Examining Lamar Jackson's Game & Dolphins' Upset Potential
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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - But it gives you a much better understanding
00:07 of the player and then to understand the price point.
00:10 Let's use that and move to Lamar Jackson.
00:12 'Cause often we talk about returning three X value.
00:15 So 7,900 on Fandle, I'll call it eight
00:17 just because my math is better that way,
00:19 or 7,700 even on DK.
00:22 So now does Lamar Jackson return three X
00:24 and can you apply that same depth of target yard
00:27 after catch logic here?
00:29 - Well, the Miami Dolphins defense has played really well
00:32 in the last couple of weeks.
00:33 I think the return of Jalen Ramsey
00:36 has been a big difference for this defense.
00:37 It's allowed the front to get a little bit more pressure
00:39 because you had a lockdown corner on somebody's number one.
00:42 So I think that's sort of changed the dynamic.
00:43 And even though they had some injuries,
00:44 it still feels like Miami is in there.
00:46 And they finally came off a big win against a team
00:48 that they were punching up against last week,
00:50 which is the Cowboys.
00:51 So this is another test year for the Miami Dolphins.
00:53 And it would not surprise me
00:54 if they just flat out won today.
00:56 I think the appeal of them at plus 125, 130
01:00 on the money line and some other places
01:02 really makes a lot of sense.
01:04 It's not that I don't respect the Ravens.
01:06 It's just week to week,
01:07 the Ravens are a bit of an enigma.
01:08 Let's be honest.
01:09 Defense is very good.
01:11 Can they stop a healthy Tyreek Hill and Devon Achan
01:14 and Moe Sturt and all that speed?
01:16 Now Waddle's not gonna play in that game.
01:18 But the thing when you come back to a Lamar,
01:19 it's all about the rushing equity, right?
01:20 So last week, great game for Lamar, 22 points.
01:24 The week before 19 points, week before that 32.
01:26 So he's been pretty solid.
01:27 But if you dial it back a little further,
01:29 you've got some 14 point performances,
01:31 some 15, some 11s,
01:32 and that's not gonna get it done for this price tag.
01:34 So for me, once again,
01:35 I think I'm gonna pivot down to some other guys on here.
01:38 One of my favorite pivots away,
01:40 who is not in one of the graphics we have,
01:41 but a guy that I'm starting in a lot of places
01:44 is actually going to be once again, Baker Mayfield,
01:47 a guy that we've talked about quite a bit.
01:49 Now Mayfield on the other hand,
01:50 has a tough matchup against New Orleans,
01:52 theoretically against the past.
01:53 But again, Baker Mayfield has been so solid
01:56 these last three weeks,
01:57 it's hard not to want to invest in him.
01:59 He has been really tremendous.
02:00 And I think looking at Baker Mayfield,
02:02 in this situation here,
02:04 coming off two really good games back to back,
02:06 I think they feel like this is their chance
02:07 to assert their dominance,
02:09 crown themselves NFC South champions here,
02:13 and start to look ahead to the playoffs.
02:14 And I don't think that's lost on them,
02:15 but there is one more quarterback we're gonna talk about,
02:18 that I have very high expectations for
02:19 in the slate this week.
02:20 (upbeat music)
02:23 (bell ringing)