Investor Kembali Masuk, GOTO Makin Jauhi Level Rp50 per Saham
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) hingga akhir sesi I Senin (6/11) menguat 0,73% ke 6.838,66. Sektor barang baku melejit 1,39%. Sektor teknologi melonjak 1,18%. Ditopang saham ARTO naik 7,50% dan GOTO 5,71% dan masuk kederetan top gainers LQ45. Penguatan ditopang dari perbaikan kinerja dan kebijakan The Fed tahan suku bunga.
Tidak hanya IHSG, kurs rupiah juga menguat signifikan mencapai 1,27% ke posisi 15.528 di Senin siang. Dari dalam negeri, BPS mengumumkan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia di Kuartal III 2023 melambat ke 4,94% YoY. Dari global, Indeks utama Wall Street melompat karena imbas hasil US treasury tenor 10 tahun turun, setelah data lapangan kerja AS melambat di Oktober 2023.
Tidak hanya IHSG, kurs rupiah juga menguat signifikan mencapai 1,27% ke posisi 15.528 di Senin siang. Dari dalam negeri, BPS mengumumkan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia di Kuartal III 2023 melambat ke 4,94% YoY. Dari global, Indeks utama Wall Street melompat karena imbas hasil US treasury tenor 10 tahun turun, setelah data lapangan kerja AS melambat di Oktober 2023.
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:02 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:04 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:06 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:08 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:10 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:12 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:14 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:16 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:18 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:20 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:22 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:24 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:26 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:28 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:30 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:33 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:35 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:37 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:39 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:41 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:43 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:45 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:47 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:49 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:51 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:53 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:55 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
00:58 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:00 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:03 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:05 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:08 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:11 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:13 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:15 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:17 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:19 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:21 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:23 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:25 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:27 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:29 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:31 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:33 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:35 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:37 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:39 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:41 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:43 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:45 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:47 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:49 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:51 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:53 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:55 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:57 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
01:59 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:01 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:03 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:05 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:07 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:09 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:11 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:13 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:15 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:17 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:19 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:21 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:23 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:25 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:27 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:29 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:31 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:33 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:35 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:37 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:39 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:41 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:43 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:45 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:47 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:49 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:51 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:53 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:55 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:57 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
02:59 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
03:01 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
03:03 [NON-ENGLISH SPEECH]
03:05 significant. Is it also possible that there will be a correction in the short and medium term, Pak Rief?
03:12 Yes, we can see that in the basic, if we see some big cap stocks, such as some banking stocks, we do see the strategy more
03:21 to sell on strength, Pak. So the strengthening in the last 1-2 days is more suitable to do prototagging or sell on strength.
03:29 And it is mostly quite diverse in some big cap stocks in the market, Pak Sade.
03:36 What causes this condition to occur, Pak Rief, from the fundamental side, the fact that the signal will hold the flower
03:44 and this is what was feared by the market players who are more inclined towards trading only,
03:50 raising the significance, then the correction is quite deep. Will this condition continue to occur, even though the Dovis signal is getting stronger?
03:56 Yes, it will still occur, because basically we need to consider this, Pak. So, with the condition that the Fed will still hold their flower,
04:05 but the fact cannot be avoided that the spread between the BI rate and the Fed rate is still thin, Pak.
04:13 So, not as ideal as that, where the BI rate, in terms of flow, should be higher than the current level.
04:23 So, basically, we can see that the market will still be sideways, because it will weigh and estimate again,
04:32 whether with a thin spread like this, whether the funds will, let's say, return to Indonesia or there will still be an outflow in Indonesia.
04:42 So, basically, the increase of 3 days is already very significant and technically, based on money flow and price action,
04:51 it can be seen that the IHSG is already in the area of resistance, Pak.
04:58 Okay, in the middle of the strengthening of the Indekar Gas Amkabungan, the sectoral movement rotation is also quite interesting, we pay attention to the Paryo.
05:05 This time I will try to discuss from technology, this in the last few days has experienced a fairly official strengthening,
05:11 including also from Gotoh, which is the locomotive of this sector.
05:16 The position so far, Gotoh has experienced a strength of more than 8%, at 76 rupiah per share,
05:22 earlier it was above the level of 77 rupiah per share.
05:26 How is your analysis related to the Gotoh stock movement, which is getting further away from the level of 50 rupiah per share?
05:34 Okay, so this is interesting, because Gotoh's growth rate has been, you can say, the last week has been increasing continuously,
05:41 but basically, we need to see that there used to be a strong support level at Gotoh, at level 80-85, Pak.
05:49 So, the increase now, technically based on trends, is more likely to be called a technical rebound in the downward trend.
06:00 So basically, as long as Gotoh is still below level 85,
06:04 and we see here that the resistance will be in Gotoh at 83-85, that's a very strong resistance level.
06:13 So as long as Gotoh is still below level 85, basically all the increases are only classified as technical rebound in the downward trend.
06:21 So, in terms of trends, it's not broken, in terms of trends, it's basically still in the trend.
06:26 But yes, there is still money to be raised, but it doesn't look like it's upside, it's more limited, Pak.
06:34 It's prone to profit taking too, Pak Ryo, like with the Sambic Captain.
06:38 Yes, that's right, Pak.
06:40 Where is it heading with the current 76 rupiah position?
06:43 We can still expect it to approach level 80-85, but after that, 85 will be a strong resistance level at Gotoh,
06:52 so it's better to anticipate the strengthening by doing profit taking or sell-off strength,
06:58 and basically not to buy the first time, Pak.
07:01 Okay, the movement of Sambic Gotoh, although it has experienced a very deep correction, the trend has dropped,
07:07 but still attracts attention from the investors.
07:11 Pak Ryo, how do you see what needs to be looked at by investors,
07:16 and how do you see the market with Gotoh's development, not only from a technical point of view, but also from a fundamental point of view?
07:22 Well, basically the most important thing is whether Gotoh can print the market, Pak.
07:26 Basically, all the METs that enter the stock market, the investors see the METs that are needed by the investors,
07:33 whether they can print the market, whether the market is sustainable,
07:37 not just one year of profit or one quarter of profit, but sustainable.
07:41 And finally, the highest level is for the dividend, Pak.
07:44 Basically, as long as a MET is unable to reach that level, level 1, 2, 3,
07:50 the stock movement is more influenced by the cyclical money flow and maybe the sentiment at the moment
07:57 compared to the fundamental history, Pak.
07:59 Okay, for those who have taken a position, do you have to wait for profit taking above 80?
08:05 Yes, basically when the price is already at level 80, especially 83 to 85,
08:12 it can be a quite interesting moment to realize the benefits in the meantime, Pak.
08:18 Until you see how Gotoh's movement for the future.
08:21 We don't say that it will return to 50 and all that,
08:25 but actually profit taking to secure the position and the realization of profit
08:29 will be much more interesting and wise there to adapt to the current price movement.
08:34 Okay, today's closing at Rp 76, the company is strong at 8.57%
08:40 and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the ADA Channel.
08:45 Mr. Arjo, while waiting for the trading closing update in the second session,
08:48 I want to go to this digital bank, there is Arto or Bang Jago.
08:54 This is also quite interesting to notice.
08:56 In the last week, the increase is also quite significant.
09:00 The condition is different compared to other digital banks. Arto seems to be breaking down.
09:05 It has been at Rp 1,945 from the trend side, it is still in the downward trend so far.
09:10 Yes, basically the Arto movement will definitely be different from other digital banks
09:16 because Arto is associated with Gotoh, which is a good bank that connects with Gopay and the like.
09:23 And we can see that the Arto movement in the last three to a week is similar to Gotoh.
09:31 And the same with the price of Gotoh, basically I call it Gotoh because they are associated.
09:36 Arto resistance is at the level of 2030 resistant quad, which used to be a support quad level.
09:42 So back again, the support quad used to be tested as a resistant quad and level from 2030.
09:49 So the strategy of selling on strength for profit will be an option for Arto.
09:57 Okay, support and resistance with Rp 1,945 today.
10:01 Yes, resistance in 2030 to 2050 for support is more or less at the range of Rp 1,700.
10:09 It's a bit wide, but the condition is like that.
10:12 For those who haven't participated, haven't been recommended for entry?
10:16 Not yet, waiting for consolidation first.
10:18 Okay, today's closing at Rp 1,945, there is Arto, which is affiliated with Gotoh, today also significantly strengthened, not only today, but also in several last trades,
10:27 along with the strengthening of Gotoh shares in the last few days.
10:31 And again, the decision to invest still in the hands of the IDEA Channel.
10:34 Mr. Ryo, we'll hold first, I will deliver the closing update of the trade on the second session today,
10:39 and also some other trade data that was successfully collected by our production team.
10:43 You can also watch the trading boards on your television screen.
10:46 Significant strengthening again occurred at the closing of the second session today,
10:51 and it seems that the level of the closing of the second session is the highest level throughout the trading today,
10:56 and the IDEA Kargasam Kabungan is trying to approach the level of Rp 6,900.
11:01 Closed to strengthen at 1.33%, at Rp 6,878.85.
11:07 The volume, value, and frequency trading are still running this far,
11:12 and this is the highest level throughout today's trading for the IDEA Kargasam Kabungan.
11:18 Let's go straight to the first graph, we will try to see some other trading data,
11:23 like the closing of some other indexes.
11:26 Like MNC36, this also experienced significant strengthening at 1.07%,
11:31 along with the strengthening of the IDEA Kargasam Kabungan.
11:34 Then Jakarta Islamic Index also strengthened at 0.95%.
11:38 LQ45 significantly strengthened at 1.28%, at 915.740.
11:46 Then we will try to see the sectoral movement rotation at the closing of the second session today.
11:51 Technology again led to strengthening at 2.33%, there is GOTO as the driving locomotive.
11:59 Infrastructure also strengthened at 1.58%, the primary consumption was stressed at 0.22%,
12:05 the industry weakened at 0.16%.
12:08 We will try to see the stocks that became the support of the IDEA Kargasam Kabungan in the second session today,
12:15 with significant strengthening.
12:17 From the technology there is GOTO, closed at Rp 76 per share.
12:21 We also mentioned earlier that the BKB Banking at the BBRI strengthened to Rp 6,175.
12:27 The General Bank also strengthened at Rp 6,825.
12:30 From the telecommunications infrastructure there is Telkom, also strengthened to Rp 3,630.
12:35 Next, the stocks that actually experienced a significant weakness and became the burden.
12:40 The STRK was pressed to level 334 TCPI at Rp 8,200, TPIA at Rp 2,960, while the MRT was also pressed at Rp 2,810.
12:51 It seems that the top loser is dominated by Samsung Small Cap and Middle Cap,
12:55 while the BKB from Samsung is compact today, supporting the IDEA Kargasam Kabungan.
12:59 Hopefully this can be a reference for you, especially in dealing with the trading in the next few days.
13:05 Thank you for watching!
13:09 [BLANK_AUDIO]