The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has emerged victorious in the Delhi Assembly Election, clinching a hard-fought win despite a razor-thin vote percentage difference. The closely contested battle saw BJP edge past its rivals in a high-stakes political showdown. With a narrow margin defining the outcome, political analysts highlight the implications of this result for the party’s future strategy in the national capital. While BJP celebrates its win, the opposition is likely to scrutinize the numbers and rally support for upcoming challenges.
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00:00well the results are out now we know that BJP has run home to victory in
00:05Delhi but what was the reason behind it and if we take a closer look the seed
00:09shares definitely you all know that what numbers how the numbers have stacked up
00:15but when it comes to vote share my colleague Keshav and I will try and
00:19explain to you how it works and what was the margin and our Madhya Party
00:24remains unfortunate because despite you know falling down by a margin of say
00:31around 20 seats against the BJP the vote share as of now Keshav is something
00:37which is not very different from what BJP has got this time around 45.89
00:42roughly 46% our Madhya Party has maintained 43.5% of a vote share so
00:48we can say that in 3.5% only 10-20 seats have been played
00:55there has been a huge gap of around 4% due to the swing
01:00so here we see that the vote share of the common man in 2020 was 54%
01:05the common man party has come down from 54% to 43.5%
01:10whereas BJP whose vote share in 2020 was 39% this time around 46%
01:19so if we see here BJP has increased by 7% and the common man party has decreased by around 10-11%
01:30so when we take the relative difference between the two it becomes 14%
01:36so if we take the relative difference between the two it becomes 14%
01:47but when we talk about the Congress, the vote share of the Congress in Delhi was around 9%
01:58even in the last 2020 elections, the Congress had got 9% votes even though they were old
02:05even though they had put their big leaders in the field
02:09and it seemed that the Congress will clash with the BJP and the common man party
02:15but it doesn't seem to be happening
02:17the vote share of the Congress has decreased from 9% to less than 6.5%
02:25and the vote of the Congress, we always say that the common man party has got the land of the Congress
02:32but the vote share of the Congress has also been added to the BJP's account
02:41another remarkable figure we will see here is Pankaj A.I.M.I.M.
02:46the party of O.S.I.G. who didn't even fight in the last election, his vote is only 79%
02:53it seems completely insignificant, it doesn't seem to have any value in such a big 70 seat election
02:59but he had put his expectations on two seats
03:03and on both the seats, he has definitely created an impact
03:08one seat, he has helped the BJP to win
03:13and one seat, he has helped the common man party to win
03:18on the seat of Okhla, the expectations of the O.S.I.G. party were on the second number
03:23whereas in Mustafabad, another Muslim area
03:27from there, the BJP's Mohan Singh Vista has won
03:32Tahir Hussain has got much more votes than that
03:35again, we can say that this will be Tahir Hussain's personality, his character
03:38but M.I.M. has definitely put his presence on two seats
03:44and Pankaj, one more thing I am saying that from here, the path of Bihar will also come out
03:52like AIM-AIM
03:54AIM-AIM has often been touted as team B for the BJP
03:59and we have seen it happening even earlier also
04:02you are right, even in Bihar, when AIM-AIM was elected last time
04:06they also worked to cut the votes
04:09and in Lok Sabha elections, we often see that the same situation arises
04:12so if you look at this wagon wheel here
04:15the major share, as Keshav mentioned, 45.89%
04:20or almost 9% is that of the BJP
04:24Aam Aadmi Party, still giving a tough fight
04:27the huge marker over here, bagging 43.57%
04:33if we quickly take a difference, Keshav here
04:3745.89% if we take a real-time difference
04:41and 43.57%
04:44so not much of a difference, I would say
04:482.32%
04:49and this is the actual number figure
04:51but as Keshav mentions, from 2020
04:53the numbers have significantly come down for Aam Aadmi Party
04:57and there has been a boost in the BJP
04:59so when it comes to vote shares, Keshav
05:01I think it's a different ballgame altogether
05:03and two takeaways that we see from here
05:07the first one is definitely Bihar
05:09and the second one is India Alliance
05:12what happens to them
05:14it's in tatters obviously
05:16Bihar also has one party called RJD
05:20and whether it sides with Congress or not
05:22what do you think, Keshav, this time around
05:24again, Pankaj, so there is a clue hidden
05:28in the stats which we are looking at
05:32the biggest clue is
05:34look at this
05:36only 6.38%
05:38but with just this much vote share
05:40with just this much vote share
05:42with just this much vote share
05:44Congress has sunk
05:46the boat of Aam Aadmi Party
05:48Aam Aadmi Party
05:50with this
05:52vote share
05:54has got 22 seats
05:5614 constituencies
05:58were such
06:00where
06:02the candidates for BJP
06:04who win from Aam Aadmi Party
06:06their vote margin
06:08their winning margin
06:10and the voting margin
06:12of the candidates for Congress
06:14is more or less equal
06:16so on 14 seats
06:18in this competition
06:20Congress has played
06:22like a B team of BJP
06:24if Congress
06:26doesn't ruin your game on 14 seats
06:28then you get 14
06:30and plus 22
06:3236
06:34the figure that we were talking about
06:3636
06:38the figure that we were talking about
06:4036
06:42the figure that we were talking about
06:4436
06:46where Arvind Kejriwal
06:48lost by around
06:506488 votes
06:52and the same votes
06:54Sandeep Dixit has got
06:564500 some odd votes
06:58so those votes which Sandeep Dixit took
07:00could have easily helped
07:02that goes on Manish Shishodiya's
07:04constituency as well
07:06almost 14 constituencies
07:08have been like this
07:10in fact in Greater Kailas as well
07:12so there
07:14the big faces of Aam Aadmi
07:16apart from Aatish
07:18although Aatish has also won
07:20with great difficulty
07:22although Gopal Rai has also won
07:24but he was not in the limelight
07:26of the media
07:28so to ruin the big faces
07:30Aam Aadmi Party
07:32Congress has left no stone unturned
07:34now what will be the result of this
07:36initially
07:38Congress was trying
07:40that Aam Aadmi Party
07:42should give them some seats in Haryana
07:44should give them some seats in Delhi
07:46if they fight in Gatbandhan
07:48sorry not in Haryana but in Delhi
07:50Aam Aadmi Party was trying
07:52that Congress should give them some seats in Haryana
07:54may be some seats were offered
07:56but they did not win
07:58Aam Aadmi Party
08:00wanted to take revenge of Haryana in Delhi
08:02but they did not win
08:04in the beginning Congress
08:06encouraged friendship
08:08but the biggest fear of Aam Aadmi Party
08:10was this 54%
08:12vote share
08:14which from 2013
08:16they gradually grabbed
08:18in 2015
08:20and then in 2022
08:22this 54%
08:24vote share
08:26Congress
08:28withdrew
08:30Aam Aadmi Party
08:32did not want to give back
08:34the land of Congress
08:36Indi Gatbandhan
08:38stands behind Aam Aadmi Party
08:40Congress fights alone
08:42Congress in Delhi elections
08:44stood alone
08:46all the friends of Gatbandhan
08:48from Jammu Kashmir's Avdullaj
08:50to West Bengal's Mamata Banerjee
08:52all were standing behind Khejriwal
08:54but still
08:56Congress
08:58cut 50% vote
09:00and ruined their game
09:02so what will happen in Bihar elections
09:04the way Tejasvi Yadav
09:06and RJD
09:08were trying to push Congress
09:10now this will not happen
09:12Congress's bargaining power
09:14will increase more
09:16in Indy Alliance
09:18It's a
09:20political arithmetic
09:22you said here
09:24if the Congress
09:26has been relegated to such margins
09:28that now it is acting like an AIMIM
09:30there are memes going on
09:32where Sandeep Dixit is distributing sweets
09:34and people are asking
09:36why are you distributing sweets
09:38then he is saying
09:40Khejriwal was defeated
09:42so now Congress is taking the credit
09:44that we have defeated Khejriwal
09:46from 4000 votes to 4500 votes
09:48when it comes to Delhi model
09:50Sheela Dixit's name is taken
09:52with a lot of respect
09:54when it comes to political development
09:56people remember Sheela Dixit
09:58so I think
10:00Sandeep Dixit was fighting
10:02as a lone warrior
10:04but the performance was not that good
10:06and since then
10:08we have a habit
10:10that when a guest
10:12talked about 2002
10:14a lot of water
10:16has since then flown in the river Yamuna
10:18and now with the
10:20up style of politics
10:22things have changed
10:24a lot of people have changed
10:26the demography of Delhi has changed
10:28the priorities have changed
10:30now they want swanky malls
10:32they want electric vehicles
10:34also on the roads
10:36they want wide roads
10:38water supply
10:40but somewhere I feel
10:42that if we keep in mind
10:44the political issues
10:46then this whole thing
10:48that you have told
10:50where there is a crown of victory
10:52for BJP, it can be a matter of worry
10:54for India Alliance
10:56and where there is a question of Congress
10:58they need to fight their identity crisis
11:00Yes Pankaj
11:02I would like to add two more points
11:04look at this
11:08and look at this
11:10Delhi elections
11:12have given them
11:14a lesson for Bihar
11:16the way BJP's power
11:18has increased
11:22and Nitish Kumar
11:24has become famous
11:26for taking U-Turn
11:28Mr. U-Turn
11:30now here they will definitely think
11:32that BJP
11:34who is gaining their old power
11:36leaving them
11:38and going to other fields
11:40how much profit will they get
11:42on the other hand we know
11:44LJP
11:46Ram Vilas
11:48and his leader Chirag Baswan
11:50they are hard bargainers
11:52in Delhi BJP knew
11:54that these two seats
11:56BJP will lose
11:58JDU will not be able to
12:00face Sanjeev Jha
12:02in the same way
12:04LJP was hoping to win
12:06but if BJP was expected
12:08then BJP would have won
12:10BJP knew
12:12that these two seats
12:14will be lost before the elections
12:16but in Bihar
12:18to keep the upper hand
12:20in the negotiation
12:22BJP had given up two seats
12:24sometimes to get something
12:26you have to lose something
12:28so Delhi's election
12:30not only Punjab
12:32Bihar
12:34but at the national level
12:36will definitely create an impact
12:38if you look at the quantum
12:40of this election
12:42but its impact
12:44is going to be massive
12:46on the national politics as well
13:12Mr. Modi will be going to the
13:14headquarters of BJP
13:16we are expecting it to be
13:18a cracker of a speech
13:20the impact of this whole
13:22arithmetic of politics
13:24is something that will be felt
13:26and would be palpable
13:28in the days and years to come
13:30we will be back with more analysis
13:32from our data center
13:34at the headquarters in One India