Historian and Professor Allan Lichtman joined "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss how important a vice presidential pick is.
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NewsTranscript
00:00I know that this isn't a key but because this is a really historic moment it's
00:05unprecedented. How much do you think VP pick matters? Let's say the nominee ends
00:10up being Vice President Kamala Harris. Who she picks as a running mate? Does
00:14this sway voters minds? Does this impact the keys at all? It does not impact the
00:21keys at all. The keys are the northern star of politics. They remain fixed. You
00:26know every four years someone comes to me and says this year is unprecedented.
00:31You have to change your keys. We have an African-American running. America is not
00:36ready to elect an African-American. We have a woman running. We have social
00:40media. We have the access Hollywood would take but my answer is always you can't
00:45change a model on the fly. That's a recipe for error. Moreover the keys are
00:52extremely robust. Developmentally they go all the way back to 1860 the election
00:59of Abraham Lincoln. When women couldn't vote most African-Americans were
01:02enslaved. We had no polls, no automobiles, no jet planes, no radio, no television. So
01:09the keys have survived vastly greater changes in our economy, our society, our
01:14demography, and our politics than anything we see today. You know we tend to look at
01:20things unfortunately in the lens of the immediate present. I think my role as an
01:26historian and predictor is to look at the broader picture.