Rookie sensation Paul Skenes takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates taking on the Houston Astros. Joe and Chris help us find some value on the prop bets!
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00:00As for today's card, I know we had touched on a couple of these already.
00:03Skeens, apparently there are spots out there where you can get him at six and a half Ks today.
00:09Heavily juiced to the over, like almost minus 150, but you can get him at BetMGM right now.
00:16Skeens, seven and a half strikeouts and plus money on the over. I really like that.
00:23I know the Astros are not a strikeout team, but it's the first time they've seen him.
00:28He's trying to bounce back from a hard luck loss. Plus 115, the over seven and a half.
00:34I don't hate that look. How much does that matter?
00:39Not a low strikeout rate. When you're talking about Skeens, maybe ends up being...
00:45You really need to... Yeah.
00:47Yeah. Does it really matter the matchup? I'm kind of at that point with Skeens right now,
00:53where, oh, low strikeout rate. Well, guess what? We're getting value on the number.
00:57That's what we're getting right now. So if you look at his recent starts,
01:00so the number seven and a half, how often is he going over that number? One, two, three, four, five.
01:06Eight of the last nine starts, he's gone over seven and a half. And the one time he did not,
01:10he had seven. I think you've got to play the over seven and a half, even though it's against the
01:14team. And don't forget that his last start out against St. Louis, it was his first loss, but he
01:20shoved and they let him go 104 pitch into the ninth at eight strikeouts, no walks in that game.
01:27Now he did barely go over the number. So that's interesting.
01:31What is that Houston team total? What about, would you go under?