Do people hate the current Chiefs dynasty more than the Patriots '00s and '10s dynasty? Betting insider Nick Kostos joins!
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00:00Nick good morning. What's going on? That's um, my shine was working on my connection. That's why he wasn't ready. That's my bad hands
00:06Listen, uh, it's technology, right? You can't fight it
00:10I guess you can you'll just lose it's undefeated
00:13It's undefeated many science fiction movies about that very topic
00:17We're at loon mountain by the way. Are you a skier or a boarder?
00:20You know, my my wife loves skiing and has uh snowboarded before i've actually never done it
00:26And I feel like she wants to go
00:28And i'm just being honest
00:30I feel like i'm going to embarrass myself
00:32So i'm trying to like i'm trying to avoid it for as long as possible
00:34Hopefully until I die and never have to do it
00:36But uh, maybe we'll end up doing at some point though
00:39I feel like I would like just the ambience of the whole thing
00:42February 21st, you could join us at watch who's at mountain. You could maybe I will yes, you could yes you could
00:46Yeah, you'd love the ambience. It's beautiful here. All right, uh round of applause for nick costos
00:52We love nick costos gonna tell you how to win some money
00:55Um, all right
00:56Well, we were just I don't know which one you want to go. Uh, where do you want to start?
00:59You want to start early game? Uh, whatever you want. Yeah, we could do eagles commanders. So, um
01:04Yeah, go ahead. So point spread of the game right now is six
01:08And it seems to imply that jalen hurts is 100 healthy and we all watch everybody, right?
01:13We all watch the eagles rams game over the weekend and at the end of the game hurts is clearly not healthy
01:18He has a knee injury
01:19He takes a terrible safety and on a second and seven run towards the end of the game
01:23They call an insane quarterback draw
01:26And he ends up losing yards because he can't move
01:29So we're only we're only a couple days after the fact here
01:32And the eagles are being priced like hurts is at 100 health and uh, I disagree with that
01:37And I look at you're saying hurts is hurts. I'm saying that i'm saying that
01:42The market is saying that he's 100 healthy and I have skepticism about that
01:47I think it's more likely that he's not 100 healthy and that doesn't mean he's zero percent
01:52dead
01:53He could be like 70 percent and just not be able to have the mobility
01:56Um, and I look at washington and I see a team that has unquestionably
02:01The better quarterback and I think they have the better head coach the rams did last weekend also
02:06But it snowed which I think was the great equalizer for philadelphia
02:09I wouldn't be shocked if the commanders won the game. I'll take the points with washington
02:14What do you think of the impact of the jfk files release will have on the commanders?
02:18It's a it's a really strong question
02:19I was actually just reading about that literally before I came on that. Uh that the kennedy family is unhappy about this
02:25That these files are going to be declassified
02:27Yeah, why would they be unhappy about it?
02:29Why would you ever want people to know that like if i'm if that's my uncle as rfk jr
02:35That's rfk jr's uncle
02:37And the government did it wouldn't you want that to be in in front of everybody?
02:40Well, my uncle actually was assassinated. So this is kind of a sensitive topic for me
02:45What i'm kidding? Oh my god
02:48Also, are you eating something right now? I was like, all right, I want to hear this story. Let's dive in
02:54Yeah, I am gullible. I was like, okay because now it's like some free gangster stuff going on. Let's dive into this
02:59Look, don't forget italian. Oh, okay. Italian
03:02My bad, so nick I think i'm trying to do a five-legger like wiggy this week
03:07I'm gonna take josh allen anytime touchdown
03:09I think i'm gonna take the commanders plus six and then i'm gonna take the bills money line
03:13Well, I think you think you're gonna lose
03:15Okay the bills yeah, uh, yeah, you know, I mean
03:19I think courtney everybody and I think people in your area will appreciate this, right?
03:24and I
03:25I tweeted this last this is less to be like look at how cool I am
03:28I tweeted something last saturday
03:30You got like 1.3 million views on twitter like still getting passed around i'm still getting notifications
03:35During chiefs texans last week. So and to be fair like my homes is flopping like a brazilian soccer player. It was embarrassing
03:41Um, I think that people hate the chiefs
03:45More than they ever hated the brady belichick patriots. That is absolute
03:50Nonsense, well curt curtis. I think it's nonsense
03:53Also, I agree with you
03:54But I would encourage you to look at all the replies and all the people that tweeted me and what they are saying is
04:00What they are saying is we actually respected the patriots because they were great
04:04The chiefs actually suck and get helped by the referees and get very lucky
04:09So this is this is the virus guys
04:12That's sweeping the nation cds
04:15chiefs derangement syndrome
04:17People they hate the chiefs so much that they can't get out of their own way
04:21But what this is costos is whenever there is a former presidential candidate of the republican party
04:27the media says oh
04:29We long for the days of george. W. Bush when george. W. Bush was president
04:33He was hitler, but they always say the way they can denigrate the current person is to say they love the people
04:38What are you jake tapper today? I don't know
04:41What is this?
04:43Am I on like meet the press right now what's happening here?
04:46And the way the way it works costos is that people look back fondly in ways that don't mirror the reality
04:53The patriots legitimately had a congressional investigation. Yes
04:57I agree with you by that idiot in pennsylvania. Yes
05:00Specter and and and and deflate gate was the stupidest thing of all time. I agree with you 100 percent
05:05But uh, but no
05:05But what my point is that people hate the chiefs so much now that I actually think it's surpassing the hate for the patriots
05:12At this current moment in time. Can you wager the over-under on roughing the passer calls?
05:17Well, so let me ask you this because um, it feels like the tightest turn right in the public where everyone was really mad
05:24And everyone made a really big deal about it last week because the holmes is it was really pathetic
05:29It was he's begging for roughing the passer calls
05:32Um, do you think like they're gonna make the calls this week after everyone threw such a bleep fit last week about it?
05:37Maybe not. I mean, I I I think yes, I think they still
05:41Oh, really?
05:42Well, I mean, you know, I grew up, uh in the 90s as a nix fan and watch michael
05:46Jordan gets every call against my team, uh, brady got all the calls. It's okay
05:50Like the great teams all do the lakers got them with kobe and jack. This is what happens. Mahomes is the best
05:56He's gonna get the calls. I think no matter what all right the yankees and jeffrey mayor. Sure
06:01Yes, you think i'm gonna disagree with that 100 you're right
06:04So, how are you gonna wager that game? Yeah, uh, i'll take the guy that always wins against the guy that always loses
06:11I'll take kansas city and feel awesome about it. And look like I don't mean to present it as a lock
06:16It's a one and a half point spread betty market says it's basically a coin flip
06:20The thing that makes you a little nervous if you want to bet the chiefs is that josh allen finally is like not making the big
06:26Mistake he did not have a huge stat game last sunday against baltimore
06:30But while lamar made several mistakes in the game allen literally made none
06:35so that's what makes you a little nervous is that allen's not gonna throw the ball away or fumble the ball away, but
06:40Sean mcdermott buffalo's head coach had yet another colossal brain dead brain fart decision last week with a third and two four minutes to go
06:48Shotgun draw from the two yard line where touchdown ends the game where tony romo to his credit is begging pleading and imploring
06:55Just sneak the ball twice with your giraffe quarterback and you're going to score a touchdown
06:59They don't and then the ravens drive down the field and score
07:02Obviously mark andrews drops the two-point conversion
07:04So I think mcdermott will make a critical coaching error in the game
07:08Reed won't chiefs win and we are two and a half weeks away from saying
07:12This is the greatest team in the history of the national football league as the only team to ever three-peat
07:18And I do think one patriots never three-peated to be fair. That's right
07:22They would have but didn't get benched
07:24But yeah, you're not gonna go down this route that the three-peat means that mahomes is the goat
07:30Well, it's well I didn't that's not what I said
07:33I know but I you're leaning in that direction
07:36Well, I mean if you had to take a bet right now
07:38If I told you mahomes stayed healthy for the rest of his career, who do you think goes down as the goat mahomes or brady?
07:42It's close, right?
07:44No, it's pretty it's pretty and I don't mean that to be disrespectful
07:47I think brady is the best also but mahomes is on that trajectory right now. Yeah, he's got to win
07:52Two more to even get in the conversation. He wins this he's got four already
07:57Yeah, so he'll have four if he wins this year. He's ahead of brady at the same spot
08:01So you think you need six or five to have that conversation six because he's two and oh against him in the playoffs
08:08Because brady has seven right so he needs at least he needs six. Yeah, okay
08:12But brady brady won the head-to-head in the playoffs. Well, you know never we can go back to you know
08:18The 2018 afs the super bowl with bucks chiefs, kansas city's offensive line was decimated in that game
08:23But in the afc championship game in 2018 and this kind of goes back to you know
08:28That everyone thinks the chiefs get all the calls now a little bit of questionable officiating in that game
08:33I'm, just saying i'm just saying let's call
08:35Listen, can we can we just it's okay
08:38Can we just call like jeffrey mayor was bs. I'm a yankee fan. I can say that
08:42Can you guys say that the patriots got the calls in that game against kansas city? Yes or no?
08:47Yes, no, I I really know
08:49Yes, and des bryant caught it. And yes, he did which has nothing to do with anything. But yes des caught it
08:55yeah, and we had ty laurence I said, you know that when when
09:00When we were winning that he got the call that they got the calls and that was just something but you're right
09:04I I I mean you go to guantanamo bay wiki for what the patriots corners did to marvin harrison and reggie wayne in that
09:10afc championship game
09:12Well, right, but that's when they that's what what makes brady separate when people say brady and mahomes are the same up until 2008
09:18brady was
09:19Obliterated on the field and they weren't called because they they celebrated big hits as opposed to penalize the jacked up
09:24Which is really funny in retrospect. You're you're right about that. Listen, I am the farthest thing from anti brady
09:30I think brady's the best
09:31All i'm saying is that mahomes is on a trajectory to maybe be mentioned in the same breath as brady
09:36Which is crazy, right because brady is the best
09:39Also wiki doesn't go south of quincy, so let's just be clear about that
09:43But what scares me about mahomes is I don't think he's gonna have the 10-year
09:48Kind of layoff of not winning a championship like brady because I feel like the kansas city
09:56chief's organization
09:58They will do more to like they traded for deandre hopkins
10:02They will get pieces if mahomes needs pieces around them. They will do more
10:08than what
10:10New england did for brady at his prime like well
10:14I don't know you traded traded for randy moss and lost to my giants
10:18Moss wasn't the same moss. I played with moss
10:22He set the touchdown record in 2007
10:26When they traded for moss he wasn't boss of his like what they thought
10:32He wasn't the moss of his prime when they traded for him, but he was though
10:35He was just like he was
10:38In oakland is where he kind of like but I didn't think that's because would they get a fourth round draft pick around?
10:44But he would be he would be my counter to that
10:47Like belichick coach the entire time. I think there's a realistic chance and this is starting
10:51I'm, not reporting anything and this to be fair
10:53This gets said every year that if the chiefs win the super bowl reed's gonna retire and then I don't maybe it spags
10:59I met matt nagy
11:00I don't know who takes over there for kansas city if they win the super bowl and andy reed steps aside
11:05But uh, you know, it's very possible, right?
11:07Because like we're kind of talking about this like it's a fait accompli that the chiefs that the chiefs are going to win
11:12You know, what if this is and it's not apples to apples because this game was an indie
11:16Like why can't this be the two that I don't think it's going to be but why can't this be?
11:20Marlon jackson at the end of the game and the colts finally beat the patriots and the bills finally get over the hump
11:26I literally used that example this morning to start the show that this could this to me felt like
11:31The o6 patriots the chiefs are a team that has overachieved their record they're respected because of their pedigree, but the season has been
11:39Beneficial to them not their fault, but you know missed field goals little things like that
11:43They've had the margin of error too slim and I think it's just the time like it was for manning and o6
11:47It's it's out. Yeah, but you know what that game was in indy again
11:52And you know what the patriots didn't have in o6 that uh, kansas city has
11:57I think travis kelsey. I don't I mean we we bust his balls all the time with the taylor swift travis
12:02kelsey is still
12:04A beast when it comes to the playoffs and the and the patriots at then it was it was who was it?
12:09Jabbar gaffney it was um
12:11Ben watson, right? Yeah. Richie caldwell. So you
12:15Say what you want about the chiefs and the talent. I still look at the andre hopkins and say okay
12:21This guy can still make plays
12:23Um, I still look at travis kelsey and it seems like every playoff game this guy gets open
12:29He gets in the end zone and mahomes still
12:32Has that and it is?
12:34Excuse me. This game is in kansas city. So that plays a little bit of the effect of um, uh,
12:41But you have seen this right and i'll even use the same score here because when asante samuel had to pick six against manning
12:47It's 21-3 patriots, right? Yep
12:50So going into halftime of the afc championship game a couple years ago chiefs bangles
12:55Chiefs were up 21-3 and absolutely yacked the game away in the second half and lost in overtime
13:00So there are there are some corollaries here between the two and I think on monday morning if the bills win
13:06Obviously and it's like sincerely like I know like you bring me on i'm a i'm a betting analyst
13:11Whatever i'm a sports fan first and foremost
13:13Like we all are the historical ramifications of this game
13:16Like the result is likely to like echo throughout history and it sounds really dramatic
13:21But the winner of this game is going to be the favorite in the super bowl no matter who they play
13:24And you either get buffalo
13:26Maybe like the star cross franchise with the insane fan base turned away at the mountaintop four times in a row
13:32Either ascending for the first time and alan becomes peyton manning and as far as the uh,
13:36The rivalry goes or you get kansas city cementing itself and like the patriots might be better. That's not the point
13:43Kansas city will be the first team to ever three-peat the 70s steelers didn't do it
13:47The 80s niners didn't do it
13:48The 90s cowboys didn't do it and none of the patriots teams with belichick and brady did where we will say
13:53This is the greatest football team of all time
13:57Can't wait nick. You're on. Uh sunday at 11, correct? Uh, yes 11 a.m to 1 p.m. Eastern
14:03Okay. All right and watch my show on peacock
14:06We love peacock. Oh me too. Trust me
14:09Um nick, thank you, that is
14:12Nick costos and do you have anything to wish us before you go?
14:15Yeah, minimal sweats winning bets the absolute very best of luck and take it easy out there on the slopes everybody