As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia’s invasion and the consequent illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK defence ministry says: Russia’s tactics against Ukraine’s creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.
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00:00 Russian officials and state media largely refrained from publicly discussing the two-year
00:09 anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on the 24th of February, likely
00:14 in an effort to avoid addressing Russia's failure to achieve its stated war aims at
00:19 significant human costs, says the Institute for the Study of War.
00:24 As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia's invasion and consequent
00:29 illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK Defence Ministry says Russia's tactics against Ukraine's
00:35 creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.
00:41 At the outset of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, the Russian Navy maintained
00:46 the freedom to manoeuvre throughout the entirety of the Black Sea, most significantly in the
00:51 north-west.
00:52 Following Ukraine's success in employing asymmetric alternatives to its lack of a traditional
00:57 navy like guided missiles and uncrewed vessels, the Russian Navy has been repeatedly forced
01:03 to reassess its appetite for risk.
01:06 Ukraine has continued to push Russian threat perception to new highs through combined strike
01:10 activities on land and the sea, forcing the Black Sea Fleet units to relocate their main
01:16 operating areas to the eastern Black Sea.
01:20 This UK Defence Ministry map shows Russia's main maritime operational areas in the Black
01:25 Sea.
01:26 The first area is where the Black Sea Fleet is operating at lower risk, the second at
01:31 increased risk, the third at higher risk, and here, the fourth area, is where the Black
01:36 Sea operations are denied.
01:40 Britain's Defence Minister said in late December that Russia had lost around 20% of its Black
01:45 Sea Fleet in the previous four months.
01:48 At a strategic level, Ukraine's approach has denied Russia the ability to interfere with
01:53 its maritime trade routes.
01:55 [SWOOSH]