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00:06I am struggling. They drop nine
00:09of their last fourteen entering
00:11the break but an ever so slight
00:13favorite with Luis Castillo on
00:15the bump tonight in the
00:16Northwest. Hunter Brown gets the
00:17start on the other side for this
00:19Rose. The total is seven DRS.
00:21It's now a virtual pick him who
00:23wins the series opener of this
00:25weekend set out in Seattle. You
00:28might say seven is a crazy
00:29teams. Let's break it down.
00:30Luis Castillo on the mound today
00:31114 batters. He's faced over the
00:33past 30 days right-handed batters
00:35absolutely dominating against
00:37them, but the lefty batters
00:38they're getting the best of them
00:39and also taking a look at that
00:40Houston lineup over the past 30
00:42days against right-handed
00:43pitching. It's on fire outside of
00:45Chas McCormick. Who's due to
00:46bat ninth tonight with a 244
00:48weighted on base percentage
00:49every single batter in that
00:50lineup is a 336 weighted on base
00:52percentage or higher that could
00:54help them out. Also taking a look
00:55at the opposite side and saying
00:57how does that Seattle Mariners
00:58offense go up against Hunter
01:00Brown the starting pitcher for
01:01the Astros as a right-hander
01:03they've been absolutely brutal.
01:04Maybe the worst strikeout numbers
01:06I've seen you take a look at
01:07every single batter in that
01:08lineup and that has at least a
01:1028% or higher strikeout rate
01:12against right-handed pitching
01:13and Hunter Brown's a pretty good
01:14pitcher coming in with a K rate
01:16over the past 30 days of 23% on
01:18the season 25%. So I look at
01:20that seven number really like it.
01:22But if we are doing a pitching
01:23breakdown at this point road
01:25starts for Hunter Brown 5.70
01:28Oh my goodness. That's
01:29horrendous. His ex-wife though
01:30Ben 3.27. I mean that ball is
01:32not getting in the air. He's
01:33striking out a lot of guys and
01:34we already know how hard it is
01:36typically for the Seattle
01:37Mariners to score runs
01:38particularly in their own
01:39ballpark flip it over to the
01:40other side Hunter Brown's got
01:42some pretty good numbers coming
01:43in overall. How about this last
01:4560 days in 83 X fit minus and an
01:47ERA band of 2.36 and an exit of
01:503.41. I think both of these
01:52lineups will struggle against
01:53these pictures. But if you're
01:54asking me which technically is
01:56just the better hitting side.
01:57It's by far Houston. Maybe a
01:59lean that way but it's going to
02:01be a tough time tonight for me
02:02at least seeing these pictures
02:03get knocked around in that
02:04ballpark. We're probably looking
02:05at a three to two type game in
02:07my estimation.