• 5 months ago
Will a Championship hangover hit Boston? Breaking down the Celtics regular season win total
Transcript
00:00total here 58 and a half. Um, obviously it's really high, but
00:03then you think about what they did last year, and you certainly
00:05understand the core is back. Uh, we're zing is going to be out
00:10until December, though, with his injury also worth noting. And
00:12like Matt brought this up with the Lakers with LeBron and
00:15Anthony Davis, Tatum, Drew Holiday and Derek White all
00:19playing right now in the Olympics. And they're also
00:21playing and will normal be in the front row. They're playing
00:24in Abu Dhabi. Uh, I thought it's Abu Dhabi. Maybe it's too. Oh,
00:28maybe I thought it was Dubai. But yeah, but it's but the point
00:30is they their preseason starts earlier than ever them in
00:33Denver. Their presence and starts earlier than everybody
00:35else. So it's like, you know, you play until you play in the
00:38last series of the season. They're young, right? And now
00:41you're playing the Olympics. And then and then you go to and then
00:43you go to literally Abu Dhabi to play in the preseason against
00:46the Nuggets. You know, they could still win 60 games. I
00:49don't know that I would want to bet on it. Me personally. Where
00:51are you at here on the Celtics? It's just worth noting the wind
00:54total is, you know, five and a half wins less than the mark
00:58that they achieved last year. So it's it's, you know, I don't I
01:01don't know if you can bet under just because of that. But yeah,
01:04could the could the Celtics, who obviously are going for a
01:07repeat? I mean, just it's like a, you know, it's one of the
01:10reasons why repeating is really difficult is that grind, right?
01:13Like that, just that. And and you throw the Olympics in there
01:16and you throw the early preseason in there. You know,
01:18maybe they're a team where the regular season isn't
01:20historically good, but they win the title again, because the in
01:23the playoffs and Porzingis is back and all this stuff. That'll
01:25be the bull case for them in the postseason. My guess is we'll
01:28get to April and it'll be like, well, you haven't seen their
01:30best basketball yet because people haven't been playing and
01:33that's not what it's looked like. And you're going to kind
01:34of have to make a leap of faith that they're going to achieve
01:36that level again. That's usually a dangerous bet to make. Usually
01:41regular season is very predictive, but I think the
01:44market's got this one pretty close. You know, do I want to
01:46bet the fatigue under on a team like this? They're just they're
01:50just so damn good in the regular season when they all
01:52play. I mean, they really, you know, they can win 80, 85% of
01:56their games over a 50 game stretch, probably when
01:58Porzingis comes back. I mean, they really could. And, you
02:01know, I don't know why I want to bet against that. And an early
02:04pre like the fatigue notes are notable and should be known.
02:08Like you, you know, fatigue matters. And over a very long
02:11regular season, there's probably a higher chance of injury or
02:13rest for a lot of these guys. But they're the best team.
02:18They're just the best team. And the entire core is back benches
02:21back coaches back. They're the best team. They went almost
02:23every game at home. I think the market kind of this probably the
02:26one I feel like the market got closest to how I feel about it,
02:28which is, they're really likely to be the one or the two. And
02:31they're really like they have a good regular season. And you're
02:33gonna have to make an interesting call on them in the
02:35playoffs next year when the path is likely to be more difficult.
02:39I think if you wanted to take a shot against the Celtics, I've
02:43thought about this is the better way of doing it, not that
02:45they're under, but to bet like the Knicks or the Sixers to win
02:48the division.
02:49And if you liked one of them, if you liked one more than the
02:52other deck, definitely.
02:54Because I think like the upside for the Knicks and the Sixers is
02:57to have a better regular season than Boston. Like that's like,
02:59like the bull be in that tier of those teams. Yeah, for sure. On
03:03the

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