• 5 months ago
According to the polls conducted in eight representative EU countries, the next European Parliament will shift to the right. Yet, the moderate forces will have their say in crafting coalitions and temporary alliances to make the parliament functional.
Transcript
00:00In the Netherlands, the first exit poll suggests that Geert Wilders' far-right party is on course to get seven seats,
00:07which is six more than in the last election.
00:09But a Green-left-Labour merger is predicted to get a winning eight seats.
00:14And Euronews' own super-poll predicts that overall,
00:17the moderate-conservative European People's Party bloc will retain most of the seats.
00:22But despite its rapid rise, the far-right parties won't dominate the next parliament.
00:28The vast majority of MEPs coming to Brussels following this week's weekend elections
00:34will still remain vastly pro-European.
00:38Even delegations from ECR, to a certain degree,
00:42will not question the absolute essence of the European Union.
00:47In Germany, the centre-right is on course to get more than 30%,
00:51but it's the far-right AFD that will be most closely watched.
00:55It's only slightly slowed down its phenomenal growth and may get 16%.
01:00Despite waves of protests across the EU,
01:03it appears that more moderate parties will ultimately prevail.
01:07Even so, it's the far-right parties that look like getting the biggest gains.
01:12No more so than in France, where Marine Le Pen's national rally may get an astonishing 32% of the vote.
01:19President Macron's Renaissance Party looks like suffering a massive defeat.
01:23He's a fervent supporter of Ukraine, but will the new parliament be as anti-Putin as he is?
01:29In Italy, Prime Minister Giorgio Meloni's far-right Brothers of Italy Party could get 27%.
01:35It's likely to join the ECR, which is only slightly less far-right than the Identity and Democracy bloc.
01:42There is still a big divide even between the ECR and Identity and Democracy group.
01:48So I rather see the EPP going together with the ECR in negotiating deals with the Social Democrats and the Liberals
01:55than these two making deals with Identity and Democracy.
01:59After Germany, Spain is the other mainstay of the EPP.
02:03The moderate-right People's Party is more likely to win,
02:07but Prime Minister Sanchez's socialists are close behind them.
02:11The swing to the far-right might be slightly less than was first predicted,
02:15but it's still clear that EU voters will shift the balance of the parliament rightwards.
02:20In Poland, for instance, the centre-left and the left will clearly suffer.
02:24Instead, it's a battle between the right, Prime Minister Donald Tusk's coalition,
02:28and the far-right, represented by the PIS, that until April was the ruling party.
02:34It's got only the smallest of leads.
02:37By Monday, we will know just how far to the right the EU parliament has swung.
02:41And it's then that the negotiations and the deal-making will start.

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