Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00Well hello on this sloppy wet Wednesday as our spring storm system continues to bring rain and
00:06heavy snow to the region with heavy snow really going today and tonight across northern Minnesota
00:11but after this we're in for a long stretch of dry weather and I'll let you know when spring
00:16temperatures return. So another soggy storm fairly similar to the one we had this weekend
00:32as far as moisture content for southern Minnesota but this time this storm is going to produce
00:37bigger snowfall than what the weekend storm system created at least for northern Minnesota. We did
00:44pick up a few inches of snow and we've got winter storm warnings continuing here for northeastern
00:49Minnesota that goes into tonight the areas in pink there that's the area we expect to see
00:56the heaviest snowfall. Now as far as snow totals from yesterday we mostly got this in one burst
01:03yesterday evening between about 8 and 11 p.m. You can really see where it lined up and so sort of
01:09the round one of this storm actually produced some of the highest totals in central and southern
01:15Minnesota. Most of the metro you can see anywhere from one to three inches three inches in Newport
01:19Woodbury. The official MSP total was 2.1 inches three inches out in Long Lake but there were some
01:28slightly higher amounts generally three and a half four inches Kimball four and a half New London
01:35but the north shore which is going to get the most out of this second part of the system the
01:40more significant part of the system today into tonight just one to two inches generally up there
01:47so quite a bit of moisture you can really see this filling in here in the last I'm going to
01:54back up a little bit here the last few hours so we had a bit of a lull late last night into the
02:00early morning hours but then you can almost see the low-level jet those winds at about 4,000 feet
02:05above the ground it's basically a conveyor belt of warmer air more moist air surging into the area
02:12watch southern Kansas into Iowa and Minnesota you can see the movement of the air through the clouds
02:18and as it comes in it pushed our temperatures up changed us over to rain here in southern
02:22Minnesota but also you can see it really fill in the radar returns there just that surge of
02:28moisture running into the colder air with this storm system now producing a wide swath of rain
02:34and snow oh now you know what time I'm recording this I don't know if you can hear the sirens going
02:40off it's one o'clock on Wednesday April 2nd first Wednesday of the month but observation-wise not
02:46much going on the north shore yet for the most part Duluth is reporting heavy snow 30 degrees
02:52that's what three stars mean heavy snow versus two stars which is lighter snow and generally
02:57from southwestern Minnesota Marshall up through Alexandria over to Brainerd and Duluth that's where
03:02we have sort of continuous snow and not to be left out International Falls and Crane Lake also
03:10reporting heavy snow and the difference between snow and rain is really just a couple degrees
03:15the same cloud reporting rain and 34 degrees but then you go just to the west 34 degrees in Benson
03:21but snow the difference is the temperatures aloft so this is what we expect for additional
03:27snowfall here the rest of today into tonight pretty substantial snow here a large area that
03:34will see probably a half foot I think from Fergus Falls Alexandria will be on the southern edge of
03:40that band of Bemidji International Falls and then sort of a secondary heavier band of 6 to 10 11
03:48inches here along the north shore so Duluth anywhere from six seven eight inches you get up
03:52the shore Silver Bay and then into Grand Marais we're talking maybe up to 10 11 inches so there
03:58will be some spots that come in at over a foot in total looking at the weighted average the model's
04:04pretty similar though it doesn't quite account for the compacting so it has some slightly higher
04:08amounts not out of the question though to see a 14 inch amount up around Grand Marais or Grand
04:14Portage potentially one of the things they're watching though the high resolution rapid refresh
04:20model which I will refer to from now on in this video as the HER model rather than saying that
04:28it's h triple r is the acronym it's just easier it's it was hinting at this yesterday too and
04:35is still trying to do this where it's turning the Twin Cities over to potentially uh sleet that's
04:40the pinkish orange area to or snow the blue area here by uh two o'clock and I don't see that
04:47happening within the hour so I think it is uh overdoing some of the dynamic cooling perhaps
04:53over the Twin Cities because all the radar returns are still um uh pretty pretty green out there in
05:02fact I can I will pull up the radar keeping in mind this is as of 1 p.m so whenever you see this
05:09it's not necessarily current um some of the radar returns are turning blue out to the west but those
05:18are algorithms it's not necessarily ground truth we use mathematical models to guess based on the
05:23radar returns what type of precipice falling uh but it's showing rain or a mix here for most of
05:29southern Minnesota and on the cold side of the west snow so maybe that maybe the the HER model
05:36is catching on to something potentially um if it is then we could be in for a little bit more
05:42slushy snow in parts of um the northern and western suburbs so let's break that down uh
05:50because I want to point out that the other models here's the NAMM model keeps the metro in the rain
05:56you can see the European model oops also keeps this rain one two three four and then by the time
06:06things cool off all the moisture is lifted north so if the HER model is on to something
06:13it is an outlier um but let's hypothetically say it's on to something if that's the case
06:22we'll put on some of the snow totals here um it has another little round of snow coming in
06:28uh for a couple hours this afternoon across the portions of the metro and now actually
06:35much of the metro it brings in another one to three inches of snow and if we account for melting
06:40and compacting you get a little less yeah anywhere from maybe a coating to an inch in some of the
06:46northern and western suburbs so that's probably the more realistic scenario if if we do see
06:52enough dynamic cooling that is enough forcing in the atmosphere where uh you can see the the
07:00moisture evaporated a colder dry air basically creates a column of colder enough air to create
07:06snow at least when you have upward vertical motion that's strong enough um maybe we can get
07:12an inch of snow again in the northern western suburbs but I am cautioning you because other
07:18models are not doing that uh here's the NAMM model it keeps the snow all to the north as does the
07:26European model um and I'm all the other models pretty much so little suspect perhaps but um not
07:36out of the question so be aware there is a slight chance that we could be in for another slushy round
07:41of snow in the northern and western suburbs this afternoon problem is another reason I'm skeptical
07:46is even if the hurr is right uh it's hard to get snow to accumulate in the middle of the day when
07:53temperatures are above freezing this time of year I talked about this yesterday sunlight is still
07:58getting through so you can't uh compare it to a winter scenario where snow can easily accumulate
08:05in the afternoon hours uh but uh we'll see we'll see uh we we had a quick few inches yesterday
08:13evening a little more than expected in that burst of snow the one way you can do it is if you do have
08:17heavy enough bursts of snow uh to counter the warm wet ground um and that little bit of sunlight
08:23getting through the clouds but generally again going back to the uh weighted average of the
08:29models we're looking at the snow to really stay off to the north and west so when we put that all
08:35together we'll put on the forecast radar here and see when does this thing finally pull out of here
08:40after it leaves a foot of snow on the north shore we've got on and off scattered rain showers through
08:46the afternoon uh in the twin cities in southern minnesota and then as we head in the late afternoon
08:50it really kind of dies off again we might see some more snow showers even the nam hints at some kind
08:55of clipping us on the tail end but here's 11 p.m midnight 1 a.m 2 3 4 5 a.m still some lingering
09:03snow showers uh but really by 8 a.m tomorrow morning just some light snow left into the arrowhead
09:09it is gonna stay probably pretty cloudy though tomorrow um maybe we'll see some sun later in the
09:16day and if you're looking for spring yeah you're gonna be a little while here temperatures are
09:23gonna stay cooler than normal for the most part except for friday by friday that's 53 degree high
09:29is a degree or two above normal actually but tomorrow a little on the cool side maybe some
09:33sun later in the day brighter skies though for the weekend and especially next week but we're
09:37gonna get kind of a second little blast of cool air here um we're missing a storm system mostly to
09:43our south saturday uh more rain severe weather south of minnesota uh but it is going to draw in
09:49some cooler air by monday high of only 40 which by monday that's 12 degrees below normal uh but
09:55then we are popping up by tuesday and uh beyond that beyond seven days which is you know things
10:04can change but i'd like to show you this here's the weighted average of the models uh look at
10:10wednesday thursday friday uh saturday mid to upper 60s for high so if you're looking for spring
10:16we're in for it looks like a seven to ten day stretch of dry weather no measurable precipitation
10:22but also um warmer temperatures finally by wednesday into next weekend um see if the latest
10:30euro is in yeah 60s also uh the american model has been going really crazy look at these temperatures
10:36i don't buy it yet it's one model one model run but the american model's latest run
10:41has a string of 80s maybe by next weekend the weekend of the 12th to the 13th
10:46we'll see again i don't i don't think that that is uh likely but uh you never know for now though
10:54we'll put back on uh snowfall forecast for you to to my left or right i don't know how it appears to
11:00you to me it's to my left uh but yeah heavy snow continuing this afternoon into tonight
11:07for northern and uh northeastern minnesota especially and mostly on and off rain maybe
11:12mixing with sleet and snow showers in the twin cities potential uh in the northern western
11:16suburbs for maybe a brief slushy coating again this afternoon but for most of us it's just going
11:21to be wet out there but we're in for that drier stretch of weather ahead