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00:00One more day off from the 2024 NBA Finals. No game on this
00:10Tuesday. The teams have made their trip to Dallas, Texas to
00:14get ready for game number three. The Mavericks play host to the
00:17Celtics tomorrow night trying to eat out their first victory of
00:21this championship set and maybe make it more competitive.
00:25Donnie, as we look at the odds for game number three, again,
00:29Dallas is booked as a very slight home favorite laying a
00:33point and a half minus 126 on the money line. If that line
00:37holds by the time we get to 830 PM Eastern time tomorrow in
00:42Dallas closes as the home favorite. It will be just the
00:45fourth time this season. The Celtics have been booked as an
00:49underdog the first time in this postseason and I agree. I
00:54actually agree with that number because if we are going to get
00:56let's just say a full go Dallas Mavericks team with a
00:59couple days off did Luka Doncic as well and he's not
01:01downgraded the questionable on game time. This is a must win
01:05game. We understand that now as you know, a handicapper been
01:07around the game for a long time just because it's a hyped
01:10environment and you have to win does not mean you're going to
01:13win that basketball game. But having said that this is your
01:16last stand. You might as well play this as if it was game
01:19number four and you were already down 03 because you lose
01:22this game. It's over. You're not winning the series. If you win
01:24the game, you are back in the series and you look forward to
01:27game number four. So I agree those price points that we saw
01:30what then six and seven points on the home court here in the
01:33TD Garden for the Celtics is them being favorites. Now,
01:35they're not the favorite. I do expect the Dallas Mavericks to
01:38play much better. Luka Doncic has been fine. Everybody else
01:42on that roster needs to step up and you usually get the benefit
01:45of your home court from those B players and I expect that to
01:47happen. Also keep in mind. We haven't really got any updates
01:50outside of Chris Tabs Porzingis after the game going. I'll die
01:53out there on the court. Yeah. Well, the medical team comes in
01:55and takes a look at that calf and sees what it is. It's not
01:58really up to you anymore. If you can hobble up and down that
02:00court, if he doesn't play and he's been sensational in games
02:04one and two that also makes a difference here. So I agree
02:07Dallas should be a favorite here over the Boston Celtics for
02:09game three. And that leads us into everything. Will this
02:14series be competitive? Might we see it get to a fifth or a sixth
02:18game? I still believe that both Donnie and I do not believe it
02:22is going to be just a four game sweep and probably not even a
02:26gentleman sweep, but we are trending that way. If we are
02:28going to see anything more than four or five, Dallas must win
02:35tomorrow night. It's a must win. Can't lose situation for
02:38the Mavericks. So that influences the odds to win the
02:41NBA championship this season. Boston as of yesterday minus
02:451000 Boston as of today minus 950 the Celtics then in terms
02:51of winning the NBA finals MVP have the two front runners now
02:56make that the three front runners and the odds continue
03:00to change. You see a 20 cent gap as of this graphic plus 135
03:06Jason Tatum, the slight favorite in front of Jalen Brown
03:10at plus 155 and Drew Holiday at a six to one number. The
03:14updated odds of the FanDuel Sportsbook. We have co-favorites
03:18at this moment for the C's. It's the J's Jason Tatum and
03:22Jalen Brown at plus 145 with the other J Drew Holiday. Not
03:26all that far behind at a five to one number. Donnie. I don't
03:31believe even if we see more games in this series that you
03:34really believe the Mavericks can come back to win the Larry
03:38O'Brien trophy. So if it is Boston as the eventual NBA
03:43champion who wins the NBA finals MVP award and it's funny like
03:47we're talking about him. You see it's the market of oh can
03:49they come back in the series and win it talking about the
03:51Dallas Mavericks and being extended. But now this might be
03:53the most fun bet here that you can actually have those
03:56arguments before game number three takes place because
03:58you're right. Those moving numbers Tatum and Brown plus
04:01145 apiece as you pointed out Drew Holiday now down from like
04:04a six to one price to a five to one price. This is interesting
04:07because it feels like now we don't think we're getting an
04:10extended series based on what we saw for the past two games,
04:13but I do think the Mavericks win game number three. Let's say
04:15they don't. We're probably headed for a four game series,
04:18which means game number three is pivotal. You have Jason Tatum
04:22drop 37 points, 11 rebounds and six assists. He's going to move
04:26as the market favorite because that probably means they won
04:28game number three and looking to close out game number four.
04:30I don't know how much value it because do we expect Drew
04:32Holiday another good performance? The one thing I do
04:34know is Tatum and Brown used to go tit for tat when they go
04:37head to head with each other. Oh, you got a good game now. I
04:40need to have a good game in the following one. I would be very
04:42surprised that Jason Tatum was extremely underwhelming
04:45in game number two. I expect him to shoot 25 plus times in
04:50game number three. So I would still give him the benefit of
04:52the doubt here because I know the ball is going to be in his
04:55hands early. Maybe it doesn't go one for nine to start the
04:57game in game number three here. Six of 22 for Jason Tatum in
05:02game number two, 18 points, 12 dimes, only one rebound shy of
05:07a triple double, but it would not have been the most
05:09glamorous triple double. The plus 145 price on Tatum is the
05:14idea that Jason Tatum in one of these next two games is going
05:17to go off. It's not like he outduels Jalen Brown in game
05:21seven.