• 4 days ago
Transcript
00:00So, where did you look here?
00:07So, I like that one a lot. I
00:08played it a little bit more
00:10straight up. The Rams tomorrow
00:11night taking on a Cardinals
00:13team that was eliminated. Joe,
00:14you and I watched that game
00:15against the Panthers and it was
00:18perplexing performance to say
00:20the least their defense just
00:22fell apart against Chuba Hubbard
00:24and let Bryce Young really
00:26control the ball pretty
00:28consistently throughout that
00:29game, losing in overtime and
00:31getting eliminated from the
00:32playoffs. I think it would be
00:34hard for them to bounce back
00:36against a Rams team that is
00:37hungry to try to win this
00:39division and with a six and a
00:41half point spread, I think you
00:43could bump it up to nine and a
00:44half. You can get it at plus
00:46money and I think the Rams
00:47could really run over the
00:49Cardinals. Kyron Williams has
00:50touched the ball over 300 times
00:52this season already. I don't
00:54think they are, I don't think
00:56the Rams are hiding anything.
00:57They have a lot of 11
00:58personnel and they get Nakua
00:59and Cup in space, but they also
01:01space you out to run it with
01:03Kyron Williams and they've done
01:05it effectively. I don't think
01:06the Cardinals will get enough
01:07stops. I think the Rams are
01:08going to play big time ball
01:10control tomorrow and win this
01:11game going away. I mean, Kyler
01:14Murray is nine and 18 in his
01:17career in December and January
01:19games. It's not a quarterback
01:21you can trust in any way, shape
01:23or form this time of year. So I
01:26am with you. I think the Rams
01:28poised for a absolute blowout to
01:30lock it up for their playoff
01:32chances and the division. All
01:34right, so let's talk some
01:36yardage here. Speaking of the
01:38Rams, a yardage prop that I
01:40looked at is going to focus on
01:43that Rams game against Arizona.
01:45And I'm actually going to look
01:47to fade Cooper Cup here for a
01:50lot of the reasons you just
01:51spoke about. Number one, the
01:53last couple of weeks, Mike, six
01:55targets, 24 receiving yards.
01:57He's not had exactly the best
01:59matchups. In fact, the Rams who
02:01got beat up by Arizona in week
02:03two trailed throughout that game
02:05and he still only got 37
02:07receiving yards in that game. I
02:09think Puka Nuku has got the
02:10better matchup on the outside.
02:12But I also think there is no
02:14reason for them to do anything
02:16except hand a ball off the
02:17Kyron Williams and let him run.
02:19They're giving up six yards a
02:21carry over the past three games
02:23this Arizona defense. If I'm
02:25the Rams, there's no reason to
02:27get fancy here. Just do it, play
02:29power football, let them rack up
02:31the yards. But Cooper Cup to me
02:33is a guy I'm going to be looking
02:35to go under in his yardage prop
02:37receiving this week. It was 51
02:39and a half. I think it's already
02:41bet down to 48 and a half here.
02:43Mike, how about you? I think
02:45that makes sense. Just to give
02:46you folks a sense of where, how
02:48the books are positioning this.
02:50They have Coups, Cups totally
02:53that low. Kyron Williams rushing
02:55attempts is over 20, 20 and a
02:57half. So the books are sort of
02:59telling you how they think this
03:01game is going to go. His yardage
03:03total at 90 and a half, I think
03:05is even a little light if you
03:07like that one. So it's a little
03:09bonus. But the guy that I'm
03:10focusing on is a Bucks team that
03:12has really shown a propensity to
03:14throw the ball and their rookie
03:16wide receiver, Jalen McMillan has
03:18hit his number of 40 and a half
03:20three weeks in a row. Last three
03:22weeks, seven, six and seven
03:24targets in the past game. He's
03:26got at least four catches in all
03:28three contests and he's got
03:3059, 75 and 57 yards in the last
03:32three weeks. So at 40 and a half,
03:34I think it's too low. I looked
03:36at Mike Evans number as well.
03:38That's double. So that's 81 and
03:40a half as Mike Evans, which I
03:42think he could get to, but I'm
03:44taking the value here. I think
03:46McMillan's number is way too low.
03:48He's beating it easily and I like
03:50his catches number to be honest
03:52as well, just three and a half.
03:54So you could do a little parlay
03:56there if you want, but I like, I
03:58like Jalen McMillan here. I think
04:00people sometimes overestimate
04:02rookies hitting this rookie wall.
04:04It is a real thing, but we have
04:06seen in recent years, Joe, rookie
04:08backs and receivers getting
04:10ingratiated in the offense later
04:12in the season and making a real
04:14impact and we're seeing it here
04:16with Jalen McMillan.

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