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00:00 Joe, what about this matchup with the Astros and the Twins?
00:03 You know, Houston, so early on in the year, were very consistent fade material.
00:08 I feel that they've done a nice job where it's not every day you go against this team.
00:12 But look, there's still eight games under 500 compared to Minnesota, who's seven over
00:17 500 right now.
00:19 The Astros need to start piecing together some wins.
00:21 Do you think they can here in this game?
00:24 This game feels choppy to me, Kevin.
00:25 When I looked at this line, I couldn't believe the Twins were coming in here.
00:29 As the underdogs, and you had to lay so much juice on the Houston Astros, I just can't
00:33 get there with this team.
00:35 I don't trust Valdez coming out to mound for them as well.
00:39 We look at him, he's got a 4.85 ERA at home, and that's just not good enough against Joe
00:45 Ryan in this and the Minnesota Twins.
00:47 I do think Joe Ryan can come out nice and strong.
00:50 I'm going to look at playing this because I do feel it's choppy, and I don't want to
00:53 lay the juice.
00:54 It's like the books are begging us to take the Twins in this one, and I don't want to
00:58 lay the juice with the Astros.
00:59 I'm going to look at Joe Ryan, I'm going to look at his K-Prop.
01:02 I'm going to ult it, though.
01:03 His number coming in at 5.5 to the over is -148, and if you like to lay the juice, you
01:08 can take that there.
01:09 But I do think he can get seven-plus strikeouts in this one.
01:13 I'm looking for that plus money.
01:14 That's coming in at +146.
01:16 I think he has a strong game here versus the Astros.
01:19 I don't trust the Astros not to swing and miss in this one.
01:22 I don't trust them offensively.
01:23 So give me Joe Ryan's ult K-Props.
01:25 - All right, we'll see if Joe Ryan can deliver.
01:30 Another AL Central team in action today is the Kansas City Royals.
01:34 The Royals were a home dog in the first game against the Padres, but that was with Dylan
01:38 Cease on the mound.
01:39 I didn't find that to be surprising.
01:41 Today's number, maybe a little more surprising.
01:44 I know Musgrove has pedigree over Alec Marsh, but he's not been great to start this season,
01:49 and the Royals are a 21-9 team right now at home, Joe.
01:53 - Yeah, the Royals have been phenomenal at home, Kevin.
01:56 And you look at this line again.
01:58 Yesterday, I rode the Kansas City Royals team total over 3.5, and then on the money line.
02:03 So I split on those bets there, and I do think this is another opportunity to go back on
02:07 the Kansas City Royals as a home dog in this situation.
02:11 Alex Marsh coming out to get the start here.
02:13 This is only his second start, and I do like...
02:16 Or sorry, he's at home.
02:17 He's got a 2.61 ERA, not his second start.
02:20 He's been strong at home.
02:22 And Joe Musgrove, he's not a pitcher that I've been trusting on this season.
02:26 So I really can't look here at Joe Musgrove's and the Padres to be able to get the win,
02:32 especially with the juice you're gonna have to lay on them on the road.
02:34 And we know they had a phenomenal eighth inning yesterday, just racking up those runs.
02:40 The Kansas City Royals tried to answer back in the bottom of the ninth, but just couldn't
02:43 get it done.
02:44 It was a higher scoring game than I expected.
02:46 I didn't expect that many runs with the 11-8 win out of the Padres.
02:50 I do think Alex Marsh can do enough to get the Kansas City Royals the win here at home.
02:55 They've just been too strong for me to fade, Kevin.