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00:00And we do have a slight change since the last time we showed you the title odds around the association the boston celtics
00:07Who way back after they won championship number 18 last year were booked as the favorites early in the off season
00:14All pre-season long the entirety of this regular season to this point
00:19Are no longer the favorites the oklahoma city thunder at plus 175 now 15 cents in front of the seas
00:27Yeah, and look I I like where the line is going at this point here because you're taking a look at the favorite oklahoma city thunder
00:33Handling their business against the celtics in the regular season having a fantastic season
00:37Gonna have a better record than the boston celtics
00:39So if they do match up in the nba finals, they will have home court advantage and it just plays out that way
00:43So we're finally starting to see hey, look it's not just about the celtics who are yes
00:48Maybe the best overall team when completely healthy but things are working against them like the thunder just a great basketball team
00:55Handling their business and playing well against the celtics and again, we'll have home court advantage
00:59So they should have to say we're not talking about the thunder here should be minus one
01:03Let's just say plus 100 or minus 130 to win the nba championship in the celtics should be five or six to one
01:09But we're finally getting to the point where we're showing that respect through the betting markets to okc
01:14As being a better team right now than the boston celtics and it's not about playing in the ncaa tournament
01:19Where it's a neutral championship game and it's may the best team win
01:23No, it's a seven game series that oklahoma city thunder has been fantastic at home and would have home court advantage. It only makes sense
01:32And donnie, I think it also goes to speak about the path for both of those teams to reach the nba finals because right now
01:40Oklahoma city 12 and a half game lead for that one spot around the western conference
01:45We are very very close to okc clitching that number one overall seed with only about 14 games left in
01:52average for every team around the
01:55Nba, so brs the thunder right now a minus 145 favorite to win the western conference
02:01But they also back up the odds in terms of their record having the best by far out west and their path
02:07They will have home court advantage boston a minus 140 favorite still to win the eastern conference and yet more than likely
02:14Are going to be the two seed the seas trail the cleveland cavaliers by seven and a half games
02:20For that one spot in the eastern conference
02:22Now the calves did have their 16 game win streak snapped by the magic over the weekend
02:27But cleveland still very comfortable in that number one overall seed spot in the eastern conference and that still
02:34Is the distinction oklahoma city four and away by itself in the western conference cleveland
02:40In front of the boston celtics the seas not only would not have home for advantage in a championship set against the thunder
02:48The seas would not have home for advantage in an eastern conference finals against cleveland
02:53Yes, and we take a look at that number that used to sit at 12 to 1 and 11 to 1 and 10 to 1 now
02:58Down to 5 to 1 and show some respect here
03:01And I love to see that because we're not just resting on our laurels as we continue to talk about how good the celtics are
03:06The reigning world champions, they're a talented roster and they have firepower off the bench for days, but understand this once again
03:13It's not a single game playoff on a neutral court home court advantage doesn't matter and you might say to yourself like well
03:19Cleveland struggles a little bit home. They're great. No, no
03:20No, these teams are phenomenal with single digit losses at home for a reason and also having the home court advantage
03:27Makes a huge difference you can argue right now
03:30If you put the cavaliers in the celtics on a neutral court a lot of people still take the cavaliers and look at that price
03:35Point difference plus 190 to 5 to 1 still i'm interested to see how close that number even gets because if you're putting a match
03:42On it. Yeah, obviously if the number for the cavaliers changes, that means oklahoma city boston and denver nuggets
03:47You get the picture would slip shite. Excuse me would shift slightly as well
03:51But looking at the cavaliers myself
03:53I still think before the end of the regular season that price is going to be shorter than 5 to 1 and rightfully so
03:59I think it should be right because donnie look at the odds distinction right there
04:03We have three teams separated by just over three dollars in terms of the nba championship
04:10Odds boston in front of cleveland by just over three dollars as well
04:15When you look at the eastern conference odds specifically the c's minus 140 cleveland plus 180
04:21And then you jump all the way back to the new york knicks at a 12 to 1 price
04:26Here's what the odds makers are expecting in the final month of this nba regular season
04:31Oklahoma city going to blow by everybody in the western conference eastern conference finals matchup predicted to be boston
04:38Against cleveland when the calves would have home for advantage. So I think the question then from a value perspective
04:45Where do you look outside of the top three numbers in those nba finals odds?
04:50Is it the denver nuggets who have won a championship recently?
04:54Is it lebron and luca when healthy for the lakers big home victory last night against the san antonio spurs?
05:00It is it is it another spot out east?
05:03Where do you go drs because you can't find some value with some rather long numbers compared to those top three
05:10like I guess if you're looking at the clippers price at
05:12120 to 1 which is insanity when that team has a lot of veteran laden superstars
05:16Here's some of those guys do have a ring
05:18You're looking at price point at that point because if you slide up it really feels like it's the thunder
05:23It's the celtics and the cavaliers in one tier
05:25But you still do have the nuggets and the lakers because they have firepower the nuggets won a championship
05:29The other team the lakers obviously add luca donchett's and lebron james if they're healthy that superstar talent to go through
05:34But when I take a look at teams like 21 to or 21 to 1 for the warriors
05:39Like they don't move the needle not just because they lost last night in horrific, you know effort against the nuggets themselves the knicks
05:45They're a superstar team, but just doesn't feel like when they measure up against the higher up teams in the nba
05:50They come away with too many victories, which is why they're priced lower the timberwolves. Does that get you excited?
05:54How about john morant desmond bayne over there for the grizzlies doesn't get me excited
05:57It's the tier of three, but if i'm looking to take a long-term shot
06:01It's probably the clippers at 120 to 1 not because I love the team just the price point
06:06I don't think reflects the talent that they have and the veterans that once you get to the playoffs
06:11You get the extended rest time, but the big three probably going to carry it away
06:15That's the thunder the celtics and the camps
06:17The clippers right now also the eighth seed in the western conference. They would be in a play-in tournament
06:23They would only have to win one game if they stay in that play-in spot
06:27They've got a three and a half game advantage over sacramento for the eight nine distinction in the western conference standings donny
06:33I think the value right now is with denver and los angeles that being the lakers
06:38But it will be really interesting to see how the western conference playoff standings do end up shaking out houston
06:46Denver la being the lakers in the memphis grizzlies those four teams right now
06:51Separated by only a game between four
06:54Clubs, and those are the seed lists from two to five currently in the western conference standings
07:00Why I think that is so critical one some difficult opening round matchups
07:04But if we're giving oklahoma city the benefit of the doubt despite not really having proven it so far
07:10With this young core in the postseason you want to try to be a two or three seed, right?
07:15To avoid okc to have that value in the hedge out opportunity the middling opportunity
07:20Based on a series price in the western conference finals and the best way of doing that of course is to be on the opposite
07:26End of the bracket avoiding okc until you were to get to that best of seven wcf
07:32Set so that's where I really think you look right now. Denver would be in position. They are the three seed
07:37They have the same exact record as the rockets but based on a couple of tiebreakers
07:42Houston does have that slight advantage right now. It'll be really interesting
07:46I think to how the western conference standings finalizes themselves in the regular season
07:52And then I think you go back and get some value once again in the western conference odds or the nba championship odds
07:58For the team you believe in most who is opposite oklahoma city in the western conference playoff bracket
08:03yeah, and you even take a look at the bottom of that bracket where I do think the phoenix suns are going to overtake the
08:07Dallas mavericks into that 10 spot here and make the play in round though
08:10Is that a success for the phoenix suns coming into the season? Well, that's superstar town
08:14No, it's not but at least you can see like we're not throwing in the tower
08:17Superstars are still playing as we said, they'll break them up over the summer
08:20However, if you are looking at that clippers ticket right now
08:22Let's just say it goes just by the seating that we currently have right now
08:26So if the season ended today the ac would be the clippers
08:28The number one seed is oklahoma city thunder your tickets in play right away
08:32You don't have to wait say hey, we avoided them and maybe it's round number two
08:35We'll see if they can stack up right off the bat or wherever that plus 120 ticket
08:40The prop perspective on this tuesday with tv tom vecchio of sports grid live right here
08:46On the early line tom as always we appreciate the time
08:50We often refer to you as the jack of all trades and when we have the nba in action the nhl regular season coming down
08:57To a close as well the start officially of the major league baseball campaign in 2025
09:03As of this tuesday morning out in japan
09:06And first for action in the men's ncaa tournament you are going to to deliver on all fronts
09:13Tom vecchio, it is always a pleasure
09:16of course, uh
09:17Awesome time to be a sports fan arguably the first or second best month of the year for sports between you know
09:23March and october whatever it might be we had action early today. We'll have action late tonight early tomorrow morning. Let's get into it
09:31Let's dive right into it vecchio a four-game slate around the association
09:35On this tuesday evening late night in san francisco
09:39It's the warriors hosting the bucks as we referred to earlier golden state saw its seven-game win streak snap last night
09:46Despite the denver nuggets not having nicole jokic jamal murray nor christian brown and steve kerr said after the game
09:54As donnie referred to but steph curry looked a little bit exhausted
09:57He was 6 of 21 putting his status for tonight in question
10:01And then quickly the warriors open up as a three and a half point home underdog tonight in san francisco
10:06Against the bucks. How are you approaching this game vecchio as of this moment with some status uncertainty on behalf of the warriors
10:14Yeah with kareem not expected. Uh, you know his status in the year. I'm not gonna say he's not expected to play
10:19That's not the official word. We just don't know what we're gonna be getting from him
10:22You know, I don't mind taking uh calves first half
10:25I don't want to say the full game just because i'm
10:28Not the calves the bucks the bucks first half
10:31I want to take the bucks first half because they're just not a team i've been able to trust but if they do have
10:35A spot where hey curry may not play dream on green, etc
10:38Etc. Jimmy butler if they're not going to be out there
10:40The bucks have to come out early and often they have to get that score
10:43We've seen them collapse in a lot of these recent games
10:46They're just not a team that I want to trust for full for a full four quarters
10:49So i'll be looking to the bucks
10:51Assuming we get some positive injury news in their favor seeing that we do see some golden state warriors players sitting out
10:57Yeah, always a tough time in the nba betting season right now heading down the stretch here
11:02Some teams sitting players and again
11:03We handicapped these games live on the air 10 12 hours before some of these games even tip off which includes
11:09A night cap done at 10 30 p.m. Eastern
11:11That's the cleveland cavaliers taking on the clippers here looking for a bounce back and maybe a new win streak
11:16You are favorite talking about cleveland at minus three and a half at the opening number that has now since risen to four
11:21At this point a lot of other outlets out
11:22There's still three and a half and fours a total two thirty and a half. You see the graphic at 231
11:27That's actually up an extra half point at 231 and a half calves clippers tonight west coast action. Tom. What are you looking at?
11:34Yeah, now we can get to the calves now we can get to the calves minus four
11:37This is where I want to be going
11:38You know evan mobiley didn't play in their most recent game against the magic
11:41And I get it like the magic are fighting tooth and nail for every win
11:44They could possibly get the calves this win streak ends
11:47I gotta say like this is the time for the calves to have everyone out there
11:50Be fully healthy and put up a good win because you know, we've seen some okay wins for them
11:54They're like they barely snuck away with a win against brooklyn
11:57They barely snuck away with the win against the hornets back on was a march 6th or march 7th
12:01Like they need to like i'm not going to say right to ship because they're cruising
12:05But they need to like put together a full four quarters and come away with the win
12:08So hopefully mobiley plays he is officially listed as questionable. I'm already on the calves minus four if that number changes
12:13So be it but if he plays that number is probably go to four and a half or five
12:17Yeah, it's a really good point becky
12:19Oh, you saw that 16 game win streak snapped over the weekend by orlando
12:23But even toward the tail end of that 16 game win streak when the cavaliers were booked to seven eight nine
12:28Even double digit point favorites. They weren't looking overly impressive trying to find that footing
12:33Of course down the home stretch of this regular season with that being said the cavaliers still a seven and a half game lead
12:39For that top spot around the eastern
12:42conference
12:43Just a four game slate tonight around the association
12:46We'll preview at least three of them and maybe even a thought on that fourth and final game drs
12:52Again, as we have often said when we sit here at near 10 30 a.m
12:55Eastern time for a game that is happening after 10 p.m. Eastern time out in northern california where status is always uncertain
13:04for a team's best player
13:06Kind of difficult to give you our full thoughts on this handicap
13:09Not entirely sure what the availability is going to look like
13:12Of course
13:13We are referring to milwaukee and golden state tonight in san francisco steph curry his status up in the air
13:20It is why the dubs are now a three and a half point home favorite hosting milwaukee
13:26Tonight golden state saw their seven game win streak come to a close yesterday against the short-handed nuggets
13:32Steve kirk said after the game steph looked a little bit tired trying to power the golden state warriors to an eighth consecutive win
13:39Total stands at 227 and a hook with the uncertainty around golden state. What's the approach drs for this one?
13:47It should be only one approach and that's the milwaukee bucks as we saw the overnight line here at the fandle sportsbook in new jersey
13:52minus three and a half not towards the bucks
13:53That was actually the golden state warriors
13:55But now you see the three and a half switching over to the bucks
13:58Even updated from the graphic that we have on the screen the total in this game is dropping
14:01233 and a half the opening number now down to 227 and a half because sometimes you do have to take a coach at his word
14:08Hey, that was a bad loss for us tonight
14:10And maybe we just are tired but also understand this like you're home again
14:14You were just embarrassed the night before
14:17Do you just want to lay down in this game and let the bucks come in and win knowing that you're jockeying for playoff position?
14:22Or is this one of those like boy, we should have won last night and yes steph is tired
14:25Okay, we won last night now
14:27We can rest a couple stars tonight still put on a good performance and maybe win but that's what we're worried about
14:33And again, we are handicapped in this game 12 hours before tips
14:36But just looking at what I saw yesterday from the effort of the team and the coach saying we're tired
14:41and it's a back-to-back shouldn't that lead to
14:43Hey, there's bigger things down the road here for steph curry if I need to give him a breather tonight
14:47I don't see how the fact that the words can win even at home. So I went with the bucks
14:51I think the bucks are the right play tonight just based on what I heard from car
14:54But we might get a starting lineup where steve car is like, yeah, you know what?
14:57Talk to the guys had a great shoot around seemed energized. We were embarrassed last night
15:00Let's go out and get a victory tonight
15:02That changes the scenario where now you might be looking at that minus three and a half for the warriors was the correct side
15:07But for me right now, it's the bucks
15:10It is interesting dr as you can understand maybe taking one game off
15:13So you're ready for your final 10 or 12 when you're battling for playoff positioning around the western conference
15:19But you would not be expecting to kind of take any games off at this stage of the year golden state is 39 in 29
15:27Right now they have a slightly better win percentage than that of minnesota who has one more win
15:32But one more loss golden state trying to stay out of the play-in tournament
15:36Currently in the sixth spot the t-wolves just barely behind them
15:40As that seven seed in the western conference again golden state this year as an underdog 13 and 11
15:47Against the spread milwaukee has dropped four of its last six games including on sunday at home against okc
15:53But they were an underdog in that one
15:56In fact drs in milwaukee's last five covers
15:59They have been booked as a favorite in all five all five of those games
16:04Also pushing to the over tonight's total as we shared
16:08227 and a half starting a new streak is what the cavaliers have done many a time this year
16:14They're on the road tonight as a four-point favorite in los angeles over the weekend beat by orlando
16:20That 16 game win streak came to a close 231 in a hook the total in la
16:26How do you break down this matchup tonight between the cavaliers and the clippers?
16:29It looks like we're full go both sides here garland mitchell streuss
16:32Mobley and allen for the cavaliers in that anticipated starting line at them for the los angeles clippers hard and done big guy big
16:38Will norm pals in that lineup along with kawaii leonard and avika zubach. So I like the home team here
16:44I do like the points, but I can see also the public saying okay lineup
16:47But number three and a half you see the graphic at four and a half
16:49It's now back down to four, but I think the total makes sense
16:52I think we get back to more of an up tempo pace anytime you're going to play the orlando magic
16:56You say you can't beat them. All right, it's not really the tempo we like
16:58I think the 231 might be in jeopardy, but if I had to lay it here
17:02You're looking at the cavaliers used to winning basketball games lost. I love a team that can get refocused right away
17:08I think the cavaliers win the game, but it might be more confident in there in the over 231 and a half
17:13And it wasn't like this 16 game win streak came out of nowhere or the calves are not used to having a long win streak
17:19Snap this year and then starting a new one
17:23The calves have not covered in four of their last six, which is unusual for the nba's best cover team
17:29I would look to cleveland tonight under in five of their last six as well
17:33The calves a seven and a half game lead for the one spot in the eastern conference over the boston celtics
17:39The c is a 13 and a half point favorite at home tonight inside td garden
17:44Against the brooklyn nets over under 214 donny anything else that needs to be shared about this one?
17:49No, not really bad basketball team. Good basketball team. Good luck batting it. How about that?