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00:00We'll be right back.
00:03Seattle hosts the Baltimore Oriole tonight in the Northwest.
00:07And when Craig Mish was here, it was the same story.
00:10Minus 108 now on both sides.
00:12It's a pick'em who wins the opener out in Seattle.
00:15Yeah, it's really a toss-up.
00:17It just goes to the matter of like which lineup you trust more.
00:19It's probably going to be the Baltimore Orioles.
00:21But having said that, we are playing in one of the true pitching environments in Major League Baseball up at T-Mobile.
00:26You take a look at that total.
00:27It's 7.5.
00:28It means it takes eight runs to beat you.
00:30Most times across Major League Baseball, you're probably going to get that.
00:3372 degrees in Seattle.
00:34Five-mile-an-hour winds blowing in from left field.
00:36It's not really going to make too much of a difference here for good and or for bad.
00:40But if we take a look at these pitchers, if we line up past 60 days, minimum of 20 innings.
00:44I got 25 pitchers rated today.
00:46And this isn't split-wise, right, where you say like home and road.
00:49Let's just take a look at the pitchers and how they've been doing together.
00:52You take a look at George Kirby, fourth on the card.
00:542.96 ERA.
00:56An XFIP of 3.44.
00:58You know his number five?
00:59It's Grayson Rodriguez right behind him.
01:01A 3.72 ERA, but a 3.52 XFIP.
01:04Both of these guys in pretty good form.
01:06Feels like a playoff type of atmosphere.
01:08So for my money here, both of these lineups.
01:10Let me just take a quick peek here at that Baltimore lineup of what we can anticipate.
01:14Now here's where it comes into what you're going to trust.
01:17And this is what I like.
01:18Sometimes you say, ooh, maybe that 7.5 could be in a little bit of doubt from Baltimore's range.
01:22George Kirby has been fantastic.
01:23I told you that.
01:24Last 30 days, a 117 Battersea's face bend.
01:27A 115 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 236.
01:30Let me just take a quick look here at his home splits here for George Kirby.
01:34Still fantastic.
01:35A 2.34 ERA and a 3.19 XFIP number, which even lowers at home.
01:39Rightfully so.
01:40It's a pitcher's environment.
01:41But how about this?
01:42We talk about that ISO power number, which means one swing of the bat, you could do damage.
01:46Double in the gap, triple, home run.
01:47You get the picture here.
01:48Driving the baseball.
01:49170 is that number?
01:51I'm going to read you the nine guys in the lineup tonight that we anticipate.
01:54And what their ISO power numbers against right-handed pitching are over the past 30 days.
01:58Henderson, 370.
02:00Rutchman, 203.
02:01O'Hearn, 183.
02:02Santander, 390.
02:04Kersted, 538.
02:06Westbrook, 237.
02:07Cowser, 255.
02:09Mullins, 242.
02:10And Urias, 217.
02:12Every single in the batter tonight absolutely mashes right-handed pitching.
02:18So I would have a lean here to the Baltimore Orioles, but still thinking this game possibly stays under the total.
02:23That's tough, though.
02:24That's a good lineup, as you're going to see, just against a righty split for a baseball team over the past 30 days.