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00:00A number that you never would even consider going under on the past seven years.
00:07Patrick Mahomes is passing yards.
00:09You would never even consider, 249, oh come on, the only way the Chiefs win is by going
00:15over on this one.
00:16Now, hasn't been the case this year.
00:19They haven't been winning with Mahomes, it's been more or less the defense.
00:22But the prop is 249 and a half.
00:25George, do you think that he hits this one against a Buffalo defense that is bend but
00:31don't break in order to win games?
00:33Well, one thing I agree, I certainly agree with you, you said it earlier.
00:37I don't think they win if he doesn't.
00:39If he's still over 240, I'm just not so sure they're going to get the job done here.
00:43So I think he needs to hit this.
00:44Remember, they did play Case Buffalo earlier in the season.
00:48He threw for 196.
00:50Now, that was in Buffalo.
00:52The weather is fine, by the way, on Sunday in Kansas City.
00:55It's going to be 31 degrees.
00:56So that's the Kansas City in late January.
00:59That's beautiful here.
01:00I mean, I'm going to say he gets the over.
01:05This game, by the way, I think they played seven times in the last four or five years,
01:08these two teams, including the playoffs.
01:10He's hit this number five times.
01:11All right.
01:12And these games are usually high scoring games for what it's worth here.
01:15And I understand different teams here.
01:17All right.
01:18Buffalo's not the same team either.
01:19All right.
01:20They don't have the weapons they used to have here.
01:22I can't go under.
01:23All right.
01:24Either I'm taking the over, or I'm leaving it alone.
01:28It's that simple.
01:29I'm not going to bet Pat Mahomes under 249.
01:31But I don't feel great about it.
01:33All right.
01:34Fair enough.
01:35Let's go to Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills.
01:37Passing touchdowns.
01:38You can get plus money if Josh Allen throws more than one and a half touchdowns on Sunday.
01:43I think the issue is, George, is that when they get close, he's just running the ball
01:46in, man.
01:47I don't know that I love this bet at one and a half.
01:49I, by the way, don't want to, on a prop, almost ever lay that juice at minus 168.
01:56Folks, you've got to find a better bet out there than to be laying minus 168, I think,
02:02on that.
02:03So it would be a pass for me.
02:06There are a million props.
02:07There's no way I'm going to be laying minus 168.
02:09Maybe you're parlaying it with something else.
02:11That's fine.
02:12But straight up, as you said, there are a thousand props you're going to be able to
02:15find here.
02:16You can find a better number here.
02:17Same situation.
02:18I'm going to take the over on this, Craig, because it's plus 128.
02:20It's nice.
02:21But you already said it, and I agree.
02:24I would rather take a bet.
02:25You can find this, by the way, in some books, that over two and a half touchdowns.
02:29That includes rushing and passing.
02:31I would probably rather have that.
02:33You know, this way, let's say he throws one, runs in two.
02:36I'm fine.
02:37And I think that would be a better bet for him.
02:39I think he'll get three touchdowns here.
02:41So I would probably go for that.
02:42Once again, if you're wondering about the first matchup, which really I don't think
02:45is a great way to look at this thing here.
02:47But the first matchup here, what did he do?
02:49He threw for only one touchdown, so he wouldn't have hit this, and he ran for one, so he threw
02:54two.
02:55So you wouldn't reach the three and a half either, or two and a half either here.
02:58I'm going to take the over, though, because I like the plus money here.
03:00It'd be a small bet.
03:01Nothing knowledge about it.