aziz?
04:17What makes you interested in recommending BSDE?
04:24Okay, for BSDE, it's quite interesting.
04:26Because BSDE has managed to break through its strong resistance at MA200.
04:31Meaning there is a reversal in the trend.
04:33The trend will be a bullish trend here.
04:36Supported by many investors who join BSDE.
04:40If we look at the strengthening of the exchange rate,
04:43this exchange rate is very beneficial for BSDE.
04:46So the performance in the long term will be more positive.
04:51Okay, the last level is at 10.85.
04:53If we look at your target price, it's at 1105, 1135.
05:01It's not too far away, the movement or maybe the comparison.
05:07So it's just short for BSDE?
05:11Yes, for BSDE, it's short because there is a strong resistance at 1135.
05:16Okay, the last level is at 10.85.
05:19Is it interesting to be able to enter?
05:22For BSDE, it's quite interesting because yesterday,
05:25many investors joined BSDE.
05:27Okay, the last level is not too expensive, right?
05:30No, it's not too expensive.
05:31It still has a very strong potential for BSDE.
05:34Okay, from BSDE, we go to Elsa, Mr. Aziz.
05:38Okay.
05:40For Elsa, in the last three days,
05:43there was a return of the trend.
05:45The last two weeks were bearish.
05:48So in the last three days, there was a return of the bullish candlestick trend.
05:51This is very positive for Elsa.
05:53If we look at the past year, Elsa has been actively accumulated.
05:57So this potential will continue in the direction of the bullish trend.
06:01And with this Rupiah strengthening,
06:03Elsa will have a positive impact on her performance.
06:07Why do you recommend Elsa in the energy sector?
06:10Why not other stocks, Mr. Aziz?
06:12What makes Elsa more favorable
06:15compared to other energy-based stocks?
06:18Okay, because Elsa's stock has reached its strongest resistance
06:22and the trend is very strong.
06:23The bullish trend is very strong.
06:24This is a very good momentum for us to trade
06:27or swing trading to Elsa's stock.
06:29Okay, technically speaking, the movement is quite interesting.
06:33It can be used for short-term trading for Elsa.
06:36And you also recommend short-term trading for Elsa.
06:42For now, it's for swing trading for Elsa.
06:45Oh, swing trading. Okay.
06:46We still have a few more discussions.
06:48Without further ado, Mr. Aziz, we will continue.
06:50And Mr. Chairman, we will be back soon.
06:52Thank you for joining us.
06:54Mr. Chairman and I are still talking with Mr. Muhammad Abdul Aziz,
06:57Investment Specialist, Rdk Elite Securitas.
07:00Mr. Aziz, we will update first
07:04for the opening of ESG in more than 4 minutes
07:07when Indonesia is in the West.
07:08We captured a few moments ago.
07:11ESG has been moving strong so far.
07:14At level 7249.136,
07:17moving strong at 0.75%.
07:21Before that, it was at level 7195.121.
07:25And top gainers, so far there is AMMN,
07:29which is still moving, BBNI,
07:31DOS, BP, Brand, Arto, SMGR,
07:34Inco, BRP, Tebris, and also Goto.
07:36Meanwhile, top losers, so far there are
07:39NAS, GRIA, GMAS, INET,
07:42Kija, Jaya, Heli, and also BSBK.
07:53Mr. Aziz, the standard analysis is related to the opening of ESG.
07:56So far, in the opening of S1 trading,
07:59is it in line with your prediction?
08:04Yes, ESG is quite in line.
08:06Because it is still in the range that we determined,
08:08in the area below 7300.
08:10We will also pay attention to ESG performance
08:12next week.
08:13This is also very interesting.
08:15ESG, when Rupiah gets stronger,
08:17will have a resistance peak at 7300.
08:23We will discuss a few more emitters.
08:25Mr. Emiten Roko, GGRM, and also HMSP,
08:28this is a deep correction.
08:30This is the lowest level in 10 years.
08:33Analysis and also recommendations,
08:35related to prospects, as well as the end of the year,
08:37or maybe in terms of key energy,
08:39or maybe fundamental for these two stocks,
08:41what is it like, Mr. Aziz?
08:43If we look at HMSP and Gudang Garam,
08:47fundamentally, it may experience a reduction in revenue.
08:50Because some policies from the government
08:52are very harmful to these stocks.
08:54Because these stocks also serve the premium market.
08:58We can see that the government's policy
09:00on January 1, 2024,
09:02the interest rate for cigarettes increased.
09:04SKM Group 1 increased to Rp 1,231 per barrel.
09:08SPM Group 1 also increased to Rp 1,336 per barrel.
09:12And SKT increased to Rp 483 per barrel.
09:18This is very bad and has an impact on cigarette producers.
09:22Okay, but on the surface of the C1 trade,
09:25HMSP is stronger, 0.78%.
09:28Maybe investors see that it can enter first
09:33to be released shortly.
09:36Maybe it's interesting for trading, for HMSP.
09:38What do you think, sir?
09:40Okay, for HMSP and Gudang Garam,
09:43it's better for short-term trading.
09:45If there is a potential increase,
09:47we take it in the short term, not in the long term.
09:49Because in the long term,
09:51HMSP and Gudang Garam are not good.
09:54If we look at the production of Gudang Garam and NSW,
09:57the focus is on premium products.
09:59We can see that the interest rate is increasing.
10:02Of course, it will need to change its class in the long term.
10:06Like that, the pressure is very heavy
10:08on HMSP and Gudang Garam.
10:11We can also take the opportunity
10:13from these two stocks
10:15when they serve the premium market.
10:17Of course, the consumer's interest
10:20in buying these products
10:22will go back to choosing products
10:25with a lower price.
10:27Like WIM and LISPG.
10:31Okay.
10:32Techno is stronger.
10:34There is Bukka, Emtek,
10:36then Gotoh rises to level 51.
10:39How do you see this sector, sir?
10:41Okay, for Butoh stocks,
10:43Emtek and Bukka are very interesting.
10:46We can see the most interesting
10:48in Bukka and Emtek stocks.
10:50We can see technically
10:53that Bukka has a triple bottom tendency.
10:57Both are Emtek stocks.
10:59We can see the last three trading days,
11:01these two stocks are very strong
11:03and there is a trend reversal indication.
11:05This indication is very positive
11:07that this stock will continue to rise in the medium term.
11:09Like that.
11:10For Gotoh stocks, it is also very sensitive
11:12related to the stability of domestic trade
11:14because this Gotoh stock
11:16has more ownership to foreigners.
11:19So when there is a policy in the US
11:21or economic stability in the US,
11:23it will affect foreign investors' behavior
11:25to enter Gotoh stocks.
11:27Okay.
11:28Those are some of the analysis
11:29related to the actions of the IASG
11:31and also some of the choices
11:33and also some analysis of the sectors.
11:35I hope it can be a reference
11:37for market players
11:39in determining their investment strategy today.
11:42Mr. Aziz, thank you for joining us
11:44at the MarketBuzz.
11:46I hope we can meet again
11:48on another successful opportunity for you.
11:50See you again.
11:51Okay. Thank you. See you again.