• 10 months ago
Meta shares are trading higher after the company reported better-than-expected Q4 financial results, initiated a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share and announced a $50 billion increase to its share repurchase authorization.

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Transcript
00:00 Oh my goodness, the party continues in Zuck land.
00:02 I love the title of the show, "What the Zuck?"
00:04 because it is this market and nobody saw this coming.
00:09 I mean, nobody, everybody with their prediction
00:14 and including myself thought that Meta
00:17 would have a tough time going higher
00:20 because it's run so far and we all had it wrong
00:25 because Zuck obviously had some other stuff
00:28 up his sleeve here, AB, bring you in here.
00:32 What's going on Meta?
00:33 Holy mackerel, it won't stop going up.
00:36 - Yeah, let's get to the numbers real quick
00:38 and I do got, I forget who it was,
00:39 but someone in the chat the other day did point out,
00:42 'cause we were talking about how high
00:44 the expectations were for tech stocks.
00:47 They said, "Well, Google's ad numbers
00:50 "actually came in lower than expected.
00:52 "That kind of lowers the bar of expectations for Meta."
00:55 And they were right because I don't think
00:57 the market was expecting this strong of numbers from Meta.
01:02 EPS $5.33 beat the four bucks and 95 estimates,
01:06 sales beat by about a billion.
01:08 That's not really what the market cares about.
01:09 The company announced a dividend, 50 cents a share
01:12 for the first time in its history,
01:14 as well as a $50 billion share buyback.
01:18 So I think that's a further confirmation
01:21 from the company of them just saying,
01:23 "Hey, look, you know that profit cutting
01:25 "or that spending cost cutting initiative
01:28 "we went on last year and the focus on profit,
01:32 "it's working because look at this,
01:33 "we saved so much money.
01:34 "We have $50 billion to buy back our stock.
01:37 "We're gonna offer our investors a dividend."
01:39 So for the people that were saying last year
01:42 or a year and a half ago when Meta got down to like $100
01:45 that, "Hey, this is a value stock now."
01:47 They've been vindicated because-
01:49 - Oh my gosh, were they ever vindicated.
01:51 If you were buying Meta when it got under $100
01:53 and you held it this long, congratulations.
01:56 You are an unbelievable investor, we'll say.
01:59 Buying, pure Buffett, buying when everybody else
02:04 is scared to death and then just rolling
02:08 and it keeps rolling.
02:09 People can't believe it can go higher.
02:10 I mean, they did everything right.
02:11 $50 billion buyback.
02:13 We know Apple has driven its entire last three
02:16 to four years of earnings off of buybacks.
02:19 The growth hasn't been there for the last two years,
02:22 but the buybacks have.
02:23 They just bought the stock and that's bringing
02:25 that share count down, brings that EPS up.
02:28 So if you can't grow the earnings,
02:30 you bring those shares down, the EPS goes up.
02:32 I mean, so now they're gonna play that game here too.
02:35 Unbelievable quarter for Meta.
02:37 So where does it go from here?
02:39 Well, stocks at all time highs.
02:41 When our stocks are all time highs,
02:43 I don't short stocks at all time highs.
02:44 There'll be a thousand people saying today,
02:47 "Short Meta or sell Meta, this can't last.
02:50 This is a ridiculous move.
02:52 It's overvalued, all the hype."
02:54 This is the market where the overvalued stocks
02:57 gets more overvalued.
02:59 That's the market that we're in right now.
03:01 - I mean, paying a dividend.
03:02 I mean, how many people saw that coming down?
03:04 - Nobody.
03:05 - The buyback, I mean, they're just showing confidence
03:08 in the company doing a buyback when the stock
03:10 is at these levels too.
03:12 I mean, I guess the only thing they didn't throw in there
03:14 was a stock split, right?
03:15 (laughing)
03:16 - The trifecta.
03:17 - Yeah, save it for that.
03:19 I'll just give you the pre-market high.
03:21 Pre-market high comes in at 465, 67.
03:25 You can use that as a level, look for some follow through.
03:28 Right now, we're probably way over the expected move as well.
03:32 So if it does come in, we'll look to see
03:36 if it can hold the expected move.
03:37 But right now, that's the only number I can give you.
03:39 They're throwing some volume around here.
03:41 And that's one of our really two great reports
03:45 that we had after the close.
03:47 - Yeah, the Amazon, because it's the other good one.
03:49 - Just real quick before I move on from Meta,
03:51 I was looking at the option chain real quick, Dennis.
03:55 So share price is at $463 right now, we'll call it that.
03:59 Can you guess what the 460, so $3 below the share price
04:04 right now, the 460s that expired today,
04:07 what they were trading at at close yesterday?
04:09 - 50 cents?
04:10 - 18 cents.
04:12 So anyone who bought those 460 calls was like,
04:17 "Hey, I think this thing's gonna go up 20%."
04:19 People were probably like, "You're crazy."
04:20 But if you bought--
04:21 - Hey, I'll sell you that all day long.
04:22 I'd sell those options all day long.
04:25 That looked like a free 18 cents.
04:26 - What about the straddle?
04:28 Can you calculate the straddle?
04:29 - Yeah, so the expected move coming in
04:31 was actually quite significant, Joel.
04:34 It's more than you think.
04:36 Like I didn't know the expected move was gonna be that much,
04:37 but I guess it's $394 stock.
04:39 It was 24 bucks.
04:41 Straddle coming in was $24.
04:42 - But instead it moved, what, 70?
04:44 - Oh yeah, you're getting hurt.
04:46 If you sold the straddle on this one,
04:48 you're crawling under your desk.
04:49 If you sold options on this one,
04:51 you know, if you sold puts, you're laughing,
04:52 but if you sold any calls, you're like,
04:55 "Ah!" you're under your desk
04:57 and you're looking for cover there.
04:58 - So I'm curious what those--
04:59 - I've been there and done that.
05:01 I wrote options for a lot of years.
05:02 I've been on the wrong side.
05:03 Remember the Apple?
05:04 Didn't I write Apple?
05:05 - Yeah, you did.
05:06 - I wrote Apple calls.

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