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00:00 [Music]
00:07 Hello viewers,
00:09 Today's topic is our doubts.
00:11 If we look at Nifty,
00:13 it has fallen to the level of June 2022.
00:18 It is worth noting.
00:20 More than 4 lakh crores
00:22 the wealth of retail investors
00:24 has increased today.
00:26 Similarly, the Bank Nifty
00:28 has touched a two-year low.
00:30 It is worth noting.
00:31 If we look at the reason,
00:33 First, the global market
00:36 is under pressure.
00:38 China's GDP is less than expected.
00:42 The US Fed
00:45 has released a hawkish statement
00:49 about its impact.
00:51 Secondly, the US 10-year G-Sex yield
00:55 has also increased.
00:57 Thirdly,
00:59 we normally call it the dollar index.
01:01 With the dollar index,
01:03 foreign institutions' money
01:05 will come to foreign countries.
01:09 The dollar index has also reached
01:12 the peak of one month.
01:14 So, what happened is,
01:16 the FII has sold a lot today.
01:23 Especially, yesterday's H3FC
01:27 circular statement.
01:31 According to the quarterly report,
01:33 the results are in a minor level.
01:36 It is not a pessimistic view.
01:40 But, for that,
01:42 the share price has fallen
01:44 by 7%.
01:46 If we look at all private banks,
01:48 today, profit booking
01:50 like ICICI, Quota Bank,
01:52 IndusInd Bank,
01:53 all have fallen.
01:55 Overall, today,
01:57 the profit is the result of
01:59 the global market and
02:01 our quarterly results.
02:03 Again, the World Economic Forum
02:06 is taking place in Davos, Switzerland.
02:09 In that, our RBI Governor
02:11 has said,
02:13 in the form of India,
02:15 through globalization,
02:17 through UPIID,
02:19 we can make all countries
02:21 prosperous.
02:23 We can expect that
02:25 this could have given
02:27 a boost to the economy.
02:29 Sir, this week, H3FC has
02:31 first of all signed a
02:33 share agreement.
02:35 What are the other
02:37 shareholder's
02:39 expectations?
02:41 With the quarterly results,
02:43 there are some expectations
02:45 in the market.
02:47 Secondly,
02:49 the global market
02:51 has opened up.
02:53 There could be
02:55 pressure in the markets.
02:57 So, the pressure
02:59 that has come today,
03:01 the financial services
03:03 and private banks
03:05 in NIFTY,
03:07 these are called BFSI,
03:09 Banking Financial Services
03:11 and Insurance.
03:13 But, since the insurance sector
03:15 is doing well, there is a fear.
03:17 Private sector banks and
03:19 non-banking finance companies
03:21 are under pressure.
03:23 This pressure will
03:25 increase in the next two days.
03:27 We have already
03:29 mentioned that
03:31 this week,
03:33 since there are many
03:35 quarterly results,
03:37 there could be an abrupt movement
03:39 because of the global movement.
03:41 Because, even before the
03:43 Dawood meeting,
03:45 there were some changes
03:47 in the market.
03:49 But, as per the reports,
03:51 there could be an increase in the market.
03:53 If we look at the next few days,
03:55 the valuation of our funds
03:57 is increasing.
03:59 Because of this,
04:01 there are more chances
04:03 of selling in the market.
04:05 If we look at NIFTY from this level,
04:07 it is at Rs. 21,578.
04:09 From this,
04:11 there are chances of NIFTY
04:13 going down from Rs. 500 to Rs. 600.
04:15 If we look at the Bank NIFTY,
04:17 there are chances of
04:19 going down from Rs. 1000 to Rs. 1500.
04:21 So, this volatile movement,
04:23 there are more chances
04:25 of it continuing this week.
04:27 Because,
04:29 India's volatility index
04:31 has increased by
04:33 11%.
04:35 So, since the volatility is high,
04:37 we can assume that
04:39 it will continue further.
04:41 Okay, next,
04:43 what are the changes
04:45 that are expected?
04:47 Can you tell us about the
04:49 issue of Red Sea?
04:51 Actually, if you look at the issue of Red Sea,
04:53 it will cause
04:55 supply chain disruption.
04:57 So, what will happen in this?
04:59 Mainly, the ways to export crude oil
05:01 will be blocked.
05:03 Similarly, from India,
05:05 the textile that we export,
05:07 let it be,
05:09 let it be pharmaceuticals,
05:11 there will be a pressure.
05:13 So, because of the supply chain disruption,
05:15 so, there,
05:17 because of that issue,
05:19 there will be a war.
05:21 Many people were talking about such things.
05:23 Even if there is no war,
05:25 because of the supply chain disruption,
05:27 there will be a pressure on the economy.
05:29 That too can be a reason
05:31 for the market to fall.
05:33 Thank you for your attention.
05:35 [Music]
05:39 you