• 7 months ago
Transcript
00:00 When it came to the J.J. McCarthy decision, I had a lot of fun because there's no pressure on me
00:04 over the last couple of months, diving into every number I could find, reading everybody's opinion.
00:11 And the one thing that was difficult for me with J.J. McCarthy was just the lack of numbers to
00:17 work with. When it came to the other prospects, it was right there. There were hundreds and
00:22 hundreds of dropbacks, huge sample sizes. And it was just a struggle when you try to even section
00:28 those things out. How many third down and longs? A hundred. How many plays under pressure? Fifty.
00:34 And I wonder, how did you guys deal with that issue that the sample size with him specifically,
00:40 it was very good, but it just wasn't very big. No, it's absolutely right. And that was probably
00:44 the struggle that I have because so much of the analysis I do takes the assumption that on a game
00:49 basis, guys are going to throw roughly the same amount of plays. Obviously, we have advanced
00:53 metrics that do it on a per attempt basis, but that was a struggle. It really was. And I think
00:59 you nailed it. I think when you go more to a thinner slice with cutups and maybe not third
01:04 and long, third and three plus, red zone, non-dropback or red zone, no play action,
01:09 different things like that, where you can kind of make it as apples to apples as possible.
01:14 And then we also just lean on our statistics that we have that are on a per play basis.
01:18 Now, the hard part about those is, I always joke, an NBA analysis, right? If
01:23 there's a difference between efficiency and load, if you look at like a number two scorer who sits
01:27 in the corner and you say, man, this guy's super efficient. Well, that's not the same load that
01:31 Anthony Edwards has when the whole defense is looking to stop him and he's got to take shots
01:35 at the end of the shot clock. Those are going to be harder shots. So always trying to make sure
01:40 that, yeah, we have these metrics, but is it the same thing required of him as required of other
01:45 people? And just, and honestly, there is no super smart, right answer. There is just a dedicated
01:49 approach to process information, listening to different viewpoints and coming up with your
01:54 evaluation at the end of the day that it corpuses all those things.

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